Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,589
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Model Mayhem VI


Typhoon Tip

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 2.4k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

West tick and best dynamics further southwest... congrats Philly on this run

Still a huge hit region-wide, but definite compromise towards GFS. A little surprised given this OP track seems a little west of ensembles. More ticks west would threaten all-timer status for Boston metro.

Haven't dissected what's happening at H5... whether this really is similar to GFS or is so at the surface just by chance.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The way it looks to me at H5... a huge factor is how quickly the Fujiwara dance takes place...

0z Euro (vs. 12z Euro), the northern stream energy is more prominent and therefore swings the southern stream energy further north earlier and closer... you can see the Fujiwara interaction happens sooner

Also explains why 12z-18z Wed the SLP move almost north into Maine rather than E / NE as it did on the 12z Euro run

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...