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March 2017 Discussion & Observations


Rtd208

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50 minutes ago, Morris said:

It was supposed to be well AN still yesterday. Instead it's BN.

All of the forecasts busted this week, including Accuweather and the NWS.

Saturday forecast high 61F, actual 55F.

Sunday forecast high 49F, actual 40F.

Monday forecast high 62F, actual 50F.

Tuesday forecast high 61F, actual 43F.

Cold continues and the potential for any AN weather looks done with the frontal passage tomorroe. The reality will probably be opposite of the forecast: Thursday will probably be our warmest day with W/NW winds behind the cold front even though it was originally forecast to be the coldest.

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2 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said:

Don't expect a warm up with rain but I think tomorrow and Thursday will over achieve and temps will be in the mid 60's because of the strong march sun!

Thursday should be warmer due to west winds behind the cold front clearing out the marine layer. However, Friday will be 40-45F with heavy rain, another dreary, below normal day. Average highs are close to 55F now, so these days in the 40s with rain and wind should allow NYC to finish with at least a -3F monthly departure for March.

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2 hours ago, nzucker said:

All of the forecasts busted this week, including Accuweather and the NWS.

Saturday forecast high 61F, actual 55F.

Sunday forecast high 49F, actual 40F.

Monday forecast high 62F, actual 50F.

Tuesday forecast high 61F, actual 43F.

Cold continues and the potential for any AN weather looks done with the frontal passage tomorroe. The reality will probably be opposite of the forecast: Thursday will probably be our warmest day with W/NW winds behind the cold front even though it was originally forecast to be the coldest.

 

Agree. Quite cold here as well with temperatures stable in the 42-45F range today. Impressive period of marine induced chill. I am at -3.6 for March here. As you posted heretofore, there will likely be another trough amplification subsequent to early next week's potential storm, so at the very least, no protracted warmth on the horizon. 0c 850s invading the NE again on the euro in the D7+. Thinking that after we were well ahead of schedule in terms of vegetation growth, we may begin to fall behind. Due to the cold March, vegetation is fairly close to on schedule right now (that is, still essentially dormant save for some silver maple red buds and growing buds on early flowering trees).

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9 minutes ago, Dan76 said:

Snow in NE ?

Yes but very high up. I know they said in the NE forum BTV said above 2500'

 

we still have a couple of 4' snow piles on campus which should make it all the way to April. Pretty impressive and shows how cold it's been and how dense that frozen precip was. It takes forever to melt 

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1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Yes but very high up. I know they said in the NE forum BTV said above 2500'

 

we still have a couple of 4' snow piles on campus which should make it all the way to April. Pretty impressive and shows how cold it's been and how dense that frozen precip was. It takes forever to melt 

the big shopping center piles here will make it well into April.  Those things are high water content and huge.  Some were still 10 feet plus last week.

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the cool pattern will break when this pac energy comes ashore and breaks up the pna ridge/-nao pattern. eventually the parade of storms will start coming far enough north to put us in the warm sector. either way it looks wet and stormy the whole time

ecmwf-ens_z500a_namer_11.pnggfs-ens_z500a_namer_41.png
gfs-ens_z500a_namer_53.png

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1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Yes but very high up. I know they said in the NE forum BTV said above 2500'

 

we still have a couple of 4' snow piles on campus which should make it all the way to April. Pretty impressive and shows how cold it's been and how dense that frozen precip was. It takes forever to melt 

Looks like it could be one of the better New England frozen events right around April 1st since 1997.

 

ecmwf_ptype_a_neng_17.thumb.png.9a11c7abc603b6494c3c7cfdfeb743bd.png

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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This would have been great backend snow if it was a during peak winter time but now we just get a nice cold rain. Better than a quick warm up, remember we've had some pretty robust volcano eruptions worldwide the last few months possibly triggering the cooler than normal march and possibly even first half of April!

 

nam is on some stuff look at this snow map lmao 

IMG_1748.PNG

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