nw baltimore wx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, mappy said: Models were pretty bad overnight? For most though you're still good. May have to take you up on that whiskey sledding! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I'm still liking where we sit in leesburg. Lol just noticed gfs-Para decided to run last night with a good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I can't wait till I get 3 sloppy inches in my yard after being teased with a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 F*** this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 24 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: For most though you're still good. May have to take you up on that whiskey sledding! Yeah, I was never worried up here. I see the r/s line has shifted west. Ugh. Sorry for those impacted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Man, the gfs refuses to surrender. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I see there are a lot of debbie downers in the other thread. I bet most of them live in a more favorable area than I do and I'm still pretty stoked. They have a way better shot than some of us. You never know what's going to happen. I read the discussion from LWX and I still don't know what took them so long to switch to an advisory for this area. I hope Mother Nature has something up her sleeve tonight and tomorrow. Good luck NW peeps with your snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Can't remember the date but this is starting to remind me of a storm many years ago when leesburg got 7" and it rained inside the beltway. And just so everyone is clear I no longer live in leesburg...I'm now about 15 miles WSW of KHEF. I can basically walk to Fauquier county. Far enough west I think as my longitude is west of my old house....but just too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 13 minutes ago, Ltrain said: I see there are a lot of debbie downers in the other thread. I bet most of them live in a more favorable area than I do and I'm still pretty stoked. They have a way better shot than some of us. You never know what's going to happen. I read the discussion from LWX and I still don't know what took them so long to switch to an advisory for this area. I hope Mother Nature has something up her sleeve tonight and tomorrow. Good luck NW peeps with your snow I think that some of their concern is for the morning commute tomorrow when the whatever quickly changes back to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Going to be an annoying day for AA schools tomorrow. The impact will be different west to east in AA county more so than any other in the area. Though since there's been no snow days so far, I'm sure they'll cancel anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 My bar is set at avoiding rain. I'd even take an entire storm of sleet but I don't want rain. Early call is 1-3" of snow followed by a mixed bag of everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I'm not even safe out in Reston with the 06Z NAM. 6 hours of sleet/rain, yuck. GFS/Euro solution though and I'm all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 This storm has been a huge waste of time. I spent the last 7 days tracking a rain storm for AA county. The worse part is were stuck in a worthless cold pattern as spring starts. I'd feel a lot better if the torch was coming back in a couple days. Now we have months of 50 and foggy. Ok.. I feel better. I'm out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Stoked for Hrrrrr related cliff jumping today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 A lot of the times the mixing line will move southeast to northwest over the county. For instance I am pretty much due north of Annapolis by about 8 miles so if it was true east to west than I should mix at the same time but it takes a good 15 or 30 minutes for it to get to my area. A couple times Annapis would mix but I would stay all snow even though I am relatively close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, mappy said: Models were pretty bad overnight? They were actually pretty ok big picture. They held for most part, maybe even a hair better. Literally depends where you are. You are great I think in most scenarios. I may be ok even. Maybe. changeover line is close, so that's the angst. Really on edge in cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Stoked for Hrrrrr related cliff jumping today This board will be unreadable for those of us on edge of changeover danger area as people post those every hour. They never seem to show good news for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 9 minutes ago, dailylurker said: This storm has been a huge waste of time. I spent the last 7 days tracking a rain storm for AA county. The worse part is were stuck in a worthless cold pattern as spring starts. I'd feel a lot better if the torch was coming back in a couple days. Now we have months of 50 and foggy. Ok.. I feel better. I'm out. You'll see snow and sleet changing back to all snow. I'm in the same county you are and I've been tracking for 7 days also. No forecast mentions rain, only the precip type maps are showing rain and that is what you are going by. Look at your LWX forecast, mine doesn't even mention rain at all. It says snow mixing with and then changing to sleet and then changing back to snow around 9am and the snow could be heavy at times. The rain you see on the precip map is sleet because it's adding to the snowfall accumulation map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: This board will be unreadable for those of us on edge of changeover danger area as people post those every hour. They never seem to show good news for my area. Ha, I was thinking the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said: For most though you're still good. May have to take you up on that whiskey sledding! Oregon ridge?... I think I am taking my boys there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I'm pretty scared. Getting some bad vibes. For once the news stations are more optimistic then we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 16 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: They were actually pretty ok big picture. They held for most part, maybe even a hair better. Literally depends where you are. You are great I think in most scenarios. I may be ok even. Maybe. changeover line is close, so that's the angst. Really on edge in cities. I see it could be a long day for mods then. Thanks. I went to bed before even the NAM was finished running, briefly checked things this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Here is my analysis. I think it comes south. I think it is gonna be harder than expected to overcome/ erode the the cold air at the upper levels. It's cold. And it is cold northeast, North and west of the storm. If there were a case for slightly cold verification of the models... this would be it. Obviously weenie banter as I have no clue what I am talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 26 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: This board will be unreadable for those of us on edge of changeover danger area as people post those every hour. They never seem to show good news for my area. Today is going to suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 10 minutes ago, PDIII said: Here is my analysis. I think it comes south. I think it is gonna be harder than expected to overcome/ erode the the cold air at the upper levels. It's cold. And it is cold northeast, North and west of the storm. If there were a case for slightly cold verification of the models... this would be it. Obviously weenie banter as I have no clue what I am talking about. Wasn't Hurricane Sandy's inland impact mitigated some by cold upper level air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Well....at least it's 18 degrees now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I would like to see my region in Virginia changed to a winter weather advisory, effective immediately. I will see half of an inch of snow tonight followed by sleet then heavy soaking rain. I will see at least an inch of rain. I can't believe the NWS has not yet seen sense about Woodbridge Va. The low will track up Chesapeake Bay and overnight Temps will rise into the lower 40s tonight in Dale City. Enjoy the heavy blowing snow in western VA and in western and northern MD tonight through tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 LETS DO THIS!!! Should be the best storm ever for many of us so why all the sourpusses? There is literally NOTHING that can go wrong with this storm. I've counted the chickens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 A couple of radar questions for later por favor: -- What are the best ways to see the precip type changeover lines on Radarscope? (I need to read up on this dual pol and correlation coefficient stuff). -- What is your favorite radar to see the precip types on the computer? THANKS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Storm banter thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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