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February 12/13 SWFE/Coastal Observations


Baroclinic Zone

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  On 2/13/2017 at 1:17 AM, Barnsteader said:

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Northeast sector
 
Looks like its mostly a Maine game now.
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Yup--great event there.  Standard fare for SNE.

  On 2/13/2017 at 1:37 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I won't  be suprised to end up w 8"....like I said today.

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Hopefully the winds don't fail.

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  On 2/13/2017 at 1:54 AM, danstorm said:

Wow, sorry Boston peeps.

It's become so ccommonplace in the last few years for yall to reach/exceed the top end of ranges that to see a bust is almost bizarre.

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I was never feeling this one. I didn't understand the bullishness of NWS and local mets. 

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is NH and Maine  gonna have to bring em down a bit? I mean the  part of maine where folks live.

I mean CCB keeps sliding and sliding its gotta be hurting there totals a bit, but we know its not cool to talk about

I don't think the snow is over for NE mass tonite, most guidance continues to give us something thru at least 1-2 am.

and some shenanigans as the H5 low drops thru basically SE across us in wee hours

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What I hate is the backlash that rigorous meteorologists will have (and hobbyists like myself who will bear the brunt of coworker mockery for ridiculous forecasts from AccuWeather etc)...

The writing was on the wall for this. Guidance 0z-12z overwhelmingly showed this was trending away from a big hit for Boston, and that CCB hit was increasingly unlikely. I and many others posted that conclusion. We even posted that NWS maps were puzzlingly bullish.

Yet that specific CCB scenario (and crap like the histrionic AccuWeather forecasts of "Wind and snow will then increase across eastern New England later Sunday night into Monday as the blizzard ramps up.") is what prompted all the Boston area school cancellations, business closings, etc.

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