psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2017 Author Share Posted March 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Scraff said: Wow. Just caught up on the overnight trends. Beside it actually rippin fluff outside, when do we get to a safe zone and actually say it's gonna snow? Are we past the "it's going to hell" stage yet? I'm only asking...for my kids. After all our epic fails I don't ever feel safe until I'm measuring what's otg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Scraff said: Wow. Just caught up on the overnight trends. Beside it actually rippin fluff outside, when do we get to a safe zone and actually say it's gonna snow? Are we past the "it's going to hell" stage yet? I'm only asking...for my kids. If it was me and considering how this winter has played out, I would probably wait until there was actual snow in the air. But that's just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 13 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I really dont think you should be posting here or begging for Euro output and generally wearing out your welcome. Probably further north. Can you post the euro snow map? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Can you post the euro snow map? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: After all our epic fails I don't ever feel safe until I'm measuring what's otg. Even then I'd still be skeptical. "Is that snow? Or is there some previously unknown volcano that just erupted nearby? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 16 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Amateur. I chucked him for real. Alt-mods. smh. yeah, sorry, you never gave us alt-mods the power to get rid of people. probably for the best. Waterboy would be banning everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: After all our epic fails I don't ever feel safe until I'm measuring what's otg. I hear both you and PDIII. At some point though, we all need to buy in. The question is when? The pain would be forever real if we come up short. I get that. I guess each individual weenie will make that decision when the "buy in" time is right.....Sunday morning! ;-) Anyway--fun week of tracking ahead. Looking forward to our sub-forum highs, praying for no lows. Well unless that low is running into a cold high. See what I did there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Also -- there are a lot of maps with pink on them ITT, not sure how to proceed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Because I didn't see it posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Scraff said: I hear both you and PDIII. At some point though, we all need to buy in. The question is when? The pain would be forever real if we come up short. I get that. I guess each individual weenie will make that decision when the "buy in" time is right.....Sunday morning! ;-) Anyway--fun week of tracking ahead. Looking forward to our sub-forum highs, praying for no lows. Well unless that low is running into a cold high. See what I did there? A nice, cheeky way to start my Monday. Much thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 22 minutes ago, PDIII said: Just out of curiosity what do the temps look like sat night in to sunday... ? I was trying to get the cobb table but it looks like it not out yet... maybe mappy can find it... anyways... it looks to be a pretty cold storm. For IAD, temps fall below freezing by 00Z Sun. Temp of 28 when precip begins. Bottoms out at 27. High of 32 on Sunday. This is the 06Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Hopefully this is that wet snow which sticks to everything...makes fore really picturesque scenes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 2 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: You probably should stop posting in this thread. This wont end well for you. Lol. Fantastic post and turns out you were psychic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 2 hours ago, showmethesnow said: Know many on here don't have access to the EPS snowfall maps, so here is the breakdown. First possible event, which has fallen under the radar for the most part, is some weak energy that slides underneath us roughly day 5. 12Z had a broad swath, encompassing most of MD, of trace amounts of snow. 00Z has brought this feature into better focus and has pulled them northward into central MD. 1/2 line came much farther south and is a little bit north of the PA line. At this point those around the PA line would probably have the best shot at seeing anything. Second event, day 6/7, has improved somewhat. Where we saw the DC/Balt corridor and surrounding regions in the 2 inch range, with 2 1/2 around the Pa line, we now see the whole region within the 2 1/2 inch zone. Looking at individual members we see a 50/50 split between those that show 2 inches or more for most/all of the dc/balt region vs those that show less then 2 to nothing. There has been a noticeable uptick on the moderate 6+ inch (12 members) that impact at least portions of the region as well as an uptick within that group of the somewhat big hitters 10+ inches (5) . Third event, roughly day 9, somewhat hard to nail down because it gets muddied by the previous event but it looks that we see an 1 to 1 1/2 increase in the snowfall mean through that period. Which is comparable to the increase that we saw with the 12Z run. Overall the snowfall mean for the entire 15 day period has up ticked slightly to the north, going from 3 1/2 to 4 1/2 (south to north) to 3 1/2 to 5. Thanks for the this. Really hoping we all get some love from above. Lord knows were due. Loving the look at 500 on the maps. Better late then never. If this verifies it would be a crazy end to a horrid winter. Looking forward to this week. