Rtd208 Posted February 19, 2017 Share Posted February 19, 2017 Anyone want to take a crack at what the upcoming spring and summer look like in terms of temps, precipitation and severe weather? I would love to hear from some of the red taggers and the more reliable posters. Any thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 19, 2017 Share Posted February 19, 2017 Can almost never predict severe well in advance, but I see no reason to think we won't continue our above to well above normal temperature pattern. Precip is the wildcard, we're still not out of the woods drought wise so hopefully we can average wetter than normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 19, 2017 Author Share Posted February 19, 2017 Maybe a three "H" summer this year, if that happens I can see plenty of chances for severe weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 19, 2017 Share Posted February 19, 2017 Summers are the worst here in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 19, 2017 Share Posted February 19, 2017 56 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Maybe a three "H" summer this year, if that happens I can see plenty of chances for severe weather. Depends if we see the ring of fire with the Bermuda High develop near us or to our west. Our hottest summers have the severe weather going off to our west as the Bermuda High backs into the NC coast and we downslope with hot W to NW winds. Fronts then stall and die out before they get into our region. And even if they pass through our region they are dry and temps are around 90 even after their passage (but the humidity is lower of course.) In 1993 this happened and St Louis got record flooding while we baked in hot and dry weather with 100s right to the south shore of Long Island. In such a pattern your best bet for severe weather actually comes in the fall when the pattern starts to break down. Also because that's when tropical season ramps up. In 1993 we just barely missed out on Cat 3 Hurricane Emily which was near the NC coast in Mid September (when it was still in the 90s here) and the storm veered just barely out to sea once reaching the latitude of Delaware. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 I hope a mild spring and cool summer. It is hard to go against at least a slightly above average summer just because of climate change. But maybe we are due for a cooler one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 Just as long as we get more rain than last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 On February 19, 2017 at 2:30 PM, WeatherFeen2000 said: Summers are the worst here in NYC. Maybe try leaving the city. Out here in the suburbs it gets nice and cool here at night except during the most oppressive days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 32 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Maybe try leaving the city. Out here in the suburbs it gets nice and cool here at night except during the most oppressive days. Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 Yea - getting out of the city during the summer is essential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 7 hours ago, pazzo83 said: Yea - getting out of the city during the summer is essential. I bet Summers in the part of VA where you're from are awesome. Still don't understand why you'd ever leave there except maybe for work. The money you spend on a shoebox in Manhattan could buy you a 3000 sq ft home out here 10-15 miles NW of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 3 hours ago, NJwx85 said: I bet Summers in the part of VA where you're from are awesome. Still don't understand why you'd ever leave there except maybe for work. The money you spend on a shoebox in Manhattan could buy you a 3000 sq ft home out here 10-15 miles NW of the city. They really are stellar - usually day time highs upper 80s/ lower 90s, lows almost always in the 50s or 60s (sometimes the valley floor will stay above 70 at night, but rarely). You go up into the mountains and temps are in the 70s most days, with nights in the 40s/50s. It's crazy though, you go over the mountain to CHO, lose about 1000 to 1500 feet in elevation, and you are getting into that typical SE US climate (highs in the 90s / lows in the 70s / very humid). But yea, there isn't a whole lot of opportunities there for work, but it's great to visit (especially since there are wineries and breweries everywhere now). We might one day move back close to there, back to DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 Spring temperature and precipitation...max temperature from 3/1 to 5/31... year.....ave temp....precip"....max temp...... 1869..........47.2......10.15................................ 1870..........48.6......10.27.......... 1871..........52.2......12.61.......... 1872..........47.1........8.71.......... 1873..........47.1........9.94.......... 1874..........45.7......13.13.......... 1875..........45.8........7.99........... 1876..........47.2......14.88......87 1877..........47.7........9.24......88 1878..........52.3........8.43......84 1879..........50.6........9.76......86 1880..........51.5........8.18......96 1881..........48.4........9.96......93 1882..........48.2........8.37......80 1883..........47.0........8.03......82 1884..........48.5......11.18......86 1885..........46.6........4.95......87 1886..........50.2......12.08......86 1887..........47.5........6.20......87 1888..........44.7......13.13......84 1889..........51.5......11.00......91 1890..........48.3......10.80......81 1891..........47.8........8.44......82 1892..........47.4........9.73......81 1893..........46.7......13.50......85 1894..........51.0........7.27......85 1895..........49.3........7.59......96 1896..........50.6........9.06......92 1897..........50.9......10.83......81 1898..........50.6......12.75......86 1899..........49.9........8.60......88 1900..........47.7........9.23......90 1901..........47.9......18.52......85 1902..........51.3........9.22......86 1903..........54.2........7.97......89 1904..........48.8........9.25......89 1905..........50.6........6.60......81 1906..........50.1......16.47......90 