CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Eric FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 On 3/11/2017 at 3:53 AM, weathafella said: I am-in the back Expand I think I'm the only one who actually isn't seen falling in the hole...you see me early on way over on the right side walking toward the shot, but I never reappear from the right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 GFS making eastern correction thru 06z tues. better s/w separation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 It hugs again to start. See what it does as it gets to the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Still looks wonky by 18z tues but it's better for eastern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Tracks over the NJ coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Still going over ern ma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Energy looks a little more disconnected again. Less phased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Why does it seem it barely looks like it gets any inflow? It's all waa moving NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 It definitely is a little less phased if you will. Also the mslp looker a little better...less unrealistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Huge snow dump front end and the low is occluded by the time it is onshore in EMA. H85 150 miles east of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 On 3/11/2017 at 4:06 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Why does it seem it barely looks like it gets any inflow? It's all waa moving NE. Expand There's plenty of inflow...how do you think it is dumping snow all the way back into central NY state? We just mostly gets the crazy WCB with the bent back ML warm front on that type of a track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 On 3/11/2017 at 4:09 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Tossed. Expand Goofus hitting the pipe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 On 3/11/2017 at 4:08 AM, ORH_wxman said: There's plenty of inflow...how do you think it is dumping snow all the way back into central NY state? We just mostly gets the crazy WCB with the bent back ML warm front on that type of a track. Expand Maybe it's my crappy maps Im looking at, I would just think there is more of a bomb ccb. guess its there need to switch to pivotal weather. Yea, smh. pivotal is better. 5ppd tag me now. thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 On 3/11/2017 at 4:09 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Tossed. Expand Caught Weenie run here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Canadian corrected west but is a compact nuke that still grazes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 On 3/11/2017 at 4:07 AM, CoastalWx said: It definitely is a little less phased if you will. Also the mslp looker a little better...less unrealistic Expand Yeah similar sfc track, but happens with a little different upper air which is prob why there was less mid-level warm tongue getting into SNE that run. The main shortwave back in the lakes is almost more kicking the front runner east a little before phasing fully with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 On 3/11/2017 at 4:09 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Tossed. Expand 5 runs in a row? just throw em away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 This run would be pretty forgettable, but nice event nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 On 3/11/2017 at 4:12 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 5 runs in a row? just throw em away? Expand Gone. Going to EURO here....I think it will come west some, but I don't trust the GFS. I mean...why wouldn't it keep being wrong before the SW moves onshore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2017 Author Share Posted March 11, 2017 Same schit, different shovel ... next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Cmc is pretty similar to the euro if you don't queen it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 On 3/11/2017 at 4:14 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Gone. Going to EURO here....I think it will come west some, but I don't trust the GFS. I mean...why wouldn't it keep being wrong before the SW moves onshore? Expand I dunno who I trust lol, just having fun chasing this effin thing. I just dont know why anyone would toss a piece that has been stubborn to move much. Obv the vets know better on the specifics but the end result is not that far off from previous runs. Anyway, if we can blend this and the euro everyone is happy but 1 or 2 people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 On 3/11/2017 at 4:17 AM, weathafella said: Cmc is pretty similar to the euro if you don't queen it up. Expand The leading shortwave is def more paltry on the GGEM which is why it's kind of compact, but it's a similar level of phasing, or lack thereof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 On 3/11/2017 at 4:19 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I dunno who I trust lol, just having fun chasing this effin thing. I just dont know why anyone would toss a piece that has been stubborn to move much. Obv the vets know better on the specifics but the end result is not that far off from previous runs. Anyway, if we can blend this and the euro everyone is happy but 1 or 2 people. Expand The euro has been consistent, too....and is a better model. It makes sense that any decent piece of guidance would hold fast until the sw is sampled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Hearing Ukie corrected well east. Anyone got eyes on it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Uncle goes over the benchmark Way east of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Nice storm, Nothing historic as of now, A lot of moving parts still going on, Another 24 hrs should start to give some direction to where this ends up trending towards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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