powderfreak Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Well qpf Queens and all I would look at Jan 2011 and think something similar Yeah you've been mentioning that for the past two days...seems like a good one. We did decently in that one, like 8-12" or something while you guys got 12-24". Could definitely see that happening. Can't believe its still at hour 120 though. 5 days is a long time in model world for it to be this consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 This trend west had better stop or there will be more disappointed weenies here than just those on the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Setting the goal post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Agree with DIT and Ginxy. Looking forward to this wknds 2nd press conference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I like weenies panicking already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah you've been mentioning that for the past two days...seems like a good one. We did decently in that one, like 8-12" or something while you guys got 12-24". Could definitely see that happening. Can't believe its still at hour 120 though. 5 days is a long time in model world for it to be this consistent. Certainly not locking anything in, Lucy has pulled the football many many times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I like weenies panicking already. Radio show to put the nail in the coffin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: This trend west had better stop or there will be more disappointed weenies here than just those on the Cape. is it a trend? Let's wait until 0z to establish that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: is it a trend? Let's wait until 0z to establish that. You can always tell the nervous Nellies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 That 1/11/11 is my best melt I think. Unless I'm confusing it with 1/26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Gfs was close to another good storm after this one but stays south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: You can always tell the nervous Nellies Starts with the coastal dwellers first then progress's west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: is it a trend? Let's wait until 0z to establish that. It's been a trend since the 06z run. 0 850 @ 126 hr. is up to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: is it a trend? Let's wait until 0z to establish that. I've got this feeling one of these runs will rip it up the CT River Valley and everyone will freak out, then it'll trend East for 3 days and all will be ok with the world lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: is it a trend? Let's wait until 0z to establish that. I think it is, and will be.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I'l be one bitter mofo if Philly gets more than I ¬¬ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: I've got this feeling one of these runs will rip it up the CT River Valley and everyone will freak out, then it'll trend East for 3 days and all will be ok with the world lol. You mean like the 12z Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don't think so. Even with the GFS you're an icebox. Hell most of the storm here wouldn't be wet. Eh.....not to start, but at the height maybe...I'm speaking of what verifies, not this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I wouldn't get to wrapped up in where this is tracking right now because its going to change for a few more cycles until the vortmax out west comes onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I wouldn't get to wrapped up in where this is tracking right now because its going to change for a few more cycles until the vortmax out west comes onshore. Yeah maybe it digs even more and matures over the mid Atlantic and gives ray it's occluded smegma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 7 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: It's been a trend since the 06z run. 0 850 @ 126 hr. is up to BOS. Precip is mostly done by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, BRSno said: I'l be one bitter mofo if Philly gets more than I ¬¬ They haven't had anything all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: It's been a trend since the 06z run. 0 850 @ 126 hr. is up to BOS. Notice 0 850 and 2m are congruent at the height. That's your wrapped up bombing low. Very similar to Boxing Day which went out over outer cape but better because the occlusion is later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah maybe it digs even more and matures over the mid Atlantic and gives ray it's occluded smegma. Not out of the question, That trough was pretty far south this run, That what i would be more concerned with is that it blows its load further south, Or it phases even earlier and tracks up the hudson then an OTS solution right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah maybe it digs even more and matures over the mid Atlantic and gives ray it's occluded smegma. You are looking forward to my melts as this evolves....they may be relatively tempered since my impending fantasy draft is there to pick up the pieces.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Not out of the question, That trough was pretty far south this run, That what i would be more concerned with is that it blows its load further south, Or it phases even earlier and tracks up the hudson then an OTS solution right now. OTS is almost off the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 With that arctic HP where it is..it's not cutting west lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You are looking forward to my melts as this evolves....they may be relatively tempered since my impending fantasy draft is there to pick up the pieces.... not at all. Just busting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: With that arctic HP where it is..it's not cutting west lol Again that means nothing. Surface features are governed by mid and upper level features. If those change, so does HP. What it good, is that the antecedent airmass is about as good as it gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not out of the question, That trough was pretty far south this run, That what i would be more concerned with is that it blows its load further south, Or it phases even earlier and tracks up the hudson then an OTS solution right now. Agreed....I'd like to see the digging trend cease. This GFS run was great, but leave it there. Anyone have the 18z 10:1 map? Enough with the glue sniffing Kuchie kids... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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