ErinInTheSky Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Sun is trying to peak out here in Gburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Guess the obs are in here. Sun poking through slightly here in Rockville! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Peeks of sun in Montgomery Village Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 STW coming by 1030 per SPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Blue Box coming shortly: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2017/md0240.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 1, 2017 Author Share Posted March 1, 2017 18 minutes ago, yoda said: Didn't see it posted (well not the image) so posting it for posterity ummm. I posted it? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Wording of that mesoscale discussion sounds borderline moderate for 1630z - but we'd need hatching of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Wording of that mesoscale discussion sounds borderline moderate for 1630z - but we'd need hatching of course. Yea I was thinking the same thing. It wouldn't surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Yeah, I can't see us getting a moderate here. Everything will be linear and we are right on the northern edge. I think people should just be happy with windy thunderstorms and if things get really crazy, it'll be a surprise. South and west of DC looks fantastic though (still within our subforum area). I still think we will get some pretty gnarly weather here in MoCo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 1 minute ago, supernovasky said: Yeah, I can't see us getting a moderate here. Everything will be linear and we are right on the northern edge. I think people should just be happy with windy thunderstorms and if things get really crazy, it'll be a surprise. South and west of DC looks fantastic though (still within our subforum area). I still think we will get some pretty gnarly weather here in MoCo. We are already in the 45% (some of us at least). Plus, you don't need supercells for a moderate risk - we've had plenty linear moderate days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 And the sun has just broken through over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: We are already in the 45% (some of us at least). Plus, you don't need supercells for a moderate risk - we've had plenty linear moderate days. I know - we're going to get a lot of wind for sure. But are we going to get 60kt+ winds that justify hatching and moderate risk? I'm not so sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 I promise I'm not trying to throw cold water on this, I'm actually extremely excited for today's severe, I just have learned I have to manage my expectations living here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Wind picking up a bit here in Gaithersburg. All the low and mid level clouds and clearing out pretty fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Wind picking up a bit here in Gaithersburg. All the low and mid level clouds and clearing out pretty fast. It really is - you see how fast those clouds are moving? They were whipping by OMW back from Olney. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Skies getting brighter a bit in downtown Balt City, hints of clearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Looks like a couple pockets of hail embedded in the line in WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Any possibility that this has the resemblance of what I think was a late June day a few years ago when a line of storms moved through DC region around 3pm with wind gusts to 80 mph? Or is this a whole different system? I remember LWX issuing STW swaths Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Skies def brightening with sun behind some high thin clouds. Wind already legit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 1, 2017 Author Share Posted March 1, 2017 Sun starting to make an apperance in Hunt Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Never been more excited for skies to start clearing. A few peeks of blue. Warm humid breeze. Mmmmm...smells like severe. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Looking at the OBS in Virginia and W. Virginia, once the sun peeks out the temps get up into the 70s pretty quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Partly Sunny skies and 71/62 here in Spotsylvania Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Just stepped out on my deck. Feels spring like. Partly sunny temp up to 60 with a dew of 59. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Blue Box until 5pm: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0056.html Actually pretty 'meh' on the probabilities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 1, 2017 Author Share Posted March 1, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Blue Box until 5pm: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0056.html Actually pretty 'meh' on the probabilities Yeah - interesting given they bumped to 45% probs and then this. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Updated LWX disco: FXUS61 KLWX 011540 AAA AFDLWX Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1040 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A strong cold front will pass through the area late today and tonight. After a brief period of high pressure Thursday, an area of weak low pressure will cross the region Friday. High pressure returns for the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Severe Tstm watch # 56 has been issued for most of the area until 5PM except Calvert and St. Marys county. Severe squall line over WV has produced a ton of severe wx already. Looks like two rounds of showers/t-storms one early this afternoon which is likely to be severe given a strong environmental flow and then a second round likely non-severe with actual cold frontal passage. The actual cold front crosses the area late this evening through midnight. Expect another gusty convective line on the front with thunder possible. Wind shifts NW with late night strong winds across the area. Wind Advisory potential late tonight with gusts 40 to 50 mph possible across the CWA in cold air advection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Yeah - interesting given they bumped to 45% probs and then this. Weird. 1630 SPC OTLK in about half an hour to 45 mins should be interesting to see if they keep the 45% wind or go bold and go mod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 sun breaking through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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