Seems as if there will be some potential for severe wx into this sub-forum (mainly southern sections) come Tuesday/Wednesday with the large trough shifting eastward out of the west (D4 and D5 highlighted by SPC currently that I suspect will expand if the current look maintains itself). The extent of adequate CAPE (thanks to an EML, very cold 500 mb temperatures and decent moisture) and high deep layer shear is rather impressive for this time of year across the models.
The shift recently in