Natester Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said: My storm total snow is 4.6 inches with a liquid total of 0.40". Hate to rub it in but I got a little over 6 inches of snow here and I'm not actually that far from you. Are you on the northwest side of town? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, Natester said: Hate to rub it in but I got a little over 6 inches of snow here and I'm not actually that far from you. Are you on the northwest side of town? I'm due west of downtown. The north side did very well during the initial burst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, hawkeye_wx said: I'm due west of downtown. The north side did very well during the initial burst. Oh, so you're not that far from me. I was on the fringe of that initial burst and for a period of 50-60 minutes it was puking snow. I live right along 1st Ave near Coe College. Jealous of what Central City got... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 33 minutes ago, tuanis said: Ballsy forecast. I'd cut those in half and hope for the best. I'm thinking the higher amounts play out (6+) but probably on a smaller scale than that map. Things would have to go just right for the entire lakeside area from southeast WI to the south side of Chicago to get 6+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Analyzing surface obs, the trough seem to be slightly further West than modeled, towards SE USA, while the s/w continues to develop (eventual phase later). Such a development could have a slight implication on the track than what is being modeled, but we wait and see how this develops thru today. 18z HRRR has 2.5" down at YYZ by 9z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2:20 pm update to snowfall map. More in line with what Hoosier and Tuanis were thinking. Tuanis' approx. location in further north red dot while my location is the south red dot. Still in bullseye but we will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just got home. About 4 inches here, lots of drifting, roads still bad, powder heaven. Does not feel like mid-March, thats for sure. Going to go out and enjoy the snow for a bit, still coming down good. Lake Erie has enhanced snow over the heart of metro-Detroit today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 LES starting to slowly sag south/pivot. LES showers almost reaching Rockford attm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 10 minutes ago, homedis said: 2:20 pm update to snowfall map. More in line with what Hoosier and Tuanis were thinking. Tuanis' approx. location in further north red dot while my location is the south red dot. Still in bullseye but we will see Will be interesting to see what they do with headlines. I would think advisory at least for Will and Lake county Indiana. Porter is trickier as there's more time before it gets there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 9 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Just got home. About 4 inches here, lots of drifting, roads still bad, powder heaven. Does not feel like mid-March, thats for sure. Going to go out and enjoy the snow for a bit, still coming down good. Lake Erie has enhanced snow over the heart of metro-Detroit today. Weird that it had more trouble sticking on the pavement here even with temps in the 20s and earlier timing. Maybe rates were better in your area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 12 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Just got home. About 4 inches here, lots of drifting, roads still bad, powder heaven. Does not feel like mid-March, thats for sure. Going to go out and enjoy the snow for a bit, still coming down good. Lake Erie has enhanced snow over the heart of metro-Detroit today. wow...you guys did great. considering how anemic the radar has looked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Snow is really melting here. Only 30 degrees, but we've already lost close to 3", and down to 2". 0.18" has melted through the rain gauge so far. DVN ended up with 6.9", and MLI 4.8". Pretty respectable, and a nice way to say goodbye to winter. EDIT: Have been shooting a time lapse since yesterday evening before the snow started. Tried out the "night lapse" feature on the new gopro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 MKX calling for totals of 16" in Milwaukee and 15" in Kenosha: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Measured 2.2" here, giving us the "biggest" snowfall of the entire winter season 2016-2017, beating out 1.5" from February 9th. Roads are are just mainly wet, with some minor slop in turn lanes, that's about it. Radar indicating things are about done here. 2.5" here....Springfield had 3.5"Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2:50 UPDATE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, homedis said: 2:50 UPDATE Text is bullish, calling for 5-10" and possibly locally higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Text is bullish, calling for 5-10" and possibly locally higher. That definitely seems probable wherever the line ends up sticking. I think they made an error saying they added a LE Advisory for Lake County Illinois, they probably meant Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 LOT The main challenge with lake effect snow events such as this is forecasting