paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: to your question at 36 slp is approx 20-40 miles West of 18z Nut One hiccup EURO OP EAST run and this thing pretty much at least for us is acting modelish. The west trend though is causing problems for the DC folks. Thank goodness for latitude and March cold for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 RGEM complete still 3 to 6 hours of precip left for northern locals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickg2 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 8 minutes ago, meatwad said: Greene County, Washington County has an advisory. That is what happens when I failed geography class. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 The Gulf open for business: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Is it ok to get excited about very small western movement? Because the GFS is further inland again. Not by much, but still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Again, just a little bit further west than the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Great start to the 0z models tonight. If the 4K NAM Kuchera verified, the 27 inches that it shows for MDT would put it at #2 all-time snowstorm only ranking behind last year's 30 inch blizzard. in order to crack the top ten, MDT would need to get over 18 inches with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 GFS is definitely east of the NAM/RGEM. Interesting subtle differences will make a huge impact on totals. Glad forecasters can go by ranges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 at 36 GFS is approx 25 miles west of 18z. all systems go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 One consistency on the GFS nice deform band the last several runs to 0z Wed: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, paweather said: GFS is definitely east of the NAM/RGEM. Interesting subtle differences will make a huge impact on totals. Glad forecasters can go by ranges. It looks virtually identical to me to the NAM actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: at 36 GFS is approx 25 miles west of 18z. all systems go... Definitely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 at 42 heading NE approx 25 West of 18z and better NW precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, canderson said: It looks virtually identical to me to the NAM actually. Precip shield more E-NE orientated. Maybe I am overly looking at it, as I am not looking just for my location. This sub forum as well. Sorry. I should say the heavier qpf but I am no expert. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, pasnownut said: at 42 heading NE approx 25 West of 18z and better NW precip shield 1pm Tuesday, just love. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 through 60 light snows in northern state, but close enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: at 42 heading NE approx 25 West of 18z and better NW precip shield The GFS is strengthening the storm as it approaches our latitude to 983,but has still not yet reached the strength of the Euro, which at 12z had it in the 970's as it was near the southern NJ coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Pivotal WX w/ Kuchera for poops n giggles. I'm crashin gang. Nice way to go to bed. Sleep well yall Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: The GFS is strengthening the storm as it approaches our latitude to 983,but has still not yet reached the strength of the Euro, which at 12z had it in the 970's as it was near the southern NJ coast. Im gonna assume a compromise. and sleep on it. Reel this in for us. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Im gonna assume a compromise. and sleep on it. Reel this in for us. Nut That's a good idea to get some sleep tonight, because it will be near impossible to sleep tomorrow night with heavy snow incoming with the radar lit up like a Christmas tree! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Im gonna assume a compromise. and sleep on it. Reel this in for us. Nut Blizz this is all you, you never gave up on winter for us and debated nicely. Bring it home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 CMC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 40 minutes ago, paweather said: Blizz this is all you, you never gave up on winter for us and debated nicely. Bring it home. Thanks man! I try to keep it positive & I always look to past years to serve as a reminder that bad patterns can turn around, so I never give up until the the game is over. Speaking of the game this year, winter is not over after this storm. The GFS & Euro, along with their ensembles give us a chance at more snow next weekend, & early the following week before this pattern relaxes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 CMC not a great run for State College boys and 2001....im on line of big snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Nam 4km is Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 The 0z Euro & 6z NAM absolutely crush all of CTP ! It's like they let me create my ideal storm track & my own snow map! The 0z Euro for MDT has 18 inches at 10 to 1 ratio & 25 inches with Kuchera ratio, which for this storm looks like that's a 14 to 1 ratio. The various 6z NAM 4 k & 12 k have a 2 foot plus bullseye over different parts of CTP . This storm might make our weather history books in CTP ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I get the feeling that day 2 of orientation is going to be cancelled... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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