RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: lol. but I prefer to be the last one on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You wonder if Dendrite is mad and pulls an Ozzy Osbourne and bites the head off one of his chickens in anger? LMFAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: I'll wait for consensus before believing the euro when it's the most amped. GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Man....I don't really remember a pattern like this too often where Maine cleans up, but nada in at least Eastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Man....I don't really remember a pattern like this too often where Maine cleans up, but nada in at least Eastern MA. I wouldn't sat nada. I think 20-24" in several days is pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 I probably won't believe a consensus either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Even down here, a 14.2" total in a span of 4 days isn't too shabby. Underachieved a bit on the big storm on Thursday, but oh well - boo hoo. We are now slightly above average for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I wouldn't sat nada. I think 20-24" in several days is pretty good. Lol OK true, but I mean the coastal storm today and the potential on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I wouldn't sat nada. I think 20-24" in several days is pretty good. yea I know lol, 20 in 5 days here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 EPS 24 hr mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 9 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Lol OK true, but I mean the coastal storm today and the potential on Thursday. Thursday is almost an inverted trough look so that won't get a lot of real estate in heavy snow...if that should happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Thursday is almost an inverted trough look so that won't get a lot of real estate in heavy snow...if that should happen. Euro has a 989 strengthening sitting in the GOM off Kennebunkport with east winds, some midlevel magic on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: You wonder if Dendrite is mad and pulls an Ozzy Osbourne and bites the head off one of his chickens in anger? We definitely need a photoshop of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 This is an Ozzy free zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Thanks for posting those maps Steve. What I take is that I should get 3-6 unless ratios are stupid good. But really, I believe nothing now unless I see it on radar. Or maybe the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 And just 8-9 days ago, some thought winter was done...the last snow event had gone by, and we were heading toward spring. That changed in short order. And now, the Epic run that some thought was in store for SNE after the big hit on Thursday(Euro and GFS were showing an Epic stretch), has changed as well. Yes, 21 inches in 4 days is nothing to sneeze at for sure. But what is happening, and looks to happen in Maine this week..looked at first like most of New England would share in that fate. And now, well it's just Maine's fun to have. This season is filled with quick changes from one extreme to the other. I wouldn't get to hung up on any one "set up" moving forward the remainder of winter". That goes for calls like, "Epic week incoming"...to "Rain to Maine", to "snow melt to the Canadian boarder", to "pack being completely wiped out in all areas of SNE"... to "Winter is done..spring is coming." Personally, the winter has been very changeable...can't really hang ones hat on any one idea for very long. I don't think we've seen the last of winter here in SNE either..even if we do warm up for a while. With the recent snow the last four days...I'm at 47.5 inches on the season...that's only an inch or two away from my Seasonal normal for the whole winter. So being it's only Feb 13th, I think I'll gamble and say that I should finish the year above normal in Snowfall here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digityman Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Still furring a bit. Again, right between those two bands for the 2nd in a row. No complains though, great storm. GYX from around noon today: .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... A deep upper trof will dig southeast through the Great Lakes Tue night and then move east toward New England Wednesday. Models are forecasting this trof to become negatively tilted which allows coastal low pressure to develop rapidly somewhere off the New England coast, exactly where will be critical to the forecast for Wednesday. Models differ on placement which will make for a tough forecast on placement of highest storm totals. For now it appears central and eastern areas of Maine will have highest amounts. There could briefly be a mix with rain along the immediate coast but any changeover would be brief. Plenty of cold air will be in place and thus lowered max temps on Wednesday. Overall prefer the EURO solution for now in forecasting this system. Significant accumulations are possible with this system depending on exactly where mid level low tracks. All eyes on Wednesday/Thursday now with school vacation (aka Ski Week) next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 What would it take for the Thurs storm to move more south? Is that even a possibility? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: This is an Ozzy free zone. I can just imagine Henry sitting in the corner, grunting loudly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 12 minutes ago, ajisai said: What would it take for the Thurs storm to move more south? Is that even a possibility? A Tom Brady 25 pt 4th quarter comeback in model land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 16 minutes ago, ajisai said: [Kevin]What would it take for the Thurs storm to move more south? Is that even a possibility?