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March medium/long range disco


psuhoffman

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The reason we're seeing a trend south for once is because we actually have a pretty nasty west based -nao/davis straight block. For the last few years all we've seen is north trends leading in for the most part because unblocked progressive flow meets little resistance to head poleward. We could easily fail again but it will certainly be a different type of fail than the countless others.

 

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  On 3/6/2017 at 4:05 PM, Bob Chill said:

The reason we're seeing a trend south for once is because we actually have a pretty nasty west based -nao/davis straight block. For the last few years all we've seen is north trends leading in for the most part because unblocked progressive flow meets little resistance to head poleward. We could easily fail again but it will certainly be a different type of fail than the countless others.

 

gfs_z500a_nhem_17.png 

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HM said this AM , with gun to head , that he feared a more Southerly outcome for the Sunday event 

 

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