Eskimo Joe Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 HM: "Things definitely leaning HRRR right now, speed of line too." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 STW Nelson and Albermarle... I think thats where we have to watch for our storms as they are moving NE I think this cell is the one to watch... its movement NE puts it in our area in a little while ETA: BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 154 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2017 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Madison County in northwestern Virginia... Southeastern Rockingham County in western Virginia... South central Page County in northwestern Virginia... North central Albemarle County in central Virginia... Greene County in central Virginia... * Until 245 PM EDT * At 153 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Grottoes, or 14 miles southeast of Harrisonburg, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Madison, Stanardsville, Big Meadows, Elkton, Mcmullen, Rocky Bar, Boonesville, Lydia, Haneytown, Pratts, Mission Home, Swift Run, Pine Grove, Fletcher, Graves Mill, Jollett, Aylor, Saint George, Wolftown and Shady Grove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Outflow boundary hit Purcellville but it was weak. Nice clouds and some dark scuds.. but not much to write home about! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Worried about that split around Front Royal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Just now, midatlanticweather said: Outflow boundary hit Purcellville but it was weak. Nice clouds and some dark scuds.. but not much to write home about! There's a pretty defined...gust front evident from Westminster down to Front Royal...seems like the storm can't maintain an updraft for more than 20-30 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 200 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2017 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... West central Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northeastern Warren County in northwestern Virginia... Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... * Until 245 PM EDT * At 200 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Stephens City, or 7 miles south of Millwood Pike, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Berryville, Stephens City, Boyce, White Post, Howellsville, Armel, Briggs, Millwood, Nineveh, Bethel, Cedarville, Stringtown and Paris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Wonder what will happen with all the convergence in central Loudoun. If nothing, I am soon out of the game! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Warnings are flying from LWX now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 1 minute ago, midatlanticweather said: Wonder what will happen with all the convergence in central Loudoun. If nothing, I am soon out of the game! Probably a good downpour, but the base velocity scans and lightning have been pretty anemic over the past 30 min. There's a couple more robust cells down near Culpepper and I'm wondering if they are robbing the juice for our stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Down 10 degrees. Talking about a split! I live where the red arrow is pointing! LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Probably a good downpour, but the base velocity scans and lightning have been pretty anemic over the past 30 min. There's a couple more robust cells down near Culpepper and I'm wondering if they are robbing the juice for our stuff. Thats the storms that will probably affect our region in a little bit as they move NE and are severe warned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 19, 2017 Author Share Posted June 19, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 SPLIT is not looking great for me! Just a downpour.. and lack of lightning is a bummer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 This should be the storm to affect DC probably in about an hour or so IMO BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 217 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2017 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central Madison County in northwestern Virginia... Central Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southern Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... * Until 300 PM EDT * At 217 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles north of Madison, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Culpeper, Warrenton, Madison, Bealeton, Brightwood, Opal, Remington, Calverton, Midland, Castleton, Elkwood, Catalpa, Brandy Station, Haywood, Amissville, Casanova, Jeffersonton, Syria, Turnbull and Banco. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Can that line east of Front Royal please just connect so that I can be assured I get something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Gust front now out racing the line by a fair bit. Looks like it's running SW -> NE from Middleburg to Poolesville to Reisterstown. Unless something pops along this quick it might kill our storm chances pretty quick. Almost no lightning now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 19, 2017 Author Share Posted June 19, 2017 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Gust front now out racing the line by a fair bit. Looks like it's running SW -> NE from Middleburg to Poolesville to Reisterstown. Unless something pops along this quick it will might kill our storm chances pretty quick. Almost no lightning now. lol you're a hoot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Looks like there is the potential for a nice little punch of wind between Warrenton and Culpeper. Radarscope tells me that there is lightning all over the place. Not Derecho lightning, but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Just now, MN Transplant said: Looks like there is the potential for a nice little punch of wind between Warrenton and Culpeper. Radarscope tells me that there is lightning all over the place. Not Derecho lightning, but still. Nope... Eskimo Joe said there was no lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Serious amounts of rain in these storms. Almost 3/4 of an inch in 15 minutes! Super close lightning bolts too! Better than expected! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 1 minute ago, MN Transplant said: Looks like there is the potential for a nice little punch of wind between Warrenton and Culpeper. Radarscope tells me that there is lightning all over the place. Not Derecho lightning, but still. Yea that's a healthy segment probably the best chance to see a good event...tops pushing 50,000 ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Just read that this is a meh event due to that meddling gust front. See you for hurricane season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 8 minutes ago, yoda said: Nope... Eskimo Joe said there was no lightning Yep, no lightning https://www.lightningmaps.org/#y=39.2396;x=-77.612;z=9;t=3;m=sat;r=0;s=0;o=0;b=;n=0;d=2;dl=2;dc=0; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 19, 2017 Author Share Posted June 19, 2017 psst. where there is thunder, there is lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Yep, no lightning https://www.lightningmaps.org/#y=39.2396;x=-77.612;z=9;t=3;m=sat;r=0;s=0;o=0;b=;n=0;d=2;dl=2;dc=0; That shows intra-cloud and CG or just CG? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Line is strengthening just in time. I think we'll be OK for severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 We had quite a bit of lightning and thunder the last 5 minutes and that little downpour did put out .98" of rain.. I am guessing we hit 1 inch+. Not too shabby! EDT: But really NO WIND! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 245 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2017 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... The City of Fairfax in northern Virginia... Western Fairfax County in northern Virginia... Central Fauquier County in northern Virginia... East central Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia... North central Culpeper County in northern Virginia... The City of Manassas Park in northern Virginia... Northwestern Prince William County in northern Virginia... The City of Manassas in northern Virginia... * Until 330 PM EDT * At 244 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Warrenton, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Centreville, Reston, Annandale, Springfield, South Riding, Herndon, Fairfax, Brambleton, Warrenton, Mantua, Dulles International Airport, Ashburn, Burke, Linton Hall, Oakton, Sterling, Chantilly, Bull Run, Bealeton and Haymarket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: That shows intra-cloud and CG or just CG? Should be CG. It's very accurate. Even the "thunder circle" that expands outwards from the strike is very accurate. It's a great site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 That Haymarket storm is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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