CoolMike Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 44 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the fact that it is 6 days trumps any sort of other "red flag" such as "the ukie is southeast" or anything along those lines...OP runs move all the time. Hell, the Feb 2013 blizzard had zero model support when the Euro started showing it about 132 hours out until we got inside 96 hours...zero. Remember it went like 3-4 straight runs going solo? Lol. Perhaps I was thinking about a different storm but my recollection of the run-up to that storm is exactly the opposite. I recall reading weenie snow maps a week in advance and just watching as run after run the outputs were insane. I remember one Euro run had almost 50 inches of snow for the storm total at one location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoolMike said: Perhaps I was thinking about a different storm but my recollection of the run-up to that storm is exactly the opposite. I recall reading weenie snow maps a week in advance and just watching as run after run the outputs were insane. I remember one Euro run had almost 50 inches of snow for the storm total at one location. You might be remembering some of the Euro runs....but it was all by itself for several runs in a row beyond day 4 in the Feb 2013 blizzard. The other guidance finally caught on around 96 hours. Granted, 96 hours is still 4 days worth of model watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 There is really nothing to get too excited about until Ray, N of Pike and Zeus start posting regularly in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 This storm for March 14th looks like a Mauler, which will be intensified by the boundary between arctic air and spring like air to the south. This seems like a potentially major QPF producer regardless of intensity of the surface low. GFS 12z run was weaker with the surface low near the benchmark and EURO was more intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 20 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: There is really nothing to get too excited about until Ray, N of Pike and Zeus start posting regularly in this thread. This has had my seal of approval for awhile..I'm just busy through Friday...only so much to be said at day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: side note. I am a bit disturbed sir Ginxalot is late to his presser. Probably passed out in the command center somewhere in SECT. All pressers start late. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: CONTACT: Sir Weenie ALot ARCTIC BLAST FOLLOWS MINOR 2-3 INCH SNOWS IN CT, MAJOR STORM POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK Tolland Mastiff CT, 3/8/2017 - Howling arctic winds and cold dominate the weekend following a minor snow event which could produce 2 to as many as 4 inches across the state. However Sir Weenie ALot atop the Mastiff has predicted winter storm warnings with up to 6 inches of snow will be issued, the heaviest of course at 1K in ECT. Feel like temps will be well below zero for most of the weekend with blowing and drifting of any snow which falls Friday. snow squalls will accompany the Arctic front creating severe mid winter conditions for man and beast. The most reliable models,we mean model, indicates, CT and EMA should receive 2-4 inches of snow Friday morning followed by clearing in the afternoon. Friday night as the Arctic front approaches, snow squalls and showers followed by quickly dropping temps and howling winds will mean temps into the single digits by morning with accompanying wind chills near and much below zero. Next week is a question mark but increasing indications are that a snow storm of substantial proportions should affect the New England area with heavy snow, strong winds and cold temperatures. the dynamics of this storm will not be fully understood until at least Sunday and at that time we will issue another presser. That ends our briefing, feel free to ask questions. Background information will be given by Sir Weenie Alot multiple times in the next days, however our next full briefing will be held around 3PM Sunday Weenie Alot productions are a subsidiary of LALALA Lock it up productions INC. /release Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 31 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: There is really nothing to get too excited about until Ray, N of Pike and Zeus start posting regularly in this thread. N Of Pike and Zeus are sure thing bettors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gwhizkids Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: All pressers start late. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: CONTACT: Sir Weenie ALot ARCTIC BLAST FOLLOWS MINOR 2-3 INCH SNOWS IN CT, MAJOR STORM POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK Tolland Mastiff CT, 3/8/2017 - Howling arctic winds and cold dominate the weekend following a minor snow event which could produce 2 to as many as 4 inches across the state. However Sir Weenie ALot atop the Mastiff has predicted winter storm warnings with up to 6 inches of snow will be issued, the heaviest of course at 1K in ECT. Feel like temps will be well below zero for most of the weekend with blowing and drifting of any snow which falls Friday. snow squalls will accompany the Arctic front creating severe mid winter conditions for man and beast. The most reliable models,we mean model, indicates, CT and EMA should receive 2-4 inches of snow Friday morning followed by clearing in the afternoon. Friday night as the Arctic front approaches snow squalls and showers followed by quickly dropping temps and howling winds will mean temps into the single digits by morning with accompanying wind chills near and much below zero. Next week is a question mark but increasing indications are that a snow storm of substantial proportions should affect the New England area with heavy snow, strong winds and cold temperatures. the dynamics of this storm will not be fully understood until at least Sunday and at that time we will issue another presser. That ends our briefing, feel free to ask questions. Background information will be given by Sir Weenie Alot multiple times in the next days, however our next full briefing will be held around 3PM Sunday Weenie Alot productions are a subsidiary of LALALA Lock it up productions INC. /release You can do a human interest story on Erin to accompany this release. