WintersComing Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Oh geez....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: DFW. Nothing but beautiful expressways, flat wasteland, and BBQ joints. Enjoy your blue norther. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wish we could lock at that H5 look...that would make a massive percentage of the forum happy. (sorry powderfreak and eyewall) We know the drill ;). BTV has already issued it's normal one Winter Storm Warning of the year but BOS isn't up to their normal 8 a Winter yet, so bound to beat few big ones left there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: We'll find you hanging from the rafters of an outdoor BBQ joint sometime later next week. Does he have any idea of the DFW and missed HECS connection. Hint-I made a conscious decision to never ever go there in winter again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, db306 said: Oh geez....lol We need to outlaw Kuchie snow maps though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I'm just going to jump into one of those steerhead horns mounted on a Cadillac. Or just do a bellyflop into a rattlesnake pit while Weymouth is reporting S+ for hours and reading posts on your phone of amarshall buried under 22", Jerry with 2 feet, and Ray complaining he got 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Right.....just though that was a good weenie one to post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: We need to outlaw Kuchie snow maps though. Also maps that cut off 75% of the posters in this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Also maps that cut off 75% of the posters in this forum. True but we know how these play out already...not even worth the bandwidth of the maps. Gradient around Dendrite to Hippy. Crushing blow BOS to TOL. Rinse and repeat for the next decade ;). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, db306 said: Oh geez....lol Please lock. Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Kuchera aside, given the Euro depiction I would say model QPF is underdone. "Only" around 0.80" for GYX given that mid level evolution? I'll take the over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: Kuchera aside, given the Euro depiction I would say model QPF is underdone. "Only" around 0.80" for GYX given that mid level evolution? I'll take the over. Yeah mid-levels are at their max intensification while passing by New England....so we'd probably see easily over 1 inch qpf amounts in a large area. Esp considering this system has a bit of southern connection too. Anyways, I'm sure it will look different at 00z. Too bad we're still in that fringe time range...day 6 is not complete clown range, but it's not nearly as confident as like 84-96 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 12 minutes ago, weathafella said: Does he have any idea of the DFW and missed HECS connection. Hint-I made a conscious decision to never ever go there in winter again. LOL Ask Ryan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: Does he have any idea of the DFW and missed HECS connection. Hint-I made a conscious decision to never ever go there in winter again. I sort of have to. I'll be happy if I do well...all that matters. And LOL Will. Ray will definitely complain about a 25DBZ sucker hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah mid-levels are at their max intensification while passing by New England....so we'd probably see easily over 1 inch qpf amounts in a large area. Esp considering this system has a bit of southern connection too. Anyways, I'm sure it will look different at 00z. Too bad we're still in that fringe time range...day 6 is not complete clown range, but it's not nearly as confident as like 84-96 hours. 1 inch per 6 hr stuff in a cold environment is cray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Holy sh it... Runaway: 3pm press briefing on schedule I never doubted your commitment to the organization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 I'm really more impressed by the strength of this signal on the ensembles than the op runs. Gefs were eye opening for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 13 minutes ago, powderfreak said: We know the drill ;). BTV has already issued it's normal one Winter Storm Warning of the year but BOS isn't up to their normal 8 a Winter yet, so bound to beat few big ones left there. It's D6, by Sunday some will be fretting over a coastal hugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It's D6, by Sunday some will be fretting over a coastal hugger. I'm just joking...but if I'm a betting man the odds would be stacked more towards recent confirmation bias, haha. Good off season case study to look at the last 5 years worth of big ticket events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I'm just joking...but if I'm a betting man the odds would be stacked more towards recent confirmation bias, haha. Good off season case study to look at the last 5 years worth of big ticket events. Jan 2011 , good analog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2017 Author Share Posted March 8, 2017 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah mid-levels are at their max intensification while passing by New England....so we'd probably see easily over 1 inch qpf amounts in a large area. Esp considering this system has a bit of southern connection too. Anyways, I'm sure it will look different at 00z. Too bad we're still in that fringe time range...day 6 is not complete clown range, but it's not nearly as confident as like 84-96 hours. let alone the fork lightning thunder squalls nest in meso bands... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Jan 2011 , good analog I would take a Jan '11 redux in a heartbeat. All time favorite. Still have visions of the radar just exploding in NJ and thinking, "Game on." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2017 Author Share Posted March 8, 2017 Call me nerdy but I'm psyched to see the individual GEF members... I bet there's some solutions that are 'off the charts' - pun most certainly intended.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Erin will be pointing the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Call me nerdy but I'm psyched to see the individual GEF members... I bet there's some solutions that are 'off the charts' - pun most certainly intended.. We will call you cheap for not wanting to pay the $100/year to have paid access. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 EPS out to 75 hours. We'll have the verdict by 2:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Jan 2011 , good analog was just going to ask if there are some CIPS analogs people have access to yet? was thinking boxing day but if we will go through the same model gyrations as that storm I will need psychiatric treatment when over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 The dramatic shift south at the 500 level on the Euro was eye popping. Now do you think we can get 2' on Tuesday. And have it gone by the 25th? Probably right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, cleetussnow said: was just going to ask if there are some CIPS analogs people have access to yet? was thinking boxing day but if we will go through the same model gyrations as that storm I will need psychiatric treatment when over. Not even close enough yet for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 GFS has a slower evolution than the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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