powderfreak Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Oh for Christ sakes stop. It's nothing like it. More like the Blizz of 93 mixed with Hurricane Andrew? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Storms and rumors of storms. Just get us the cold is and was our mantra. Remember all the cold and dry Nellie's. Since this is the model thread not a storm thread. Support for another large impact snowstorm grew overnight in the 18th 20th range. It's not over even then with ENS reinforced cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I try to lurk and not post much, but just sayin, I will freak the f out if euro verifies.Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Another great eps and gefs showing in general. Theres quite a few huggies on the gefs too, cant see eps. But the stalled out long duration type sceanario is losing some steam. inside 96hrs now with the initial interaction of sw's, today is kind of a big day to sniff out any clues....or glues, if thats your preference. I dont judge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Good am, regarding Tuesday event...is this going to be "one low" or will this be merging with another? Either way, slow event or quick mover if that can be answered? ty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 They're important though. Basically is this all srn stream or does it phase. Not disagreeing--still plenty of time--but as a forecaster I'll shave a day or two from the final solution to gain model accuracy and extrapolate myself based on a day 3 or day 4 look. You have to love consensus on guidance, particularly on the ensembles at under 96 hrs. Details regarding phasing are still unclear--no doubt-- but you can see the GFS is having difficulty resolving the complexity with the SLP jumping around like that. To my eye the 6z GFS should have taken the SLP much closer to the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 2 camps on the major models. CMC and EURO op are slightly east of benchmark whilst GFS and UKMET op are huggers. Middle ground and in decent agreement are the GEFS and EPS. Still many runs to go before this is ironed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Storms and rumors of storms. Just get us the cold is and was our mantra. Remember all the cold and dry Nellie's. Since this is the model thread not a storm thread. Support for another large impact snowstorm grew overnight in the 18th 20th range. It's not over even then with ENS reinforced cold. I like the way you tease me with your panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I dont think where the surface low presures are of any importance at this stage. Id rather look at other factors, where the L tracks can be hyper focused at nausem inside 48hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Its all downhill from the 6z GFS for up here. There's the run we'll remember in a few days cursing it when its tracking east of the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I dont think where the surface low presures are of any importance at this stage. Id rather look at other factors, where the L tracks can be hyper focused at nausem inside 48hrs. But its more fun to do it for 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 We wait years (like, 2?) for something like this to spring up. Anyone who is telling people to stop trying to track it can STFU hardcore. TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 6z GFS took a step in the euro direction with the srn s/w. We pray. My gut is telling me the GFS is doing it's normal bias of losing the southern stream. Hedging my thoughts to the Euro/GGEM camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 We wait years (like, 2?) for something like this to spring up. Anyone who is telling people to stop trying to track it can STFU hardcore. TIA ? Who is saying "stop trying to track it" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 ? Who is saying "stop trying to track it" Debbie downer scoots magoots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 My gut is telling me the GFS is doing it's normal bias of losing the southern stream. Hedging my thoughts to the Euro/GGEM camp. Euro ggem ukmet camp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Is the board still acting weird for people? (Can't click the notification box and no user name in quote box?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 My gut is telling me the GFS is doing it's normal bias of losing the southern stream. Hedging my thoughts to the Euro/GGEM camp. My guy says 0z Ukie is the compromise between the too. If euro is the ggem camp, that would scare the p*ss out of me of going in that direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Is the board still acting weird for people? (Can't click the notification box and no user name in quote box?) Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 cmc is basically the "if you extrapolate the nam" model, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 cmc is basically the "if you extrapolate the nam" model, imo. That alreasy exists, it's called the dgex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 My guy says 0z Ukie is the compromise between the too. If euro is the ggem camp, that would scare the p*ss out of me of going in that direction. Who's your guy? Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Playing catchup. Interesting to see Euro favor the southern stream. Jesus, James will be at full staff today after that run. He may need to see his doctor. Looks like 6z GFS a hair less tucked than last night, but congrats Pfreak on that one. Still have a hunch this ends up close to Jan '11 and we see it go over Ack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Who's your guy? Congrats! good catch...the guy below the belt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Who's your guy? Congrats! My . Obviously confidence of a storm is extremely high right now. Pretty remarkable how consistent the models have been for the last few days. It can happen though with a stable pattern with the flow buckled. I'm waiting till Saturday to see which way my thoughts will go (wet or white) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Good am, regarding Tuesday event...is this going to be "one low" or will this be merging with another? Either way, slow event or quick mover if that can be answered? ty no offense man, but read the thread. Plus, it is still 4 days out, so no one knows anything for certain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Is the board still acting weird for people? (Can't click the notification box and no user name in quote box?) Speculation. But given the potential HECS on guidance, administrators may have put the forum into a quasi-storm mode to prevent a shutdown of the site due to an influx of site traffic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 no offense man, but read the thread. Plus, it is still 4 days out, so no one knows anything for certain "like" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 "like" You're a mod, why don't we have that feature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Speculation. But given the potential HECS on guidance, administrators may have put the forum into a quasi-storm mode to prevent a shutdown of the site due to an influx of site traffic. Gotcha. I hadn't thought of that. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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