Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 huge flakes out.. this stuff is going to bring problems when the winds pick up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 2:40PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Definition of mansnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: huge flakes out.. this stuff is going to bring problems when the winds pick up Can't wait. Can't get any new work if the office loses power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 31.4/30 S Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Basically the meso models have a consensus on the CCB exploding over E MA, maturing for a few hours then exiting tantalizingly close to the coast. They do hang back moderate to heavy stuff but not the meat of it. I'd keep track of the meso analysis page overnight for the pressure falls and track. We need this to mature earlier than currently modeled. It's not out of the realm of possibilities. A very small step north and west... Big time totals for much of E MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's still snowing and accumulating to various degrees at 4-5:00 am in much of N CT. I'll hold you to that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Moderate man snow about 1/4" so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Beautiful out. Hope it doesn't taint much in the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 3.25" of baking powder. I can't buy more than 10 minutes of good snow growth here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 All sleet here now. No snow, looks like 3.5 will do it for the final. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 50 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: Its pouring snow here with really low VIS and Im on a western slope downsloping some in SVT. Like you said, elevated E/SE facing slopes are getting crushed right now. yup models loved the area just NW of Albany and also that S VT elevated area. Both look good for 12-15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's still snowing and accumulating to various degrees at 4-5:00 am in much of N CT. I don't know about that?? But I hope you're right. Maybe a stray snow shower/flurries. But that's about it I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 31.4/30 S no measurement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Beautiful out. Hope it doesn't taint much in the evening. I'm seeing all snow on most mesos. At least for our locales. The mix stays just far enough away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: That looks pretty far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: 3.25" of baking powder. I can't buy more than 10 minutes of good snow growth here. Lol I bet you have less than .325'' of LE right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 coming down nicely in East Providence, 1" already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Live report at BU https://twitter.com/BarstoolBU/status/830866223617437696 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 2", 27.5/26. Drove back from Woburn where it was a very wet snow, wet roads and 32. Wasn't until the lane drop in Wilmington that the roads were snow covered. Temp was 30 in Andover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 3.3 but rates backed off the last 30 minutes or so here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Beautiful out. Hope it doesn't hurt to shave my taint in the evening. be careful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 I've been doing some work with ArcMap today on wet snow loading. I don't see any harm in posting one image from one model run just for comments and possibly even some feedback. Locations in the map that I attached that are expected to receive 0.5 inches (contoured) of 'Wet SWE' are at risk of losing power. Other models are fairly similar in terms of magnitude and locations of heavy snow loading. All credit goes to LSC for allowing me to use their programs to derive this image! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Final map: Very reasonable, I'd go with your lower range for W MA/ N CT 7-10" in the higher elevations of MA 5-7" elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 I'm no expert at nowcasting pressure drops etc but its looks south of guidance. Though it can be hard to tell from meso analysis vs the little L on models but the isobars do look a little south of forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Coming up to 2" soon. 32.0F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 5" here so far with moderate snow. I threw my freaking back out shoveling Fri night. I was just outside measuring a few minutes ago and it spasmed so bad that i got stuck outside. My daughter helped me get inside. Couldn't even get my boots off lol. Guess I'll be enjoying this one from inside. My snow guy at my store didn't come back a second time after the last storm so i had to scraped up 2" of icy slop and then shovel it. Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Mesoscale Discussion 0172 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CST Sun Feb 12 2017 Areas affected...Portions of eastern NY...VT...NH...MA...Maine Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 121951Z - 130015Z SUMMARY ...Areas of heavy snow with rates of 1.0-1.5 inches per hour will continue spreading east-northeastward across portions of eastern New York and New England through the remainder of the afternoon and into the early evening hours. DISCUSSION...A broad shield of precipitation being enhanced by elevated warm advection and frontogenesis, well in advance of an amplifying midlevel shortwave trough crossing the Great Lakes region, is spreading east-northeastward across parts of the Northeast. Related ascent extends through sufficiently deep dendritic growth zones for heavy snow, with heavy snow presently being reported across portions of eastern NY and southern New England. The zone of isentropic ascent and related areas of heavy snow will continue to spread east-northeastward across the region, with 1.0-1.5-inch/hour snow rates anticipated. Linear extrapolation and the latest short-range high-resolution model guidance suggest that the leading edge of heavier snow should enter parts of western/southern Maine around 21Z, with this activity continuing to spread east-northeastward into the early evening hours. Meanwhile, midlevel dry air should continue impinging on the southern extent of the precipitation shield. This will result in lessening intensity/coverage of snow across parts of east-central NY and adjacent southern New England through the early evening, while heavy-snow potential continues farther north/northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Detonation! We ended up with 3" of cement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I'm no expert at nowcasting pressure drops etc but its looks south of guidance. Though it can be hard to tell from meso analysis vs the little L on models but the mid level isobars do look a little south of forecast? It's too early to tell on the mid levels. Believe it or not I think intensity of that surface low and its track is more important right now. Obviously we hone in on the mid levels as most important for a CCB. But when the 7h starts stacking with the surface low off the coast we'll be able to tell by the rapid pressure drops. I think that will be a direct correlation to how we do with the CCB. Point is... Watch that surface low. It's good it's further south now. It should track NE off the Delmarva to ACK. After it gets about east of LI or so when south of us... Mid levels are supposed to organize. Hopefully that happens earlier than modeled so we get it good. Right now it happens too far east of BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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