1907..........48.5......11.08......85 1908..........52.3......13.16......88 1909..........49.1......11.17......83 1910..........53.0........7.51......82 1911..........48.7........8.12......86 1912..........50.1......16.63......89 1913..........52.7......15.69......89 1914..........49.6......10.43......95 1915..........50.1........7.10......92 1916..........47.4......11.33......81 1917..........47.3......11.00......84 1918..........52.7......11.15......91 1919..........51.8......12.99......92 1920..........48.9......13.26......82 1921..........55.2......10.19......89 1922..........52.4......11.30......86 1923..........49.0........8.37......86 1924..........48.5......14.47......75 1925..........51.9........9.43......91 1926..........47.7........6.81......83 1927..........50.2........8.95......90 1928..........48.9........9.73......80 1929..........52.6......14.09......93 1930..........50.8........7.96......91 1931..........51.0......13.00......93 1932..........49.4......11.11......90 1933..........51.1......16.46......90 1934..........50.4......13.11......90 1935..........51.0........5.06......89 1936..........52.5......11.72......92 1937..........50.4......10.90......93 1938..........52.9........8.96......89 1939..........51.1........9.93......96 1940..........47.5......17.80......83 1941..........52.5........7.70......96 1942..........54.0........8.78......92 1943..........49.6......10.44......89 1944..........51.2......11.91......92 1945..........55.3......11.23......86 1946..........54.0......11.44......87 1947..........49.4......11.63......86 1948..........51.1......14.35......87 1949..........53.3........9.49......92 1950..........47.9........7.05......82 1951..........52.6......12.99......90 1952..........52.0......13.83......83 1953..........53.6......18.31......90 1954..........51.7........9.05......85 1955..........53.5........8.32......90 1956..........48.1......10.01......89 1957..........52.7......10.17......87 1958..........50.8......12.58......82 1959..........53.4........7.01......94 1960..........50.0........8.98......87 1961..........50.1......12.91......85 1962..........53.6........7.23......99 1963..........52.8........7.04......86 1964..........52.7........8.23......94 1965..........52.3........6.97......94 1966..........51.3........7.89......85 1967..........47.5......13.50......81 1968..........52.6......14.67......82 1969..........53.8......10.39......97 1970..........51.6......11.00......93 1971..........50.8......10.99......85 1972..........51.1......16.86......86 1973..........53.1......16.16......86 1974..........52.8......13.88......92 1975..........51.3........9.74......93 1976..........53.2......10.56......96 1977..........55.2......12.87......92 1978..........50.7......14.26......90 1979..........54.9......14.67......94 1980..........53.8......21.00......90 1981..........54.4........8.17......87 1982..........52.4......10.66......84 1983..........52.2......29.15......85 1984..........50.1......22.66......85 1985..........55.5........9.04......88 1986..........55.2........7.07......94 1987..........54.1......12.28......97 1988..........52.5........9.57......91 1989..........52.2......19.43......86 1990..........52.9......17.86......91 1991..........56.3......11.95......93 1992..........50.5........9.86......93 1993..........52.9......12.48......92 1994..........52.7......13.01......91 1995..........52.9........6.39......87 1996..........50.7......12.78......96 1997..........51.0......11.09......83 1998..........54.6......19.07......87 1999..........53.0........9.98......89 2000..........53.9......11.34......93 2001..........52.5......11.32......92 2002..........53.6......10.63......96 2003..........50.5......11.20......88 2004..........54.1......12.87......87 2005..........51.1......11.18......87 2006..........54.0......10.98......88 2007..........51.0......20.28......91 2008..........52.5......10.86......84 2009..........53.1......11.61......92 2010..........57.1......16.69......92 2011..........53.7......16.65......89 2012..........56.9........9.90......89 2013..........52.0......12.21......90 2014..........51.3......15.89......86 2015..........53.6........8.66......88 2016..........55.0........6.53......92 .................................................................. 1870-79......48.4......10.50...... 1880-89......48.4........9.31......96 1890-99......49.2........9.86......96 1900-09......50.1......11.27......90 1910-19......50.3......11.20......95 1920-29......50.5......10.66......93 1930-39......51.1......10.82......96 1940-49......51.8......11.48......96 1950-59......51.6......10.93......94 1960-69......51.7........9.78......99 1970-79......52.5......13.10......96 1980-89......53.2......14.90......97 1990-99......52.8......12.45......96 2000-09......52.8......12.23......96 2010-16......54.3......12.40......92 1870- 2009..........51.0......11.32......95 1980- 2009..........52.9......13.19......96 Top ten warmest................coolest...............wettest....................driest 57.1 in 2010.....44.7 in 1888......29.15" in 1983......4.95" in 1885 56.9 in 2012.....45.7 in 1874......22.66" in 1984......5.06" in 1935 56.3 in 1991.....45.8 in 1875......21.00" in 1980......6.20" in 1887 55.5 in 1985.....46.6 in 1885......20.28" in 2007......6.39" in 1995 55.3 in 1945.....46.7 in 1893......19.43" in 1989......6.53" in 2016 55.2 in 1986.....47.0 in 1883......19.07" in 1998......6.60" in 1905 55.2 in 1977.....47.1 in 1873......18.31" in 1953......6.81" in 1926 55.2 in 1921.....47.1 in 1872......17.86" in 1990......6.97" in 1965 55.0 in 2016.....47.2 in 1876......17.80" in 1940......7.01" in 1959 54.9 in 1979.....47.2 in 1869......16.86" in 1972......7.04" in 1963 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 21, 2017 Author Share Posted February 21, 2017 Certainly looking like temps will be above normal this spring, its like we a flipping a light switch right from winter (what little there was of it) right into a warm spring pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 How cold was April 1888, Uncle? Any snow after the March blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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