Ltrain Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, BristowWx said: I wondered how that works with the watches or warnings. My county is 44 miles NW to SE. The difference in snowfall can be significant. Do they take the highest expected snow fall in one particular area or the average? Maybe the average? I know in AA county it's a huge difference in the north and central portion compared to the southern portion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 32 minutes ago, feloniousq said: IT'S THE NAM. ONE THAT IS LITERALLY ABOUT TO BE DRUG INTO THE PASTURE AND SHOT. That's great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, wxtrix said: SAD! It really is. But it's the only alcohol I have left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: it's 10:43 pm and I'm drinking mimosas because i'm out of beer. i got beer. i'll pick u up at target Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Recent model output is reinforcing my thinking that I will see some snow at the onset, then sleet, then a period of plain rain along with above freezing surface temps, then back to sleet then back to all snow. I now believe that i could total anywhere from 1 inch, to perhaps three inches of snow. MUCH of the model output precip for Dale City VA WILL BE SLEET and also a period of steady plain rain. Still, I stand to double my seasonal snow totals for the Winter of 2016/2017. Eastern Prince William County needs to have a Winter Weather ADVISORY. NO WAY I get 6 inches of snow. No way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 56 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I'll tell you what, this place is deflating. I see zombies crying at the gate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Is it just me, or is it not that many people from Baltimore that comment on this forum? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Recent model output is reinforcing my thinking that I will see some snow at the onset, then sleet, then a period of plain rain along with above freezing surface temps, then back to sleet then back to all snow. I now believe that i could total anywhere from 1 inch, to perhaps three inches of snow. MUCH of the model output precip for Dale City VA WILL BE SLEET and also a period of steady plain rain. Still, I stand to double my seasonal snow totals for the Winter of 2016/2017. Eastern Prince William County needs to have a Winter Weather ADVISORY. NO WAY I get 6 inches of snow. No way.But you will stay awake to watch every sleet pellet, snow flake, and rain drop fall.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 RGEM looks warm on the hr36 map posted. Has 850 all the way back to the blue ridge. Large influx of warm air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 15 minutes ago, motsco said: i got beer. i'll pick u up at target You're bad. I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, kurtstack said: But you will stay awake to watch every sleet pellet, snow flake, and rain drop fall. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk That, I WILL. And I will be sure to shovel every last flake of snow, and dump them all in a place in my yard north of any structure which blocks the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 11 minutes ago, wxtrix said: you'd better stock up tomorrow. I'm going to be the first dude in line when they open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Is it just me, or is it not that many people from Baltimore that comment on this forum? Lol I'm here. Not much to say. We're riding a line. Not sure what part of city you are in. I have about 364 feet of elevation at my part off of 83 near northern parkway. I don't think I am far enough north or have enough elevation to feel great about things, but still hold onto a shred of hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I'm at the acceptance stage now, Bob Chill, Katie and WinterWxlvr are going to be ripping fat dendrites while I'm reporting pouring Rain/Sleet mix between 1 am and 6am. The bar is this: OPM/DC Gov closed. I get this, I'm good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 24 hours ago we were rejoicing 20 inch snowfall maps for DC. What a difference a day makes. This doesn't happen in other places. It really doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Even though I might end up eating a lot of rain and or sleet, I am really elated that folks such as WxTrix and others out west will see plenty of snow. Regardless of the outcome IMBY, I'll be cheering em on! I hope Westminster gets training thundersnows and 32 inches of snow! And wind gusts to 35 mph. Just be sure you all take plenty of jebwalks. And you better take pics --- Or, it never happened. lol Winter is NOT finished with us yet. WE WILL SEE MORE SNOW IN MARCH THIS YEAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 The question is, what do we do when the GFS comes in the same or even colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm at the acceptance stage now, Bob Chill, Katie and WinterWxlvr are going to be ripping fat dendrites while I'm reporting pouring Rain/Sleet mix between 1 am and 6am. The bar is this: OPM/DC Gov closed. I get this, I'm good. Preach. I just want the government to close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm at the acceptance stage now, Bob Chill, Katie and WinterWxlvr are going to be ripping fat dendrites while I'm reporting pouring Rain/Sleet mix between 1 am and 6am. The bar is this: OPM/DC Gov closed. I get this, I'm good. I'm having that same sinking feeling... I haven't given up yet but I'm not thrilled with the trends, and at this range you can't disregard the NAM or RGEM. If tomorrow's HRRR runs show our region getting fleeced with a dry slot and mangled mix while the secondary low gets going just in time for 40N to get clobbered, then this storm isn't worth my time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: The question is, what do we do when the GFS comes in the same or even colder. 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Preach. I just want the government to close. yes. 2" of sleet and 3" of snow would do this so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: The question is, what do we do when the GFS comes in the same or even colder. more beer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: The question is, what do we do when the GFS comes in the same or even colder. To quote the great American poet Steve Miller, we go on, take the money, and run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 8 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: I'm here. Not much to say. We're riding a line. Not sure what part of city you are in. I have about 364 feet of elevation at my part off of 83 near northern parkway. I don't think I am far enough north or have enough elevation to feel great about things, but still hold onto a shred of hope. Yeah, I know about you, lol But besides you, who else from Baltimore comes on here? (and I'm in northeast Baltimore) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Well... If the GFS ticks noticably W with the L, I'd say the regional models are about to score a coups and its game over for the cities. Help us, GFS... You're our only hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 33 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah, I know about you, lol But besides you, who else from Baltimore comes on here? (and I'm in northeast Baltimore) I lived in Hamilton neighborhood before moving across town two years ago. NW Balt poster is a little to my north and west I think. goblin of doom baltwxguy is over in Essex/Dundalk I think. vinyl is Balt based I believe. mitchnik is around bwi. the guy with Towson handle is self-explanatory. i believe fozz is timonium, map north of that in parkton. i am sure I am forgetting others. Read Mitch, vinyl and even goblin of doom for Balt specific insights imo. Fozz and map too, tho their stuff can be way different from what we get inside 695... i will occasionally dabble in analysis, but after seven years of working on this hobby, still don't know enough to think about jumping in when psu, bob, Matt, randy, Ian and many other brilliant posters and red taggers are analyzing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 crunch time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I lived in Hamilton neighborhood before moving across town two years ago. NW Balt poster is a little to my north and west I think. goblin of doom baltwxguy is over in Essex/Dundalk I think. vinyl is Balt based I believe. mitchnik is around bwi. the guy with Towson handle is self-explanatory. i believe fozz is timonium, map north of that in parkton. i am sure I am forgetting others. Read Mitch, vinyl and even goblin of doom for Balt specific insights imo. Fozz and map too, tho their stuff can be way different from what we get inside 695...Not quite. Gaithersburg/Germantown border... like 5 miles north of Bob Chill. Also my bias is NW of DC yes, but I try to include everyone from the cities north... forecasting for SE of the cities I rarely do because when things are interesting enough for me to pay attention, they almost always suck down that way, and yes, my best storms will be mixy in the cities... just the way of coastals. There is the rare coastal that ends up too Far East and shafts us though, so it all evens out.Sent from my HTC 10 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 Cross vinyl off the local list then - but read his stuff in my view- it tends to cover our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 GFS sucks out this way. 850s torch!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Fully expect the 6z and 12z GFS to keep ticking West. I hope this is just a mere wobble, but I'm telling you, I can't shake the feeling that I'll be watching it rain/sleet all night on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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