nzucker Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 6 hours ago, pazzo83 said: Yea - looks like the core crosses our area Wed/Thurs. My forecast already has low 20s for Wednesday night/Thursday AM which is pretty cold for March 23rd. Looks like a major warmup by the weekend. I think the 3/23 trough could be our last shot at snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 35 minutes ago, nzucker said: My forecast already has low 20s for Wednesday night/Thursday AM which is pretty cold for March 23rd. Looks like a major warmup by the weekend. I think the 3/23 trough could be our last shot at snow. Going by Weather Underground, Wednesday looks like upper 20s for me, with low teens at night. Very cold indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 This March cold has been damn impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 6th coldest March 10-17 in NYC since 1876. Big change from last year which was 2nd warmest. 1 1900-03-17 25.9 0 2 1885-03-17 26.8 0 3 1896-03-17 27.0 0 4 1916-03-17 28.1 0 5 1888-03-17 28.3 0 6 2017-03-17 28.6 0 7 1892-03-17 28.7 0 8 1932-03-17 29.2 0 9 1960-03-17 29.5 0 1 1990-03-17 58.3 0 2 2016-03-17 55.1 0 3 1977-03-17 53.0 0 4 2012-03-17 51.9 0 5 1898-03-17 51.0 1 6 1927-03-17 50.2 0 7 2006-03-17 49.4 0 8 1945-03-17 49.2 0 9 1973-03-17 48.8 0 - 1921-03-17 48.8 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 Watch day 4. As of now PV push is too strong and shortwave is delayed but if cold push is overdone and or the shortwave timing is a bit later something could happen there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 just started snowing heavily here, i guess im right above the rain/snow line right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 Light mix of rain sleet and snow in wantagh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 Mean temperature of 35.7F so far this month here. That's a colder mean temp than Dec, Jan, and Feb. Very impressive for the first three weeks of March. -5.4 departure. Will have to monitor some of those stronger surface highs w/ bowling balls cutting underneath. Likely not much for our area, but obviously nothing can be ruled out. The source region is still quite chilly w/ the anomalous cold on our side of the hemisphere. The short wave at D4-5 looks unfavorable for much pcpn further north as it's sheared out; definitely a better shot w/ that one at D7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 Euro crushes the whole area next weekend with over a foot of snow for NYC and over 20 inches for interior areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 10 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Euro crushes the whole area next weekend with over a foot of snow for NYC and over 20 inches for interior areas. GFS says, uh no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Euro crushes the whole area next weekend with over a foot of snow for NYC and over 20 inches for interior areas. It's something to track but things are going to change constantly from run to run. It'll probably be gone at 0Z. Not only that, climo pretty much says no to getting a foot in the city at the end of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 43 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: It's something to track but things are going to change constantly from run to run. It'll probably be gone at 0Z. Not only that, climo pretty much says no to getting a foot in the city at the end of March. I think we've learned our lesson. Whatever happens won't be an all out blizzard. I only remember one, April 82, that was a cold all snow event, in the spring. The 2003 April storm was a wet paste snow, which melted rapidly, which of course is what you'd expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: I would love 1 more big storm Me too. Too many warm days this winter. But I don't expect anything else of significance this year, just based on history, but will keep an eye on things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 Hopefully next weekend's event doesn't happen since I have travel and outdoor plans. Of course with my luck, that's when it finally works out and the Euro today verifies. I agree that the high in Canada needs to be watched and a cutting low might be shunted south and/or there will be wintry precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 41 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: I think we've learned our lesson. Whatever happens won't be an all out blizzard. I only remember one, April 82, that was a cold all snow event, in the spring. The 2003 April storm was a wet paste snow, which melted rapidly, which of course is what you'd expect. Blizzard conditions were met last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 17 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Blizzard conditions were met last storm. Even deep into the interior which is fairly rare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 Any body looking at the wave for midweek? It keeps trending north. Something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Euro control gives the area a few inches while crushing areas to our north for next weekend. If it happens people will be in for a surprise, as most outlets are forecasting temps in the 50s next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Euro control gives the area a few inches while crushing areas to our north for next weekend. one last event to track. Been a c to c+ winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 1 hour ago, BxEngine said: Blizzard conditions were met last storm. I'm not sure if we met blizzard conditions for a bit early in the morning in CNJ; the changeover to sleet was early, and we accumulated around 6 inches. Someone here should know for sure, but I am under the impression we did not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 6 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: I'm not sure if we met blizzard conditions for a bit early in the morning in CNJ; the changeover to sleet was early, and we accumulated around 6 inches. Someone here should know for sure, but I am under the impression we did not. I doubt very mucb BX meant Blizzard conditions met in NYC proper, they were met in some some of the far outlying suburbs and just outside of the Upton coverage region as per the report I read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 5 minutes ago, nyblizz44 said: I doubt very mucb BX meant Blizzard conditions met in NYC proper, they were met in some some of the far outlying suburbs and just outside of the Upton coverage region as per the report I read Swf isnt outside of uptons area. And no, i meant "we" as in this subforum. Read into that how you wish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 1 minute ago, BxEngine said: Swf isnt outside of uptons area. And no, i meant "we" as in this subforum. Yes that falls within the Outer burbs I referenced. Suffice it to say, and its been said already, this was not, locally, the beast we signed up for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 Just now, nyblizz44 said: Yes that falls within the Outer burbs I referenced. Suffice it to say, and its been said already, this was not, locally, the beast we signed up for. It was, locally. Here. In this part of the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 18, 2017 Share Posted March 18, 2017 4 minutes ago, BxEngine said: It was, locally. Here. In this part of the subforum. Gotcha . More power to you guys..only fair considering the recent pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 2 hours ago, BxEngine said: It was, locally. Here. In this part of the subforum. Only Battery Park to 96th St counts. Sorry dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 7 hours ago, Isotherm said: Mean temperature of 35.7F so far this month here. That's a colder mean temp than Dec, Jan, and Feb. Very impressive for the first three weeks of March. -5.4 departure. Will have to monitor some of those stronger surface highs w/ bowling balls cutting underneath. Likely not much for our area, but obviously nothing can be ruled out. The source region is still quite chilly w/ the anomalous cold on our side of the hemisphere. The short wave at D4-5 looks unfavorable for much pcpn further north as it's sheared out; definitely a better shot w/ that one at D7. 35.4 here after today...and remember how warm the month started out... 71 on the 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 3 hours ago, BxEngine said: Swf isnt outside of uptons area. And no, i meant "we" as in this subforum. Read into that how you wish Well by those standards Jan 2015 also reached Blizzard criteria- out by Islip and Orient ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 Finally getting back to the familiar pattern of an Arctic shot Wed-Thu followed by a warm up next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 30 minutes ago, bluewave said: Finally getting back to the familiar pattern of an Arctic shot Wed-Thu followed by a warm up next weekend. Looks great! Fitting since tomorrow is the first day of astronomical spring. Looking forward to the warm weather starting next weekend. It's a beautiful, wonderful thing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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