Solak Posted May 30, 2017 Share Posted May 30, 2017 859 PM EDT MON MAY 29 2017 ...A pair of strong thunderstorms will affect portions of northeastern Scotland...northeastern Richmond...southwestern Lee... Hoke...southwestern Harnett...central Moore...southeastern Montgomery and northwestern Cumberland Counties Until 1000 PM EDT... At 857 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a pair of strong thunderstorms from near Carthage to 4 miles northeast of Ellerbe. Movement was east at 35 mph. Pea size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms. Locations impacted include... Fayetteville, Southern Pines, Raeford, Carthage, Fort Bragg, Pinehurst, Aberdeen, Hoffman, Pope AFB and Hope Mills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 30, 2017 Share Posted May 30, 2017 AFD: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 945 PM Monday... A couple of very strong cells are crossing the Sandhills, within an environment of somewhat low LCLs and around 50 kts of deep layer shear, but weak low-level shear and marginal instability. These cells have exhibited deep broad rotation, but the weak and unfavorable low level wind field, and the lack of a focus/boundary to concentrate any low level vorticity, do not appear to support any significant spinup at the surface. While strong wind gusts remain possible, hail development will continue to be limited by poor mid level lapse rates. Will continue to monitor these cells as they move into a better CAPE environment with sufficient effective shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 30, 2017 Share Posted May 30, 2017 14 injured in Sampson County http://abc11.com/weather/14-hurt-in-sampson-county-storms/2053643/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted May 30, 2017 Share Posted May 30, 2017 Got a ping on my phone this morning stating that Fort Macon had an 82 MPH wind gust during a morning severe storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 US National Weather Service Raleigh NC added 6 new photos. 3 hrs · Based on a storm survey conducted today in northern Sampson County, straight-line winds last night were responsible for a broad, five-mile-wide swath of damage extending from north of Salemburg eastward to the Duplin County line. Winds were estimated to be in excess of 70 mph throughout this damage path, with localized areas of 80-90 mph. Hundreds of trees were downed, along with several structures damaged or destroyed. For more information, see our Public Information Statement: https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php… +3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huriken Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 We could see some severe weather Monday. Dr. Greg Forbes Torcon forecast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 Still a chance for something... 2:58pm CDT #SPC Day1 Outlook Slight Risk: across deep south tx, acro... http://go.usa.gov/YWq5 ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible across portions of south Texas, the High Plains into central Wyoming, the middle Ohio Valley to eastern New York, and the Carolinas and vicinity mainly through this evening. A few strong to briefly severe storms may also be possible overnight along the central/eastern Gulf Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2017 Author Share Posted June 5, 2017 Tor warning for Rocky Mount, really nice rotation and couplet could be producing about to go right into the Golden East section of Rocky Mount......though it looks to have faded luckily in the last frame.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2017 Author Share Posted June 5, 2017 Another cell over Wilson CO starting to rotate though nothing to rough yet....still very broad rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 740 PM EDT MON JUN 5 2017 The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a * Tornado Warning for... North central Pitt County in eastern North Carolina... Southwestern Martin County in eastern North Carolina... * Until 830 PM EDT * At 739 PM EDT, tornado producing storms were located along a line extending from 11 miles north of Pitt Greenville Airport to near Robersonville, moving east at 10 mph. Public reported Tornado on the ground near Highway 30 between Bethel and Stokes. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Public confirmed tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2017 Author Share Posted June 5, 2017 I saw the wall cloud leaving work, I almost went after it but its been a long day so I headed home, I regret that decision now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmh90 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, downeastnc said: I saw the wall cloud leaving work, I almost went after it but its been a long day so I headed home, I regret that decision now. Where was it at? I'm currently in Raleigh but my dad works in the Industrial park on Sugg Parkway and he doesn't carry his phone on him so I can't get in touch with him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 759 PM EDT MON JUN 5 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MARTIN COUNTY... At 759 PM EDT, tornado producing storms were located along a line extending from near Robersonville to 7 miles southwest of Williamston, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Public confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. These tornadic storms will be near... Williamston around 815 PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 4 SSE Bethel [Pitt Co, NC] 911 CALL CENTER reports TORNADO at 5 Jun, 7:25 PM EDT -- 911 CENTER RELAYED PUBLIC REPORT OF TORNADO NEAR HIGHTWAY 30 AND STATON MILL ROAD. SUBSEQUENT REPORT OF SEVERAL HOMES DAMAGED BUT NO INJURIES. