Rickg2 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 10 minutes ago, 2001kx said: FWIW Dt doesnt believe the euro Quote EUROPEAN MODEL ENSEMBLES SHOWS THAT THE OPERATIONAL EURO which at 1pm took the LOW waaay East ... and hence a lot LESS SNOW for all of the Northeast US-- IS BOGUS... fake, spurious, false, , deceptive; counterfeit, feigned; , pseudo, fictitious. He should really tell us how he really feels... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 We are all alone guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, canderson said: We are all alone guys. What could CTP possibly be waiting for? Maybe they are busy re-calculating the adjustment of MDT's snow measurement from Friday? I've noticed over the years that they are usually more enthusiastic if State College is in the bullseye for an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 They are always the last to the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: What could CTP possibly be waiting for? Maybe they are busy re-calculating the adjustment of MDT's snow measurement from Friday? I've noticed over the years that they are usually more enthusiastic if State College is in the bullseye for an event. Its embarrassing they don't collaborate with the other offices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I have zero issues with them waiting. They'll put headlines up if needed after the 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 What could CTP possibly be waiting for? Maybe they are busy re-calculating the adjustment of MDT's snow measurement from Friday? I've noticed over the years that they are usually more enthusiastic if State College is in the bullseye for an event. Ding, ding, ding. I have noticed that too.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, canderson said: I have zero issues with them waiting. They'll put headlines up if needed after the 0z runs. It just shows the lack of coordination that's all between offices and collaborate on what each surrounding offices think of impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Long time lurker here, but I love when this thread gets active like this right before a good weather event! I got to get involved... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 0z Party soon ready to start - Cheers and let's hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 33 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: What could CTP possibly be waiting for? Maybe they are busy re-calculating the adjustment of MDT's snow measurement from Friday? I've noticed over the years that they are usually more enthusiastic if State College is in the bullseye for an event. so in other words, very rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 just one of many: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 CTP issues Winter Storm Watch until Mar 15 per twitter Though clicking on the twitter link says nothings there lol NWS Alert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 And headlines posted. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 854 PM EST Sat Mar 11 2017 PAZ006-012-018-019-025>028-034>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-121400- /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0004.170314T0000Z-170315T0200Z/ Potter-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Blair- Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga- Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming- Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin- Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Coudersport, Renovo, Philipsburg, State College, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, Laporte, Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster 854 PM EST Sat Mar 11 2017 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in State College has issued a Winter Storm Watch, which is in effect from Monday evening through Tuesday evening. * LOCATIONS...Much of central Pennsylvania. * HAZARD TYPES...Heavy snow and potential for blowing and drifting snow. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Potential for 6 or more inches of snow. * TIMING...Snow will begin Monday evening from west to east. The heaviest snow will occur Late monday night and overnight into Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Heavy snow may cause significant travel disruptions, dangerous travel conditions and isolated power outages. * WINDS...Northeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Review winter weather safety and preparedness information at weather.gov/winter. && $$ BG/PJ/AT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 33 minutes ago, canderson said: I have zero issues with them waiting. They'll put headlines up if needed after the 0z runs. Agreed, I honestly didn't see much support for BGM's nearly region wide 12-18" from anything not named or conceived from the NAM from either 12 or 18z. Even the 12z GFS didn't have that much in most of that region. At any rate CTP just put their watches up.. leaving out their western most counties including the Laurels ones. I don't like it (right on the edge as usual) but I agree with it right now. Stating potential for 6 inches or more vs BGM's potential for a foot or more. I just feel like BGM's widespread foot or more potential has high bust potential attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Is 0z GFS at normal time tonight or is it already pushed back an hour? F'n time change is stupid and useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 hours ago, Rickg2 said: The kiddies mentioned a "state of emergency". None issued yet. Of course, their entire following are now tweeting and fbing that a state of emergency has been issued. also they posted their first guess. that was in line with the NWS. As a emergency service person, this pisses me off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, canderson said: Is 0z GFS at normal time tonight or is it already pushed back an hour? F'n time change is stupid and useless. Everything will be usual time tonight, it'll just go automatically to 3am when the Euro finishes at 2am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Everything will be usual time tonight, it'll just go automatically to 3am when the Euro finishes at 2am. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Hi all. Back from dinner. Itssss.......shoowwtimmmmeeeee. Lets do this.......... for starters...pick a low...any low...and place your bets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Hi all. Back from dinner. Itssss.......shoowwtimmmmeeeee. Lets do this.......... for starters...pick a low...any low...and place your bets. I'd really prefer to see just 1 low centered at the mouth of the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Hi all. Back from dinner. Itssss.......shoowwtimmmmeeeee. Lets do this.......... for starters...pick a low...any low...and place your bets. welcome back TT out to 48 looks good and west but everything running slower tonight. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I'm back too and told my wife I'll be spending the next 72 hours with new family. Let's do this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 That appears to be a CPA special, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, maytownpawx said: I'm back too and told my wife I'll be spending the next 72 hours with new family. Let's do this. atta boy.... looks a tick slower at 49. Snow breaking out in LSV at 51 3knam btw. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, canderson said: That appears to be a CPA special, no? Yes, per Bob Chill (MA Forum) Para NAM more in line with Globals FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 12km NAM through 69 looks pretty close to the 18z run, maybe just a hair southeast with it's QPF axis in southern PA but it's pretty much splitting hairs close. NE PA however has even heavier QPF (more solid region of 1.25"+. Also continues the trend 18z started with it really creating a gradient between say my location (near the 1" QPF line) and not very much in the Pittsburgh region (a few tenths). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 snow on WSPTWX's doorstep at 54 little different on NW quad but not bad. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 It looks like a foot plus from the true central PA on east. Not sure how north into PA though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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