Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Filtered sunshine now in Gaithersburg...clouds melting away pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Cloud watch has begun. Patches of blue in silver spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 The line of convection in WV will probably fragment as it crosses the highest terrain, which could produce tornadic supercells moving rapidly into the I-95 corridor mid-day and early afternoon. I suspect a zone just south of DCA towards RIC might be most at risk for this but a second track could form in MD and se PA. The Midwest trailing low is deepening and has a prominent dry tongue feature now in eastern IN, western OH and I expect a second vigorous to severe squall line to develop in the surface trough now moving through w/c IN around 18z when it reaches w/c OH. This would be the focus for later damaging wind gusts through the Mid-Atlantic. So essentially there are two periods for very strong winds, one around 18-20z and the second one around 23z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Suns out in DC....liking our chances today. Line looks nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Clearing is on our doorstep... this was my biggest concern and its looking pretty good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Clouds just cleared in Gaithersburg, direct sunshine. Game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 We don't do very well in these parts when 2 rounds of thunderstorms are forecast, but I sure as heck would like to see it work out for everyone. Would be a rare treat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Sunshine in downtown Balt. Suck it, HRRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 DCA at 70...almost full sun in Gaithersburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Full Sun and 75/63 in Spotsylvania now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 The 14Z HRRR seems to be predicting a tornadic cell in central MoCo at 2P today. Strong cell on the sim radar, a bullseye of 0-1km helicity into the ~500 range, and a bullseye of SigTor 3+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 It will be interesting to see what the 1630z outlook update will be,based off LWX's morning update. They will be doing a special 18z balloon apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 6 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: The 14Z HRRR seems to be predicting a tornadic cell in central MoCo at 2P today. Strong cell on the sim radar, a bullseye of 0-1km helicity into the ~500 range, and a bullseye of SigTor 3+ That would be a bullseye on me. Doesn't surprise me - 75 degrees now and full sunshine in Gaithersburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 1, 2017 Author Share Posted March 1, 2017 Suns out guns out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 14 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: The 14Z HRRR seems to be predicting a tornadic cell in central MoCo at 2P today. Strong cell on the sim radar, a bullseye of 0-1km helicity into the ~500 range, and a bullseye of SigTor 3+ A Bob Chill wedge? I'll assume that propagates towards Eastern HoCo. Gulp. Edit: Olney could be a great spot today for chasing. Maybe stop in at Waredaca. Farmhouse brewery yes, but some flat views all around with other farms near by. Has a bit of Midwest feel. Was there for some severe last summer. Got great pictures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 15z HRRR is bullish again. Run is not complete yet but the hours that matter are out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 1, 2017 Author Share Posted March 1, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 74 in Gaithersburg at our EOC wx station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 71.4 with mixed sun and clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Kinda cool here, don't know if it's the same for all. The visible sat shows clear here, but there isn't a ray of sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Moderate dropped 1630z outlook. 5% tornado introduced in our area. 45% wind remains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 1, 2017 Author Share Posted March 1, 2017 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Kinda cool here, don't know if it's the same for all. The visible sat shows clear here, but there isn't a ray of sun. winchester fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Plenty of sunshine and 73 here in Fairfax. Getting windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 1, 2017 Author Share Posted March 1, 2017 64/59 at home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: Moderate dropped 1630z outlook. 5% tornado introduced in our area. 45% wind remains. Sauce: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2017/day1otlk_20170301_1630.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 65/61 with wind picking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 71.9/63.0. 722 W/M2 solar, which is pretty close to full sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 The sun is having a death match with the clouds here. My window blinds are basically changing hue every 30 seconds or so. Already nice and breezy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Just went under warning, storms headed this way on radar, possible 70 mph winds in warning. Will let you know what happens. Absolutely crazy on temps, have soared to 71.1/54.9 with winds currently SSW at 22 gusting to 34 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 4 minutes ago, mappy said: winchester fail Does it need to be clear all the way to the surface. These clouds look very low. Don't you still get good heating in the lower levels? I'm hoping for a Winchester fail, but do find this stuff interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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