kdskidoo Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: No snow hole for you. we both went down (you had multiple 20" amounts on 6zs and cleaned up on them. at this time follow globals for trends, and starting tonight we can start to look to transition to mezzo's for higher res which will better show banding and who's gonna get into what. Your sitting pretty up there. Cant follow every snow map off a cliff. At this juncture, we just gotta go w/ the flow. (pun intended Nut Agree. Good post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, pasnownut said: No snow hole for you. we both went down (you had multiple 20" amounts on 6zs and cleaned up on them. at this time follow globals for trends, and starting tonight we can start to look to transition to mezzo's for higher res which will better show banding and who's gonna get into what. Your sitting pretty up there. Cant follow every snow map off a cliff. At this juncture, we just gotta go w/ the flow. (pun intended Nut I know. It's hard not to sneak closer to the cliff when you've seen it over and over. The amount of storms that have rung the doorbell only to run away when answered has been many... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, daxx said: Agree. Good post I agree too...but man he sure has been on the wrong end A LOT ever since 09-10. Means nothing for this storm, but I can understand Voyager's reservations about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 7 minutes ago, kdskidoo said: CMC That is beautiful. Can that much snow fall in the amount of time this storm will last? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, Voyager said: I know. It's hard not to sneak closer to the cliff when you've seen it over and over. The amount of storms that have rung the doorbell only to run away when answered has been many... with all due respect.....I get it. But really....your not the only one in here that fails. I'll pull up some info sometime to prove my point. I realize some prefer to see how we can fail...before we succeed, but if you are paying any attention to CPC/NCEP, and all of the other great info we share on this site, you'd do a little logical deduction and come to similar conclusions. If you dont want to do that, then i'm not sure what else to tell you. You've been here enough and many times weve seen you turn I'm screwed....into ok sorry...i'm good. a potentially fantastic storm is coming. Just enjoy the ride no matter what your backyard shows (and I think you wont see much of it for a while if I have half of a clue. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 To be honest, I'm not so sure I was at the cliff's edge like some who cancel storms every time a models cuts totals. Ji used to be good at it, Eskimo does it a lot, and even PSU Hoffman, who is very good, shows a bit of a negative tendency at times. I was just pointing out what the GFS was showing, which it has a couple times already, that the northern tier of PA doesn't do so well. As for being here long enough to know better? Perhaps. But I've also been here long enough to read all the "puking snow" posts from the southern and eastern guys and gals while I watched "pixie dust" fall all day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I'm terrible at the Ukie maps bit it looks like a massive bomb for central P A as it hugs the coast and is a bit slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 just easin da pain..... deduce according to you likes/dislikes/wants/needs/wishes....whatev. This storm has made my year (from a tracking perspective). Put a ton of time into watching it evolve, and as long as it delivers something reasonable in relation to all of the data were ingesting....I'll be happy regardless. This is why I'm here. Yes, I'm "guilty" of posting fun colorful maps, but in fairness i wouldnt post if my limited knowledge thought it an outlier. A growing concensus is showing a central/eastern pa smackdown of various proportions. While it can fall apart at the last minute, weve been steadily watching this one and the flight path is now clear for landing...and the landing beacons are getting closer together. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, canderson said: I'm terrible at the Ukie maps bit it looks like a massive bomb for central P A as it hugs the coast and is a bit slower. Saw the one map in the Mid-Atl thread, had a 989mb low sitting atop the Delmarva Peninsula. That track can only mean good things for our region snow-wise. Also glad to see the GEM/RGEM coming around in the last couple runs from where they had been. We're starting to reach a consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, MAG5035 said: Saw the one map in the Mid-Atl thread, had a 989mb low sitting atop the Delmarva Peninsula. That track can only mean good things for our region snow-wise. Also glad to see the GEM/RGEM coming around in the last couple runs from where they had been. We're starting to reach a consensus. it is da BOMB. If only i could find snow maps as I only see precip panels. it is a fantastic evolution verbatim, but I may be tainted down here. How it is for us in the LSV with the big ones. I'll roll w/ it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lte5000 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Ukie precip, from NYC thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Even in PDIII I had to deal with sleet. Still ended up with 25".In the big ones you sometimes have to deal with it.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Nut you've been on your A game with this! I'm really liking where we sit here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 UKMET 48 and 60hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 That's the best looking 48h panel I've seen in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I think I'm going to take a step back and read and not post. Clearly my judgement is a bit jaded from storms past. Perhaps it's best for me to observe and just let it play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 warmest 850 panel on UKIE. they crash towards Bermuda shortly after. I'll take some taint for the team if I could place my order for this one. its just friggin beautiful. Ok...I really gotta get my chores done. walk away from the computer walk away from the computer walk away from the computer walk away from the computer. Be back later Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 The high pressure really is something remarkable for this late in the season. Amazing to see 850s like that with a storm so tucked in Mid March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: warmest 850 panel on UKIE. they crash towards Bermuda shortly after. I'll take some taint for the team if I could place my order for this one. its just friggin beautiful. Ok...I really gotta get my chores done. walk away from the computer walk away from the computer walk away from the computer walk away from the computer. Be back later Nut You might want to reload your meteocentre page, those last two Ukie maps you posted are from 0z last night. 12z is better haha, and it still keeps everyone in here under 0ºC at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 17 minutes ago, Voyager said: I think I'm going to take a step back and read and not post. Clearly my judgement is a bit jaded from storms past. Perhaps it's best for me to observe and just let it play out. You sit well here. Maybe you don't see 16" and instead see 8" -in march it's about the same imo. Any snow >6" is a tremendous success esp given this clusterf of a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Hahaha really... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 The deformation band from the NAM and RGEM hanging over the I-81 corridor is really quite amazing, as some others have mentioned. If that comes to fruition then the totals from NWS's "Max Potential" may be realized...ie 12 - 20". Nearly all of us are poised to cash in on this one it would seem. The interesting thing about being in a CCB is that I was in one with the Jan 2016 storm last year and that's what propelled me up to 35". One other thing is this storm is coming on the 24th anniversary of the superstorm of 1993. I think we kept the snow from that storm on the ground for over 2 weeks afterwards because of how cold it became following the storm. Many single-digit lows in mid-late March, which is getting into the pretty incredible category. So, from the warmest February on record at MDT to what's coming. Someone in the DC forum posted that the GFS keeps DC below freezing continuously for the 7 days following the storm and doesn't have a high temperature over 40 degrees there until March 25th! WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, pawatch said: Hahaha really... Never seen a storm do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, pawatch said: Hahaha really... What the f is that?? That's almost worthy of CTP's Alberta Clipper...clip art map from a few years ago. Wsptwx would be in the middle of the Bermuda triangle of 4-8" haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 What the f is that?? That's almost worthy of CTP's Alberta Clipper...clip art map from a few years ago. Wsptwx would be in the middle of the Bermuda triangle of 4-8" haha. Can you please post that clip art map?Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 13 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: What the f is that?? That's almost worthy of CTP's Alberta Clipper...clip art map from a few years ago. Wsptwx would be in the middle of the Bermuda triangle of 4-8" haha. Well Mag it was a good laugh. That's definitely a unique map. Any idea how the Euro looks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 17 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: What the f is that?? That's almost worthy of CTP's Alberta Clipper...clip art map from a few years ago. Wsptwx would be in the middle of the Bermuda triangle of 4-8" haha. I had forgotten about that run of drunk interns taking over CTP graphics! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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