frd Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Loving the trends out West for a building PNA right around the time just before, and after the Tuesday storm. EPS trends look very good regarding this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 17 minutes ago, frd said: JB be said this may be an analog for the Tuesday storm. I could go with that https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/March_18–20,_1956_nor'easter Not really great for our area if the storm develops like that. Checked the KU book, looks like 4-6 inches in the beltways, maybe. New York got snow-bombed, parts of Long Island with 26 inches. KU book has the maps and details for that storm on p. 358. Page 357 has a pic of Uccinelli as a child in Long Island outside looking really happy in the aftermath of that storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 hours ago, PhineasC said: It was nice of the models to provide us another chance to have our hearts broken so soon after wrecking the Sunday storm. It is the hallmark of every dud winter to feature a screwjob in early March (2001 and 2013 being the most egregious examples). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Not really great for our area if the storm develops like that. Checked the KU book, looks like 4-6 inches in the beltways, maybe. New York got snow-bombed, parts of Long Island with 26 inches. KU book has the maps and details for that storm on p. 358. Page 357 has a pic of Uccinelli as a child in Long Island outside looking really happy in the aftermath of that storm... True, much higher snow totals North of DC. That storm delivered an incredible 50 inches to Morgantown I believe . Snowfall contrast across the area as you said was very high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, frd said: True, much higher snow totals North of DC. That storm delivered an incredible 50 inches to Morgantown I believe . Snowfall contrast across the area as you said was very high That's 3/58 you're thinking of. The funny thing about the 3/56 storm is that one of the paraeducators in my department talks about that storm *every* single March, remembering the event as a girl growing up in NJ. She of course over-remembers it as a 30" storm that shut down schools for more than a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 hour ago, Scraff said: Good stuff to kickstart the day off I'm seeing. Let's hope the positive trends continue throughout. I better not see Lucy and her football walking down the street... Can only go downhill from here... If we can make it through today without any negative trends. I am on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 I have a meeting at NWS LWX today for work. Any questions I should ask regarding Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, frd said: True, much higher snow totals North of DC. That storm delivered an incredible 50 inches to Morgantown I believe . Snowfall contrast across the area as you said was very high That was March 1958. March 1956 was, as N Balt Zen said, mainly a 40N storm (though far northern MD did well). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 It has probably been mentioned and I've missed it in the flurry of pages, but the 06z GFS and 00z GGEM look nothing alike. The GGEM digs the northern stream really deep and has an associated 850 low riding up from the Gulf region. The GFS has none of that, and simply tracks an 850 low W to E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalBecs said: I have a meeting at NWS LWX today for work. Any questions I should ask regarding Tuesday? Nothing. Don't bother them with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 53 minutes ago, mappy said: That CMC cut-off is lol (this is through Tuesday, so includes anything falling Friday for northern folks) Could that cutoff follow I-95 more perfectly? That would be a little revenge for me as I got calls and snow pic texts all day when my sister got a nice hit down in St Mary's back in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 13 minutes ago, frd said: True, much higher snow totals North of DC. That storm delivered an incredible 50 inches to Morgantown I believe . Snowfall contrast across the area as you said was very high What gymengineer said - you are thinking of a different storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 For fun...you should check out the DGEX. Hits many of you with both storms. EPIC weenie run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 So, the 00z Euro and 00z GFS para ops stink. The 06z GFS op has a good, but very tenuous solution. And the 00z GGEM is way out in left field regarding the evolution of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, packfan98 said: For fun...you should check out the DGEX. Hits many of you with both storms. EPIC weenie run! Hmm... thats not the image I wanted. Link: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/dgexops.conus/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Hmm... thats not the image I wanted. Link: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/dgexops.conus/ This is it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Why are you showing us dgex maps of us getting screwed and saying our area does well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Why are you showing us dgex maps of us getting screwed and saying our area does well? The 18z for whatever reason is the image that is shown whenever you copy and paste the link for the 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Honestly, when he said we got hit with two storms and it was epic, I was expecting a lot more than dark purple on that map. Not that it matters at all being a 192 hr forecast AND the DGEX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: Honestly, when he said we got hit with two storms and it was epic, I was expecting a lot more than dark purple on that map. Not that it matters at all being a 192 hr forecast AND the DGEX. I would hope no one here is seriously looking that model as a means for snowfall output. I think this is a joke of sorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Just now, osfan24 said: Honestly, when he said we got hit with two storms and it was epic, I was expecting a lot more than dark purple on that map. Not that it matters at all being a 192 hr forecast AND the DGEX. After the winter we've had, you don't think 1.5 to 2 feet from Greensboro to Portland, with 18+ inches running right up I-95 qualifies as "epic"? It's the DGEX, so it's just for lulz, but if that doesn't reach the epic bar for you, your bar is set too high my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Why are you showing us dgex maps of us getting screwed and saying our area does well? Yeah, you have to follow the link. Strange it's not working. I think I've fixed it though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 18 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: So, the 00z Euro and 00z GFS para ops stink. The 06z GFS op has a good, but very tenuous solution. And the 00z GGEM is way out in left field regarding the evolution of the storm. Pretty good synopsis of the current operational model depiction for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 This is more inline with my expectations (not forTuesday of course) This just can't be made up. Hilarious said nobody ever... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 8-14" of widespread digital snow is run of the mill fail potential stuff. Its not epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 lol @ folks from NC posting the DGEX in our thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, mappy said: lol @ folks from NC posting the DGEX in our thread. He told us about it... the people who posted it are from our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 55 minutes ago, CoastalBecs said: I have a meeting at NWS LWX today for work. Any questions I should ask regarding Tuesday? How much for Burke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: He told us about it... the people who posted it are from our area I honestly do not care. It's the equivalent of one of us going into their threads and posting about the JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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