RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Capture tug at this lead time can happen anywhere really, talking about like a 6hr window here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It does slow a lot between ACK and the outer cape much like Jan 2011 did so well have to watch that. I couldn't believe what I was reading last night. It was like a dream peeps mehing that Euro run. Some hard liquor on a Friday night must have been involved. 4 more Euro runs left in the period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It makes sense scientifically . It's ok to admit it. You'll still get over a foot I just did 3.2 billion mathematical equations in my head and my numbers say you're wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Should be high impact in terms of the NEISS number I would think (hope I got that right) I doubt I get in the top 5 all time, or even top 10, but it should be pretty sweet. Ray's write up is great. I do like how he uses the collective "we". This will help with ski conditions at the icy bump Like MPM eeyored, it might be tough to beat Rocktober (22" here) but it should be denser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I couldn't believe what I was reading last night. It was like a dream peeps mehing that Euro run. Some hard liquor on a Friday night must have been involved. 4 more Euro runs left in the period You should throw up the kuchie lala map to satisfy the hungry hounds. They need to see 40" on maps or its not real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: I just did 3.2 billion mathematical equations in my head and my numbers say you're wrong. Including the actual solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 45 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Ill put a 20% probability of this beating rocktober, the last good storm to hit gc. We've had an epic run of disappointment since. how much feb 13? Greenfield had almost 2 feet I thought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I couldn't believe what I was reading last night. It was like a dream peeps mehing that Euro run. Some hard liquor on a Friday night must have been involved. 4 more Euro runs left in the period Nemo or bust, and an entire bottle of wine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 7 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: how much feb 13? Greenfield had almost 2 feet I thought? I can confirm that. I actually think he and I got identical totals that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: I can confirm that. is he that much farther away from you? I know amounts decreased pretty good in the nw corner of the state but figured he was 20 anyways in that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I can confirm that. I am cautiously optmistic out here. A little nervous, I admit....Jan 15 dark cloud hangs over my roof, I need to break it up and never look back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 so if the NAM or older GFS runs should verify is the low occluding as it gets up this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I am cautiously optmistic out here. A little nervous, I admit....Jan 15 dark cloud hangs over my roof, I need to break it up and never look back. I would feel good if I were you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 13 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Parallax issues ? ...that's a new one for me... or, wait - is that similar to the perspective issues they have with fragmented image integrations with intelligence satellite imagery? that's where they have to sky scrapers right next to each other and because of slight variations in the vantage the buildings look like they are leaning on one another... So probably similar. If a satellite hits the side of a cold cloud it is not smart enough to know that's cloud and not surface radiation it is sensing. So it assumes it is surface, displacing the satellite image features north (in our hemisphere), which by makes the wave causing the cloud to appear shallower. This becomes more of a problem the farther north you are. Same issues can occur farther south with tall convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I can confirm that. I actually think he and I got identical totals that storm. I think I had 19" and you two were around 24" iirc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I am cautiously optmistic out here. A little nervous, I admit....Jan 15 dark cloud hangs over my roof, I need to break it up and never look back. yup and I will gladly take a wicked wcb thump to some mix before a half foot of arctic sand at 1mi vis for like 15 hrs before the sun comes out and then 2 inches of mid level magic a day later at least Jan 05 had a decent waa thump with the clipper but the actual redevelopment snow from that was only 2-3 additional inches here and while you did well with boxing day....that was probably the worst of all of them here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 I wonder if the 3/17 clipper moves a bit north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 When will they issue watches later today or tomorrow? Curious to know if they will go with blizzard watches.. Winds look pretty good with this.. If i had to make a guess i would go 8 to 14 right now.. But if it slows we beef them up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 It has been forever since there was a good region wide 10-20 inch snow storm in March, esp western zones so it is time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Around here I would go 8-14, gfs and gefs look a little dry for western mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Powderboy413 said: Around here I would go 8-14, gfs and gefs look a little dry for western mass down slope issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I couldn't believe what I was reading last night. It was like a dream peeps mehing that Euro run. Some hard liquor on a Friday night must have been involved. 4 more Euro runs left in the period I know I sound like a broken record, but this thing just screams Jan '11 to me. I like where we sit right now. Queens can deb all they want, this looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 PF was the winner for new storm thread with the WPC discusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: I know I sound like a broken record, but this thing just screams Jan '11 to me. I like where we sit right now. Queens can deb all they want, this looks great. Its fine man, keep beating the drum. I took a look at that yesterday on ewall and it has simliarities for sure. If we can get it to tug pretty much same time then we let it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 All the globals still have something cooking off the East Coast next weekend. We may have something else to track even while flakes are still falling from the 14/15th event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 45 minutes ago, Hoth said: I know I sound like a broken record, but this thing just screams Jan '11 to me. I like where we sit right now. Queens can deb all they want, this looks great. I think Will, you and I have thought this for a while, Will is just a lot more cautious about throwing out analogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 44 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: PF was the winner for new storm thread with the WPC discusion We boring as could be Title Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: I couldn't believe what I was reading last night. It was like a dream peeps mehing that Euro run. Some hard liquor on a Friday night must have been involved. 4 more Euro runs left in the period Not surprising after many here were posting "all-timer" and "Jan 2005" after the 12z Euro run Friday. How often does an all-timer for SNE occur from a southern stream system? Sure this has a good shot of being a historic storm by DC-Maine March standards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, wxsniss said: Not surprising after many here were posting "all-timer" and "Jan 2005" after the 12z Euro run Friday. How often does an all-timer for SNE occur from a southern stream system? Sure this has a good shot of being a historic storm by DC-Maine March standards. Qpf Queens gonna queen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 It's not like we flip to spring after the storm either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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