snowfall accumulations over a broader area. Because the heaviest snow showers are likely to be in a band only about around 15 miles wide, there is likely to be considerable variability in snowfall amounts over short distances. Some of this large variably is likely to occur over the Chicago area. Areas falling under the heaviest band of snow, which at the present time looks to favor portions of Cook...eastern Dupage and at least southern Lake county Illinois, a good 5 to 10 inches with isolated higher amounts appear likely. The main band of heavy lake effect snow appears that it may gradually shift southward or waver across Cook and Dupage counties through the night. This would suggest that the lake effect showers will begin to impact portions of Will and Lake county Indiana, especially later tonight into Tuesday. Additional heavy bands of snow may then shift back over far northeastern Illinois by Tuesday morning. For this reason, it appears that there could be a prolonged period or two of heavy lake effect snow over portions of the warned area, and this could result in isolated higher amounts than currently forecast. Lake effect showers will be possible through Tuesday for northeastern Illinois, before the main focus for lake effect begins to shift over northwestern Indiana. Additional headlines for lake effect may be needed for more counties in Indiana, but since most of these areas will not get in on most of the lake effect snow until either later Tuesday or Tuesday night, we have opted to hold off on this for now. Its even possible that the current advisory in effect for Lake county Indiana may need to be upgraded to a warning if it becomes apparent that heavier snow will fall there on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Lake effect snow now making it as far inland as near MSN, RFD and Dixon.That's just about as far inland westward that I can remember seeing LES.We'll see if guidance is right in pushing it further west into E. IA/NW. MO later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 A yawn on my side of town 1.5" but down by work definitely more. DTW got lucky that there was a lake effect band that formed off of Erie, else this would have been a deflating event for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3:20 PM update. The 6-8" keeps creeping closer to Hoosier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Those LOT maps are worthless. No clue how much will fall and where. Its Lake effect good luck predicting where it will fall.Sent from my SM-G925T using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, homedis said: 3:20 PM update. The 6-8" keeps creeping closer to Hoosier LOT must be snow map happy after going so long without the need for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, Guest said: Those LOT maps are worthless. No clue how much will fall and where. Its Lake effect good luck predicting where it will fall. Sent from my SM-G925T using Tapatalk They're definitely not worthless. Not saying they are going to predict exactly where the main band is going to end up, but it follows/depicts the newest guidance trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: LOT must be snow map happy after going so long without the need for them. Definitely. I've never seen them update the maps this much lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 28 minutes ago, Stebo said: A yawn on my side of town 1.5" but down by work definitely more. DTW got lucky that there was a lake effect band that formed off of Erie, else this would have been a deflating event for sure. We are nearing 5" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, buckeye said: wow...you guys did great. considering how anemic the radar has looked If you looked at local radar up here you would see that Lake Erie was seeding the snow in the DTW-ARB corridor. An unexpected treat. They should finish with at least 4-6" from Ann Arbor to Detroit, perhaps even more as radar keeps blossoming over the same area. DTW reported moderate snow often, think they went heavy for a time too. My morning commute sucked but its a price I gladly pay for snow. http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KDTW.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 0330 PM SNOW NEWBURG 43.43N 88.05W 03/13/2017 M15.6 INCH WASHINGTON WI CO-OP OBSERVER 15 INCHES TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW IN NEWBURG AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 13 minutes ago, homedis said: They're definitely not worthless. Not saying they are going to predict exactly where the main band is going to end up, but it follows/depicts the newest guidance trends. I'd say the maps are less useful than usual in a case like this, but it gives a broadbrush idea. People want to know how much snow is on the way so you have to attempt a forecast at some point. Can't just throw your hands in the air and say we have no clue. They have been mentioning the typical uncertainties with LES and hopefully that gets passed down to TV mets, etc, especially since it's involving a population that isn't as LES savvy as people in the snow belts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Snow starting to accumulate here in Findlay as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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