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Just a few thoughts looking at the 0z EPS. Addressing some of the posts wrt suppression- Looking at h5, the location of the block is pretty far south(Baffin Bay/Island) for Saturday, which is a generally a pretty sweet location for the MA. The vortex underneath it, right about the time our storm is getting underway, is at about its most southern point. So the risk is there, and this is reflected among the individual members as 10 or so have a suppressed storm. I think our general area is in a pretty good spot right now, but these gradient patterns are oh so tricky. A small change in the block or PV position(or timing) and we could end up a bit too far south or north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: After all our epic fails I don't ever feel safe until I'm measuring what's otg. This is smart. Its hard not to get jacked up looking at the overnights....but at 5 days and knowing the normal ebbs and flows of storm evolution, I'd just tell them possibly maybe. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 2 hours ago, WXEnthusiast said: So is one of the rules not posting where you don't live? Its not an written rule, but its a respect thing. People that come from more snowy regions coming into areas that typically struggle to get into good snows is just not good form around here. Trust me pal....I'm a "northerner", but like stated, if you dont come here to add value (and a little fun) to the discussions....your gonna be taking a long ride off a short plank. Great group in here that works extra hard to gin up a snowstorm, because it aint all that easy round these parts. Just take the warnings/advice and roll w/ it....... Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 hour ago, mappy said: Because I didn't see it posted. I know we can't really believe that, but wouldn't it crazy that after running around in shorts in February, we get 9 inches of snow in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Just now, pasnownut said: Its not an written rule, but its a respect thing. People that come from more snowy regions coming into areas that typically struggle to get into good snows is just not good form around here. Trust me pal....I'm a "northerner", but like stated, if you dont come here to add value (and a little fun) to the discussions....your gonna be taking a long ride off a short plank. Great group in here that works extra hard to gin up a snowstorm, because it aint all that easy round these parts. Just take the warnings/advice and roll w/ it....... Nut Another piece of advice might be don't post 64 times in your first 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 44 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Hopefully this is that wet snow which sticks to everything...makes fore really picturesque scenes. I'd take 10" of catpaws..... Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Since we have a legitimate threat for at least another 2 hours... Can we please keep it in Model mode and move the banter elsewhere. It is the first legit storm of the season... Wow I am saying that in March...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Maybe I missed it in the overnight posts....I did my best to scan the 100+ posts. Where does the UKMET stand with it's overnight run? Just curious... A link is fine. I am happy to decipher myself. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 hour ago, mappy said: Because I didn't see it posted. Mappy likes pink. Hell, I'll make pink my new fav color if that verifies... Heres to a hopefully fun week. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 27 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Thanks for the this. Really hoping we all get some love from above. Lord knows were due. Loving the look at 500 on the maps. Better late then never. If this verifies it would be a crazy end to a horrid winter. Looking forward to this week. Nut Your welcome. Was actually enjoyable looking over them with there being a somewhat realistic chance of them verifying as opposed to the fantasy snow we dealt with all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 For those who didnt see it, Here is the 0z snow map from that Panasonic model- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 hour ago, H2O said: Well, as one of the "mean people" it won't continue for much longer. Woo hoo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Amateur. I chucked him for real. Alt-mods. smh. Woo hoo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 0z Para-GFS is a little further north than the 6z. Incredible gradient on the snowfall. Over a foot on the MD/PA line and a coating in DC. This one could hurt for some of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Just now, Thanatos_I_Am said: 0z Para-GFS is a little further north than the 6z. Incredible gradient on the snowfall. Over a foot on the MD/PA line and a coating in DC. This one could hurt for some of us. No Joke... this would create a subforum in this forum for years to come. It is March though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: For those who didnt see it, Here is the 0z snow map from that Panasonic model- I should know this but what is the Panasonic model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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