Brian5671 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 0zNAM also very wet tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 28, 2017 Author Share Posted March 28, 2017 Picked up 0.17" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Temps again much cooler than expected. Overnight low was supposed to be 50F, but in reality it has been 42-43F most of the evening. Heating will be kicking on again. I saw tomorrow's forecast high was also changed from low 60s to mid 50s. Just a depressing week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 28, 2017 Author Share Posted March 28, 2017 Looks like some thunderstorms have developed over Mercer, Middlesex and Monmouth Co's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Thunder woke me up here in Sheepshead Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 I believe this is the first time that some rain has occurred for 5 days in a row since last August. The weeklies are wet through April 10th before we start to dry out a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Very wet period ahead The tracks of the storms on the 0z GFS would have been great during the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 23 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: I honestly haven't looked much into the drought recently but one snowstorm doesn't make up the rainfall deficit up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 12z NAM coming in very wet later today/tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 13 hours ago, forkyfork said: i think the models are too far north with the heavier rains tomorrow and we'll get more than forecast. we are at the northern limit of the elevated CAPE yet the models show heavy convective precip in new england 5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 12z NAM coming in very wet later today/tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 18 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Much of that can be erased this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Heavy convection rolling east along the Southern State in SW Nassau and Eastern Queens right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Much of that can be erased this week Maybe we can eat into some of this too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: Heavy convection rolling east along the Southern State in SW Nassau and Eastern Queens right now. today is doing mid July proud.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 12 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Maybe we can eat into some of this too Seems like we dry out tomorrow and Thursday, then rain again Friday. I think we're making a dent in this, at least here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 12 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: today is doing mid July proud.... And just like July it's missing me just to the north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Seems like we dry out tomorrow and Thursday, then rain again Friday. I think we're making a dent in this, at least here. I don't even know how much it matters if we wipe that out or not. I'm not yelling "DROUGHT!", I just find these maps interesting and they show the trends for sure from what I see. Gravity mentioned yesterday how it's actually muddy out there and I don't disagree, it certainly doesn't look like a drought out there at the moment. BX and I had a similar conversation last spring how the streams and lakes were bankful but we were below normal precipitation. We shall see what the coming months bring with both the weather and all the vegetation coming back to life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 5 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: I don't even know how much it matters if we wipe that out or not. I'm not yelling "DROUGHT!", I just find these maps interesting and they show the trends for sure from what I see. Gravity mentioned yesterday how it's actually muddy out there and I don't disagree, it certainly doesn't look like a drought out there at the moment. BX and I had a similar conversation last spring how the streams and lakes were bankful but we were below normal precipitation. We shall see what the coming months bring with both the weather and all the vegetation coming back to life. Melting snow steadily fills streams, rivers and lakes. So even though we haven't had that many above average rainfall days, the steady feed keeps levels above normal. Data from the water prediction center actually indicates that the soil is generally 50-80% saturated. That certainly increases runoff. http://water.noaa.gov/tools/nwm-image-viewer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 The 12z NAM is really wet for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: I don't even know how much it matters if we wipe that out or not. I'm not yelling "DROUGHT!", I just find these maps interesting and they show the trends for sure from what I see. Gravity mentioned yesterday how it's actually muddy out there and I don't disagree, it certainly doesn't look like a drought out there at the moment. BX and I had a similar conversation last spring how the streams and lakes were bankful but we were below normal precipitation. We shall see what the coming months bring with both the weather and all the vegetation coming back to life. Yeah I get what you're saying. The maps help us see what months/time periods were dry or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Check out that squall line moving NNE from near Lancaster, PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 22 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: And just like July it's missing me just to the north! You won't miss that batch currently approaching Brooklyn and SI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 14 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: You won't miss that batch currently approaching Brooklyn and SI. I had a bunch of thunder and one good bolt with the first cell, though no rain. This next batch looks like it's going to hit. And as I'm typing bam it's pouring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 No flood advisory? poored here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 That area of moderate to heavy rain currently over E PA moving NNE should clobber Western sections through early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Pouring here in bed stuy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: That area of moderate to heavy rain currently over E PA moving NNE should clobber Western sections through early afternoon. looks like a meso low associated with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 55 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: looks like a meso low associated with that? You might be looking at the rotation associated with the SLP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 12z GFS is really wet for Friday, this is only from 12z Friday to 12z Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 12z GGEM is wet for Friday too, shave about 0.25-1.00" off these numbers from NW to SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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