BTRWx Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Surface low in Jax and 1030mb overhead is what we want, right? Maybe for 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 What exactly are we doing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Nobody likes the euro. Not DT. Not our SE folks. Nobody. It's a pansy ass weak little disturbance now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Thought the LWX discussion from this morning, sums it up best: The southward trend in the guidance has not stopped with the latest 00z runs...and with the strong high to our north and confluent flow to our north this does support a farther southward track. Also...these two shortwaves will be weak to begin with so that enhances the chance for a farther southward track. Therefore...it appears that there is a slightly higher chance for significant precipitation amounts to remain to our south but confidence remains very low at this time. Keep in mind that the systems that potentially would be impacting the area are way out in the Pacific Ocean. Guidance should get a better handling over the next few days as they approach the western CONUS. Will continue to mention the threat for accumulating snow this weekend in the Hazardous Weather Outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Nobody likes the euro. Not DT. Not our SE folks. Nobody. It's a pansy ass weak little disturbance now. recall how it crushed that clipper around 7-10 days ago that was originally giving NE a mod event the models have all done terribly in the medium and long ranges this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Attack of the wimps. Add a few more mb's and you could change the L's to H's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Nobody likes the euro. Not DT. Not our SE folks. Nobody. It's a pansy ass weak little disturbance now. Once the Euro taketh away, it rarely giveth. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 problem with the euro for Tuesday is its weak with the southern system behind also so the northern stream looks to be dominant, so it might have trouble amplifying something under us. Euro looks like a lose lose right now. But it is trending the same way as the others just not as fast as the GGEM and UKMET it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: problem with the euro for Tuesday is its weak with the southern system behind also so the northern stream looks to be dominant, so it might have trouble amplifying something under us. Euro looks like a lose lose right now. But it is trending the same way as the others just not as fast as the GGEM and UKMET it seems. The problem across the board is everything is weak as hell from the get go. We could collectively sneeze and cause more vorticity in the atmosphere than what the euro just showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 what a hobby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: The problem across the board is everything is weak as hell from the get go. We could collectively sneeze and cause more vorticity in the atmosphere than what the euro just showed. clearly the GGEM is handling this pattern the best right now. It never ever liked the sunday event and its had the coastal for a few days now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Just now, Ji said: clearly the GGEM is handling this pattern the best right now. It never ever liked the sunday event and its had the coastal for a few days now.... After looking at the euro I'm still having a hard time deciding if I like the Sunday or Tuesday storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: The problem across the board is everything is weak as hell from the get go. We could collectively sneeze and cause more vorticity in the atmosphere than what the euro just showed. Have to hope something comes in stronger. But that's been a way we failed at times. Get a decent pattern then suddenly the wave train goes dead and everything shears out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: The problem across the board is everything is weak as hell from the get go. We could collectively sneeze and cause more vorticity in the atmosphere than what the euro just showed. and yet before we had a PV to play with, we saw 980 L's cuttin through the midwest like poop through a goose....all winter long, and now this. SMH Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: The problem across the board is everything is weak as hell from the get go. We could collectively sneeze and cause more vorticity in the atmosphere than what the euro just showed. Perhaps coordinate all our fans in a counter-clockwise arrangement and hit the "high" buttons all at the same time. I don't that's ever been tried on a large scale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 An awful lot of certainty in the mood here for a system that is 5 days out. I'm sure nothing will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: An awful lot of certainty in the mood here for a system that is 5 days out. I'm sure nothing will change. Say it again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: An awful lot of certainty in the mood here for a system that is 5 days out. I'm sure nothing will change. True. The "Sunday Storm" still has time to turn from a low pressure into a high pressure system and find its way to Cuba or South America. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: An awful lot of certainty in the mood here for a system that is 5 days out. I'm sure nothing will change. Full circle back to 70s on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Say it again lol...like the euro is going to gain 8mb of strenght and trend 300 miles for the 00z run. so much for that catapult picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Have to hope something comes in stronger. But that's been a way we failed at times. Get a decent pattern then suddenly the wave train goes dead and everything shears out. Thats pretty much it. With the h5 look we have from Sun to about mid next week, something should pop. If everything comes in weak and dampens to nothing and we waste this period, I am going to lose interest really quick. I still have a feeling the models have not offered up the final outcome though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Just now, Ji said: lol...like the euro is going to gain 8mb of strenght and trend 300 miles for the 00z run. so much for that catapult picture Looks like Bill Wolfe is right again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: After looking at the euro I'm still having a hard time deciding if I like the Sunday or Tuesday storm What Sunday storm? The gfs is the only guidance that even has a storm and it's trending towards nothing too. I think Tuesday might be the only option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Pack it in boys, it's finished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, ers-wxman1 said: Pack it in boys, it's finished. Friday, Sunday, Tuesday, the rest of the month, or all of the above? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said: Pack it in boys, it's finished. We need a start before we can finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, BTRWx said: Friday, Sunday, Tuesday, the rest of the month, or all of the above? All of the above. Sorry to say. Pattern hasn't worked all year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, ers-wxman1 said: All of the above. Sorry to say. Pattern hasn't worked all year. I'm not happy with the developments either but we should hold on to see what happens next week. It's often as the pattern relaxes something comes about for us not as it's setting in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 I like the trend with the second storm. A further south track with more HP to the north means we have a shot at something other than rain and wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 20 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: An awful lot of certainty in the mood here for a system that is 5 days out. I'm sure nothing will change. Don't worry. It's only Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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