Eskimo Joe Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:11 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: I think you guys are talking about Jan 2011 with the upper level low snowfall. Expand That was truly an epic storm. Jan 2011 is my third favorite winter event. It just pasted the stuffing out of everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:11 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: I think you guys are talking about Jan 2011 with the upper level low snowfall. Expand I thought Jan 2010 had the same feature come through. I remember Jan 2011 well. That dumped like 8 inches of heavy, wet snow in about 4 hours. But it went from rain to sleet to snow and was gone in about 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I remember Jan 2011 really overperformed up north. I think it phased or something unexpected and ended up clobbering Jersey, NYC and Southern NE. That kinda taints it a little for me. But very cool, dynamic storm. A bowling ball in every sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Looks like the Euro is holding back the energy in the gulf at hr 96... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Euro, 96 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Pretty good air mass...40 at 21z on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 5:47 PM, Bob Chill said: That trailing upper level low likely won't give much more than instability snows in the 1-2" dept. The atmosphere already unleashed the mid-levels prior to that panel. There's only so much it can do. Expand It depends, I never underestimate what convective instability and rapid height falls can do. Feb 9 2010 I already had 12" from the WAA front end snows, I know that missed down your way but the WAA was an overachiever up here, then a lull for about 8 hours overnight, then the upper low came across and somehow found another 18" of moisture to suck out of the atmosphere. I am not disagreeing with you assessment that it is highly unlikely, but get a H5 pass like that and anything can happen. Feb 2014 was another example of the H5 finding enough moisture despite the initial wave taking plenty off with it. Those things can produce sometimes regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Snow pushes over whole area around 9pm...temps 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 EC looks more like the CMC than the Gfs. Gulf low isn't as strong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 5:59 PM, Bob Chill said: Yes it was. It was also a beast of a bowling ball approaching from the SW. The one the gfs shows is a little duck pin bowling ball sweeping through from the west. Expand are you guys talking about January 2011? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 everyone is on pins and needles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 5am Tuesday absolutely ripping....upper 20s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:20 PM, Deck Pic said: 5am Tuesday absolutely ripping....upper 20s Expand Nice, I want an inch qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 996mb right off C Hatteras at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On IWM 998 low right off the outer banks at 120. I don't see how it won't be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Let put temporary hold on the January 2011 discussion. Euro time. LOL! I am on pins and needles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:20 PM, Deck Pic said: 5am Tuesday absolutely ripping....upper 20s Expand Best thing about this so far... OPM guaranteed closure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:01 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: It's good to be in the bullseye snow axis at a 5-6 day lead time right? I mean, what could possibly go wrong for our subforums? Pretty much a lock with only room for marked improvements at this point yes? Expand your point is taken, but some of the big ones locked in early and we stayed good all the way through. Dec 2009, Feb 2010, January 2016 to name a few. Even the January 2011 storm was pretty well handled given the complicated nature of it from like 5 days out. That does not mean the chances of a fail are not there because I am cherry picking the wins, but there are enough examples of times the storm locked in 5 days out to think its not necessarily a bad thing to be in a good spot now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 9, 2017 Author Share Posted March 9, 2017 Canadian ensemble mean is much more of a miller b vs the op's gulf low depiction. FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 11 am Tuesday, 8-12 already on ground in North and west burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:21 PM, MN Transplant said: Expand Yeah, we need this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 We flirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Temps could be an issue DC and south and east..though I'm sure wxbell will show prolific amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:22 PM, MN Transplant said: We flirt. Expand As always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:23 PM, stormtracker said: As always Expand gotta start crashing at that point with plenty of qpf after I would guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:23 PM, stormtracker said: As always Expand Hey, we ain't even had a r/s line to talk even about 6 days out all winter--I'll take it for now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 how does the storm for next friday look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:25 PM, mitchnick said: gotta start crashing at that point with plenty of qpf after I would guess Expand Yeah. I'm just glad to have the Euro on board at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:23 PM, Deck Pic said: Temps could be an issue DC and south and east..though I'm sure wxbell will show prolific amounts Expand Guess that's not a huge surprise. Mostly mid-levels around 850, or surface temps as well (if that info is out yet)? In other words, mix/change to liquid, or more like sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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