Kmlwx Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Hatching removed. Very meh outlook from SPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 On 4/6/2017 at 12:47 PM, snowfan said: WTF didn't they cancel school? You should comment on the school district's facebook page! Expand i did. they replied back to say i need to speak to mattieg for official school statements. just heard thunder here at work. i'm finding an interior room now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Didn't expect thunder & a wicked close lightning strike this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 The loud thunder startled me a couple times. I've had some pretty nice BOOMS. Radar looks good for some good rains this morning. Hopefully we get a good follow up line later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Abc7 is trying to chase today utterly pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 HRRR continues to swing a line through around 1PM. it does show some nice updraft helicity tracks, although the sfc-based cape is pretty marginal, so I'm still wondering if those storms will be elevated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 On 4/6/2017 at 1:17 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Can you explain what that means? Is that just a way of saying the convection is unlikely to produce a tornado? Expand Elevated convection is activity that is not able to 'root' at the surface, and largely does not produced severe weather. It can produce prolific lightning and rain, but that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 On 4/6/2017 at 1:17 PM, Eskimo Joe said: Elevated convection is activity that is not able to 'root' at the surface, and largely does not produced severe weather. It can produce prolific lightning and rain, but that's about it. Expand EJ said it right. The parcels being lifted are originating from a level well above the surface, since the surface is too cool. In the midwest, these storms can still produce large hail, but you need steep lapse rates aloft for that, and we rarely see those out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 6, 2017 Author Share Posted April 6, 2017 On 4/6/2017 at 1:17 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Can you explain what that means? Is that just a way of saying the convection is unlikely to produce a tornado? Expand pretty much. elevated and linear storms are tornado killers. you want surface based storms and discrete cells for anything worth while to happen. doesn't mean we can't get a decent T&L, maybe some hail, and gusty winds. But any spinny things happening aren't looking good for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxReese Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 These storms are hauling this morning! 60-70 mph. That's impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Maybe we'll get lucky and this'll somehow transition into a training/flood event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 there ya go! Always think positive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Mid to upper 60's showing up now in SoMD and northern neck. We'll see how far N and W the warmer air can punch over the next couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 6, 2017 Author Share Posted April 6, 2017 rain finally made it to mt. parkon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 It's pretty easy to track where the unstable air is right now. My yard is obviously still in the stable sector. Looks like some cells with T&L will be crossing the potomac into SoMD shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 On 4/6/2017 at 1:41 PM, Bob Chill said: It's pretty easy to track where the unstable air is right now. My yard is obviously still in the stable sector. Looks like some cells with T&L will be crossing the potomac into SoMD shortly. Expand I'm looking at the GOES16 sat images and I think it is easy to see on that where it is too. If this current batch gets out soon there could be some peeks of sun. you can see some clearing to the SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 I'm out for our area. I'm in for Southern Maryland...a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 On 4/6/2017 at 1:44 PM, H2O said: I'm looking at the GOES16 sat images and I think it is easy to see on that where it is too. If this current batch gets out soon there could be some peeks of sun. you can see some clearing to the SW Expand http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=nrnmidat-02-24-1 Looks decent for some clearing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 6, 2017 Author Share Posted April 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Based off the GOES images... I would expect some breaks in the clouds in our area around 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 I can almost smell the disappointment in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 I highly doubt we get much if any breaks in the clouds. We don't really need it anyways. Dynamics are already baked in. We need luck more than sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 6, 2017 Author Share Posted April 6, 2017 On 4/6/2017 at 2:26 PM, Tater Tot said: I can almost smell the disappointment in this thread. Expand does it smell like tears of children? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Oooh, thunder from the strike in n bethesda just rolled through here. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 On 4/6/2017 at 2:37 PM, Bob Chill said: Oooh, thunder from the strike in n bethesda just rolled through here. Nice. Expand I saw the strike, t'was a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 On 4/6/2017 at 2:32 PM, Bob Chill said: I highly doubt we get much if any breaks in the clouds. We don't really need it anyways. Dynamics are already baked in. We need luck more than sun. Expand We don't need it for thunderstorms, but for anything surfaced-based and potentially severe, every degree we can heat will help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
93Blizzard Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Figured I would make my first post and join in on the discussion. Just got some nice rolling thunder in North Baltimore City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 On 4/6/2017 at 2:52 PM, 93Blizzard said: Figured I would make my first post and join in on the discussion. Just got some nice rolling thunder in North Baltimore City. Expand Excellent, another one from north Baltimore city ! Not a lot of us from that area post consistently on the board. Welcome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Lots of thunder in Northern AA Co... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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