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Gwhizkids said: You can do a human interest story on Erin to accompany this release. Appears Erin will be at full attention in those temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gwhizkids Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Appears Erin will be at full attention in those temps. Yes, it will be quite nippy out. (please don't ban me for that. It was such a softball I couldn't pass it up!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, Gwhizkids said: Yes, it will be quite nippy out. (please don't ban me for that. It was such a softball I couldn't pass it up!) I think she will be happy to see Kev Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: All pressors start late. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: CONTACT: Sir Weenie Alot /release This makes the fans happy, talk radio board switch is lit up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 We really won't have a real solid idea until Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Whineminster said: We really won't have a real solid idea until Monday. lol ok, yea when the phasing is about to occur, sure. Dont go out on a limb now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 26 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: All pressers start late. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: CONTACT: Sir Weenie ALot ARCTIC BLAST FOLLOWS MINOR 2-3 INCH SNOWS IN CT, MAJOR STORM POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK Tolland Mastiff CT, 3/8/2017 - Howling arctic winds and cold dominate the weekend following a minor snow event which could produce 2 to as many as 4 inches across the state. However Sir Weenie ALot atop the Mastiff has predicted winter storm warnings with up to 6 inches of snow will be issued, the heaviest of course at 1K in ECT. Feel like temps will be well below zero for most of the weekend with blowing and drifting of any snow which falls Friday. snow squalls will accompany the Arctic front creating severe mid winter conditions for man and beast. The most reliable models,we mean model, indicates, CT and EMA should receive 2-4 inches of snow Friday morning followed by clearing in the afternoon. Friday night as the Arctic front approaches, snow squalls and showers followed by quickly dropping temps and howling winds will mean temps into the single digits by morning with accompanying wind chills near and much below zero. Next week is a question mark but increasing indications are that a snow storm of substantial proportions should affect the New England area with heavy snow, strong winds and cold temperatures. the dynamics of this storm will not be fully understood until at least Sunday and at that time we will issue another presser. That ends our briefing, feel free to ask questions. Background information will be given by Sir Weenie Alot multiple times in the next days, however our next full briefing will be held around 3PM Sunday Weenie Alot productions are a subsidiary of LALALA Lock it up productions INC. /release Mastiff? Isn't that a dog breed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: Mastiff? Isn't that a dog breed? trolling a troll, touche Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: N Of Pike and Zeus are sure thing bettors Technically, I've already posted in this thread. However, that was for the express purpose of upholding and enforcing my taboo ordinance re: a certain 2001 storm of note. Furthermore, this remains the model mayhem thread, and my presence here cannot thus be considered an endorsement or harbinger of any specific storm, even though one may currently be dominating as the unofficial true topic of the thread. When I am in, you will know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Will, Scott, is the Tuesday storm a Manitoba Mauler disturbance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 This should be another big hit based on 132 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 12 minutes ago, Zeus said: Technically, I've already posted in this thread. However, that was for the express purpose of upholding and enforcing my taboo ordinance re: a certain 2001 storm of note. Furthermore, this remains the model mayhem thread, and my presence here cannot thus be considered an endorsement or harbinger of any specific storm, even though one may currently be dominating as the unofficial true topic of the thread. When I am in, you will know. bananas are in your future Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 23 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Mastiff? Isn't that a dog breed? He is of Tibetan breed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 yea, its slower a bit with a deeper trough. Another solution but geez.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: lol ok, yea when the phasing is about to occur, sure. Dont go out on a limb now. Listen, I just don't want to be let down again like we have numerous times over the past month. Once the thing starts phasing then I will: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 well, that's an "ok" run. see you in 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Missle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 This is one heckuva blizzard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2-4 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 29 minutes ago, Whineminster said: We really won't have a real solid idea until Monday. If the big boy models stay consistent I am all in on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Yeah Jerry, this is one heckuva blizzard potential. This is the last five consecutive runs of the GFS showing this blizzard type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Wow gfs impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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