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Model Mayhem V


Typhoon Tip

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18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GGEM was kind of interesting...gets good CCB going earlier into parts of E MA.

 

Still pretty skeptical though...and it needs to get going even faster there because the BL is kind of torched from SE flow ahead of the system.

I'll sell this one like an AccuWeather stock

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If it does phase it will limit the warm up this weekend ... it will end up deeper and more intense and so forth and spin there longer near the western Maritimes and that will assuredly shun the Euro's appeal S of the area... 

In fact, we could end up f'ed for both - it phases but too late, yet enough to spoil the warm up.   No one wins - nice.  I'm sure the snow pack weirdos would consider that a relative win-

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15 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I'm not a believer yet but this has been a strange year for models.  How much you got in Dover?

I'm just watching this one closely. Love the longwave pattern but the wide right with today's storm didn't exactly inspire confidence that this will trend favorably. 

Not sure exactly. But I'm thinking around 45" here so far.

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