[/Kevin] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2017 Author Share Posted February 13, 2017 24 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: And just 8-9 days ago, some thought winter was done...the last snow event had gone by, and we were heading toward spring. That changed in short order. And now, the Epic run that some thought was in store for SNE after the big hit on Thursday(Euro and GFS were showing an Epic stretch), has changed as well. Yes, 21 inches in 4 days is nothing to sneeze at for sure. But what is happening, and looks to happen in Maine this week..looked at first like most of New England would share in that fate. And now, well it's just Maine's fun to have. This season is filled with quick changes from one extreme to the other. I wouldn't get to hung up on any one "set up" moving forward the remainder of winter". That goes for calls like, "Epic week incoming"...to "Rain to Maine", to "snow melt to the Canadian boarder", to "pack being completely wiped out in all areas of SNE"... to "Winter is done..spring is coming." Personally, the winter has been very changeable...can't really hang ones hat on any one idea for very long. I don't think we've seen the last of winter here in SNE either..even if we do warm up for a while. With the recent snow the last four days...I'm at 47.5 inches on the season...that's only an inch or two away from my Seasonal normal for the whole winter. So being it's only Feb 13th, I think I'll gamble and say that I should finish the year above normal in Snowfall here. Heh ... not really - I am not privy precisely as to who said what, when where and why, ...and admittedly, I probably spend about half as much time actually on this forum as the rest of you ...but I don't recall seeing enough posted content to even qualify the statement, "some thought" You are posting in a thread right now that relayed one favorable pattern into the present one ... that's a clue that the opposite was probably true wrt to "some thought" - as in, most thought otherwise. Well,... going forward, we don't have those pattern markers really flagged from traditional methods and sources. And, once you get past mid February and stare down the barrel of a AN pattern ... it would seem having doubts about what this winter can produce is better justified at this time. Doesn't mean we are absolutely destined to put a fork in this puppy, no - I agree with the changeability as aspect alone. And to that, it had better change, or ...you DEFINITELY can put a fork in at least this remainder of this month. ...after this week that is.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 A Tom Brady 25 pt 4th quarter comeback in model land. But mother nature has a better coach than Atlanta... Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Right now I would say chances are for a full blown blizzard hitting all of SNE is around 2%, while a decent storm would be around 10% and a few inches or rain drops would be 20%. Upper level shortwave ahead of the main trough seems more pronounced on water vapor imagery as well as further west over MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh ... not really - I am not privy precisely as to who said what, when where and why, ...and admittedly, I probably spend about half as much time actually on this forum as the rest of you ...but I don't recall seeing enough posted content to even qualify the statement, "some thought" You are posting in a thread right now that relayed one favorable pattern into the present one ... that's a clue that the opposite was probably true wrt to "some thought" - as in, most thought otherwise. Well,... going forward, we don't have those pattern markers really flagged from traditional methods and sources. And, once you get past mid February and stare down the barrel of a AN pattern ... it would seem having doubts about what this winter can produce is better justified at this time. Doesn't mean we are absolutely destined to put a fork in this puppy, no - I agree with the changeability as aspect alone. And to that, it had better change, or ...you DEFINITELY can put a fork in at least this remainder of this month. ...after this week that is.. When I said some...I meant just that..Some. We all know the ones that can get negative in an instant. Or as soon as it shows a change to AN for a while..winter is over and it's a "Done" deal. And that's exactly what was going on in here, up until Thursday's system appeared out of nowhere/or came back to life. Yes, most thought otherwise, I agree with you on that, but "Some" did not. And that was my point, and I believe it to be accurate in that regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 "double bun" there. Anyway, this is going to be a loooong 10-15 days. The battle between the move on camp vs anything can happen even in April camp. I'll be heading up north to the resorts in a few days, that will satisfy my snow goggles for the winter regardless what transpires to close out this underwhleming yet exciting model watching season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: "double bun" there. Anyway, this is going to be a loooong 10-15 days. The battle between the move on camp vs anything can happen even in April camp. I'll be heading up north to the resorts in a few days, that will satisfy my snow goggles for the winter regardless what transpires to close out this underwhleming yet exciting model watching season. Good points. Ill be heading north too..and that always satisfies the winter weenie in us. If we get some more winter great (think we will imo). If not it's ok too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: "double bun" there. Anyway, this is going to be a loooong 10-15 days. The battle between the move on camp vs anything can happen even in April camp. I'll be heading up north to the resorts in a few days, that will satisfy my snow goggles for the winter regardless what transpires to close out this underwhleming yet exciting model watching season. I think it depends on your perspective. If you live on the torchiest 1kft hill in all of New England I could understand why you would want to jump to Spring right now. Thankfully most of us don't live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 47 minutes ago, dendrite said: I think it depends on your perspective. If you live on the torchiest 1kft hill in all of New England I could understand why you would want to jump to Spring right now. Thankfully most of us don't live there. Ah, perspective...The end all be all of snow....and life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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