NC_hailstorm Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 58 minutes ago, Disc said: Speaking of the 3k, that supercell along the NC/SC border starting west of Rockingham, NC is nasty. You can see it ride the warm front from west to east, before things begin to go linear. I honestly believe we will see the boundary set up along the NC/SC border -- A lot of times these CAD/backdoor fronts are a lot stronger than modeled, which is why I believe most of the "action" will be southern NC and into northern SC. Yep,these wedge/backdoor fronts usually but not always set up around Gastonia/Charlotte/to around Albemarle here in the piedmont/west central NC for as long as I can remember.Anyone one the front will have to pay close attention tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Raining here this morning. Unless it clears up, I don't see much in terms of severe storms here. We usually need some clearing to create the spark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 A few severe thunderstorms will be possible along and south of the boundary this afternoon and evening. At the moment, it appears that areas south of the immediate Triad and Triangle areas may have the higher chance of severe weather. This includes Albemarle, Wadesboro, Southern Pines, Sanford, Fayetteville, and Clinton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Southern NC south of I40 and very northern C SC upgraded to enhanced risk this afternoon. 10% tor probabilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Good call from SPC. System is assuming some mid-latitude characteristics while maintaining robust LLJ and boundary layer flow. Adequate upper level flow has developed. I documented a tornado in Alabama yesterday (Tenn Valley disco forthcoming) and similar wind fields are heading your way. Enhanced looks about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 1 hour ago, Disc said: Southern NC south of I40 and very northern C SC upgraded to enhanced risk this afternoon. 10% tor probabilities. Congrats CLT ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 1, 2017 Author Share Posted September 1, 2017 HRRR says what thunderstorms in the ENH area, the 3k Nam is a bit better with coverage but most of the storms are east of the 10% area....and both very much have a major squall line for central and eastern NC but I that explains why the focus is back west where the storms will be more discrete and moving more north versus a squall line racing east. Looking at the vis you do see gravity wave clouds over the area highlighted by SPC and thats seems to be a common occurrence in areas that have tornados later.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Clearing some in Raleigh. Wonder if it's enough to help fire up anything this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Sun is coming out here but I am not seeing high cape yet either. Chris Justice was saying watch out if the sun came out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 NWS SPCVerified account @NWSSPC 1m1 minute ago 12:08pm CDT #SPC_MD 1609 , #ncwx #scwx, https://go.usa.gov/xRsST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 NWS RaleighVerified account @NWSRaleigh 2m2 minutes ago A tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and South Carolina until 10 PM EDT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Goodness the lack of radar detail over Charlotte is one of the worst in the country. I know it is discussed often here. We waiting for debris balls? Come on they are rotating! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Looks like a tornado WARNING headed into Asheboro from Albemarle. These storms definitely snuck up on me today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Tornado Watch Number 477 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 150 PM EDT Fri Sep 1 2017 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western and central North Carolina Northern South Carolina * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are beginning to develop in broken bands to the east of the remnants of tropical depression Harvey. These storms will strengthen through the afternoon, and the storm environment will favor a threat for tornadic supercells along a slow-moving front across North Carolina through late evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles southwest of Hickory NC to 55 miles east northeast of Fayetteville NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 1, 2017 Author Share Posted September 1, 2017 Need to also watch that cell near Spiveys Corner starting to get a hooky radar presentation and some rotation now on velocities but its kinda far east so not in the best shear.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 1, 2017 Author Share Posted September 1, 2017 23 minutes ago, nrgjeff said: Goodness the lack of radar detail over Charlotte is one of the worst in the country. I know it is discussed often here. We waiting for debris balls? Come on they are rotating! Yeah its pretty bad radar coverage there, looks like several rotation now west of Kannapolis is getting nasty, the one in SE Charlotte metro is also getting that look... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 31 minutes ago, nrgjeff said: Goodness the lack of radar detail over Charlotte is one of the worst in the country. I know it is discussed often here. We waiting for debris balls? Come on they are rotating! Coverage in the Triad is bad too. Stick a site in like Kannapolis and you give good coverage to both areas. Which is like 5 million people. But I certainly don't see it happening anytime soon. That cell going towards Asheboro is no joke and still strengthening it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 1, 2017 Author Share Posted September 1, 2017 wrong thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Had a good downpour in North Raleigh. Now the sun is out and it's windy. Don't think the sun coming back out after the rain is a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, downeastnc said: latest Euro is UGLY......one more frame to go but it is no bueno........ Please elaborate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 1, 2017 Author Share Posted September 1, 2017 The T warned cell is about to merge with the north moving severe warned cell this should be interesting.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Front is still over the Triad,64 with a NE wind at 16 at KINT.81 S wind at 8 at KCLT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 4 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Please elaborate. wrong thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Agree. It is almost the opposite problem there with radar right in town and under much of local storms. Wichita has the issue, but one just goes to Vance. Springfield MO can use Tulsa. Frankly, it is inexcusable to allow both of these issues below in Carolina Alley. Stay safe! 39 minutes ago, Dunkman said: Coverage in the Triad is bad too. Stick a site in like Kannapolis and you give good coverage to both areas. Which is like 5 million people. But I certainly don't see it happening anytime soon. Charlotte is too far from radar. 1 hour ago, nrgjeff said: Goodness the lack of radar detail over Charlotte is one of the worst in the country. I know it is discussed often here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 That is a potent line heading NE of Charlotte right when schools are letting out and rush hour will be kicking in. Very ugly afternoon in store for many! Lightning hit campus at Catawba College and knocked out power there. Daughter said it felt like the windows blew out with the concussion of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 1, 2017 Author Share Posted September 1, 2017 Still a well defined rotation with that cell approaching Siler City....not tornado warned ATM but I imagine its got one wicked looking wall cloud with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Surprised they let the warning, even the SVR, lapse on that obvious supercell SE of that one and passing just N of Cameron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 5 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Surprised they let the warning, even the SVR, lapse on that obvious supercell SE of that one and passing just N of Cameron. Its got my attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 ...annnnnnnnd it's warned again. Still SVR only, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 1 minute ago, CheeselandSkies said: ...annnnnnnnd it's warned again. Still SVR only, though. Should be on top of me shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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