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 6, 2017 Author Share Posted June 6, 2017 Just now, cmh90 said: Where was it at? I'm currently in Raleigh but my dad works in the Industrial park on Sugg Parkway and he doesn't carry his phone on him so I can't get in touch with him. Up along Hwy 30/64 between Bethel and Stokes so it was 5-8 miles north of of that area as the crow flies......my work is about a mile from where your dad works the tornado, though my brother who I work with and is currently at work just filmed a gustnado right over by your dads work lol..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 It's a shame the storm is pretty much in radar no-mans-land between all 3 radars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 6, 2017 Author Share Posted June 6, 2017 OK this is the video Shaggy just sent me, its crappy cause he cant shoot video worth a crap but looks like it could be either a brief tornado or gustnado..... He posted straight from phone much better quality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Maybe this one off my phone instead of a transfer will be better quality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 6, 2017 Author Share Posted June 6, 2017 FB picture of the tornado east of Bethel earlier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 6, 2017 Author Share Posted June 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Looks like it came from a supercell. Any radar capture? I think I remember good cells on NC radar Monday afternoon but I did not follow closely. LLJ was pretty veered off, but perhaps not as much so that far east. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 49 minutes ago, nrgjeff said: Looks like it came from a supercell. Any radar capture? I think I remember good cells on NC radar Monday afternoon but I did not follow closely. LLJ was pretty veered off, but perhaps not as much so that far east. Nice! Here is a radar capture I took shortly after it went under a warning and the tornado was reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Looks like a traditional tornado, more than a land spout or gustnado. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiltedStorm Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Looks like a chance for a strong storm or two from Atlanta up the I-85 interstate Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted July 8, 2017 Author Share Posted July 8, 2017 Could be the beginnings of that severe line forming NW of the triangle, the Hi Res models have it scooting SE in the early evening hrs...if it can happen fast enough to tap into the very unstable air over central and eastern NC we could actually see some severe storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huriken Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Looks like there's potential for severe weather on Thursday and Friday. Friday seems to have the biggest potential for a greater threat. Thursday Friday The wording from the SPC for Friday is interesting... ...Mid South and Southeast to the middle and southern Atlantic Coast... While a large degree of uncertainty exists with respect to timing/location, evolution of severe convection is expected across a rather broad area of the southern and eastern U.S. Friday ahead of the advancing cold front and associated/digging upper system. As enhanced/diffluent flow aloft spreads across the area ahead of the upper system, a favorable kinematic environment for organized/fast-moving bands of storms will exist. The main questions at this time revolve around timing of synoptic features, and evolution of prior -- and ongoing -- convection, and related effects on heating/destabilization potential. Given these questions, a broad 15%/slight risk area is being included across what appears to be the zone of greatest risk at this point, with later adjustments to area and risk level likely to be required. Along with risk across portions of the Mid Atlantic area ahead of the anticipated track of the main vort max, the broad zone of enhanced/diffluent northwest flow aloft across a large portion of the southeast U.S. would also support potential for rather widespread damaging wind risk with multiple, upscale-growing bands of storms through the afternoon and evening hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 Wonder if we'll get any decent storms tomorrow. I had a streak of three days in a row for getting storms a couple weeks ago, and then had a nice one last week. Only thing is my daughter has become really afraid of storms now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Slight risk is gone During the evening hours, as the surface low moves toward the mouth of the Chesapeake, a marginal/conditional tornado threat may develop across portions of eastern North Carolina and Virginia. Here, modest instability and rich low level moisture will be in place. Hodographs should enlarge in response to backing surface winds ahead of the low and a southwesterly low-level jet develops overhead. Any thunderstorm that can sustain itself in this environment will have the potential for a brief tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Wonder how long it will take before the 70% chance of storms will be reduced to 30-40%? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 12 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Wonder how long it will take before the 70% chance of storms will be reduced to 30-40%? Never. Most of us will just be unlucky and fall in the 30% of nothing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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