Chicago Storm Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Good portion of the MKE CWA seeing LES. Guidance actually brings the LES down towards RFD, FEP and cyclone later. I've seen it get as far inland as RFD/DKB before, but to near the IA border is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 SREF plumes indicating a mean of around 8.5" for YYZ once you pull the outliers. About 11.5" for YHM. Thinking 6" should be a lock for YYZ. Been getting those tiny rime flakes for the last few hours here but hasn't amounted to much more than a dusting so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Clouds have thinned, and temps have warmed up to 31. Snow has begun to melt on paved areas. It's probably starting to compact a bit elsewhere as well. Luckily the majority of the storm transpired before mid-morning. Still snowing lightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Yeah I'm not too crazy about being within peeing distance of LM for this.. Rather be inland some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 19 minutes ago, UMB WX said: March sun isn't doing a lick either. Its about as optimal as you can get for mid-march Makes sense with heavy snow there, here we have barely over an inch at my place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 KMKX in VCP 21, so we're not getting the extra scans every few mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Some hi-res guidance has LES making it down towards the IA/IL/MO border area later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 52 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: After 09z it looks like the LE band gets a shove south through southern Chicago. Parks pretty close to Hoosier's back yard around daybreak tomorrow. 3km NAM has him pretty close to 0.3" precip by the time it shoves east again. It's anybody's guess as far as how it plays out with duration. I'm reasonably confident in 3-5" here even if the band is fairly transient, but hoping it pulls a 1/21/2014. Might be too much to ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: It's anybody's guess as far as how it plays out with duration. I'm reasonably confident in 3-5" here even if the band is fairly transient, but hoping it pulls a 1/21/2014. Might be too much to ask. Haha, good luck. No matter what it will be entertaining, as it will likely snow quite hard there as the band passes through. Just a matter of if it stalls or not. Melting quite a bit here now. Very bright out with some dendrites still fluttering down. Rain gauge has measured 0.02" as the snow melts inside the funnel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 03/02/09 Please Lull here last hr. See what the LES brings.. Before going in - I always count on every LES situation to bust. I honestly don't know whats going to transpire. Could be a inch or less or 10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, UMB WX said: 03/02/09 Please Lull here last hr. See what the LES brings.. Before going in - I always count on every LES situation to bust. I honestly don't know whats going to transpire. Could be a inch or less or 10+ That's part of the fun of LES. But let's be honest... more often than not these events don't work out as expected on this side of the lake. They can work out though... especially with a bomb on the east coast. Fired up the cam for the first time this "winter": http://ustre.am/16Txc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 12 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Haha, good luck. No matter what it will be entertaining, as it will likely snow quite hard there as the band passes through. Just a matter of if it stalls or not. Melting quite a bit here now. Very bright out with some dendrites still fluttering down. Rain gauge has measured 0.02" as the snow melts inside the funnel. Even a 3-6" type deal in northwest IN would be one of the better March LES events in the area since 1998. Of course the synoptic storm that preceded (March 9) was just a little bit better than this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 7 minutes ago, tuanis said: That's part of the fun of LES. But let's be honest... more often than not these events don't work out as expected on this side of the lake. They can work out though... especially with a bomb on the east coast. Fired up the cam for the first time this "winter": http://ustre.am/16Txc There's a definite correlation there. Actually a good way to narrow down a search of past events... look for an east coast low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 My storm total snow is 4.6 inches with a liquid total of 0.40". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Banana PalmBoy is going to need a new pair of shorts... Training over Mt Saukville... I hope its record setting..he deserves it. 4 to 5 over here..roads are already melting ... clearing to the north. Season should end up pretty much near normal (snowfall amts) if no other big snows fall between now and summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 Here's an unmodified sounding over southern Lake Michigan later. Moisture extending up through 700 mb. 850 mb temps around -15C, leading to delta T in the upper teens to around 20C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3.4" via the board. With compaction and melting, not nearly that much on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 13 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: My storm total snow is 4.6 inches with a liquid total of 0.40". Sucks the late night snow didn't deliver there. Figured you'd make a legit run at 6". You can definitely tell the areas that benefited from some of the higher ratio meso bands. Several reports of 6"+, particularly north of I-80 in Iowa. Lowden just came in with 7.8". Guessing DVN will have come close to 7" based on the 5.8" from 12z. Finished with 4.7" here. Still could add a tenth or two later on if the LE stuff moves through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Measured 2.2" here, giving us the "biggest" snowfall of the entire winter season 2016-2017, beating out 1.5" from February 9th. Roads are are just mainly wet, with some minor slop in turn lanes, that's about it. Radar indicating things are about done here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky333 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Ground isnt even covered here. A bit bummed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Getting a steady LES streamer off of Lake Erie for the past few hours cutting through Windsor and down town Detroit. At home an inch, the city closer to 4. I can't recall such an influence on lake Erie on snow here ever before. I wonder if the trend will continue as the winds shift off of St Claire near the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 The latest HRRR has dual bands later tonight... one around MKE and a stronger one that parks over Cook county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 MKE is up to 9.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 0100 PM SNOW 2 WSW SAINT FRANCIS 42.96N 87.90W 03/13/2017 M9.5 INCH MILWAUKEE WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS STORM TOTAL SO FAR AT MITCHELL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. STORM TOTAL SO FAR IS 9.5 INCHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 lol ninja'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 ORD is up to 2.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Do you guys think the LES band is going to get over towards Dodge County/Columbia County at any point? It would be really weird to get lake effect over this far west. Especially in the middle of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 28 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Ballsy forecast. I'd cut those in half and hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 43 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Bullseye for me. I'm not gonna expect it but I sure am hoping for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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