MJO812 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Nam doesn't want to back down Loves the coast of CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 LOL Nammy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 9 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Nam doesn't want to back down Loves the coast of CT Geography ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Ha.... 00z NAM is basically a little nuke for CT RI and SE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Sell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Sell. But any snow is good snow, amirite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: But any snow is good snow, amirite? Yes, but not every model is a good model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yes, but not every model is a good model. I just need 1 inch for seasonal average. I just want the NAM to be a good model for this one time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yes, but not every model is a good model. How dare you call the NAM an ugly model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 GEFS gone wild D9-15....EPS not really biting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 1, 2017 Author Share Posted March 1, 2017 35 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GEFS gone wild D9-15....EPS not really biting. Yeah, saw that... I'm sticking by my declaration from yesterday going forward. Not buying in... the onus in on the GEFs to put up or shut up. It's not knock on the ensemble system, either - they are allowed to collapse signals in lieu of knew ones. It's the name of the game. It's just that we'd expect some 'stability' for a given paradigm based upon a lot of weight for having a lot of members. Doesn't seem we are really getting that stability for now so there's reason not to trust it. But I think we had a discussion a while back about how the ensemble (individual members) were sort of become ever less distinguishable from their operational leaders. Hmm. I wonder. Of course, I have seen plenty of difference in the last 2 weeks wrt to the GFS compared to the GEFs, so perhaps not this time. Either way, the GEFs have uniquely earned center stage - put up or shut up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 13 hours ago, NorEastermass128 said: Agreed Lol. We had a powder storm on April 4th last year! I hope we have another one in early April this year. That event was great at killing off some of the early season bugs. (I hate black flies) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Just now, metagraphica said: I hope we have another one in early April this year. That even was great at killing off some of the early season bugs. (I hate black flies) lol. I saw a moth 2 weeks ago out in the woods. Even with all of the snow on the ground. Black flies FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 6 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: lol. I saw a moth 2 weeks ago out in the woods. Even with all of the snow on the ground. Black flies FTL. Yeah, saw a couple tiny bugs and a winter moth flying around the back light of the house last night. Saturday should kill off those early bugs that hatched during this past weeks heat wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 SREFs still show a hit for Friday/Saturday clipper system, so I am going to hold out hope that the models come northward some to produce a 2-4" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 31 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: SREFs still show a hit for Friday/Saturday clipper system, so I am going to hold out hope that the models come northward some to produce a 2-4" event. The only thing you'll be holding, is yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Crack kills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 55 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The only thing you'll be holding, is yourself. With the left or right hand? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 GFS says strap on ya boots around mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 GFS op gone wild too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Now that is a block. None of this short 48 hr ridge into Greenland. That is a block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 And that is not stratospheric voodoo either. That is a classic thermodynamically driven block into the Davis Straits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Puff puff pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So what do you think...anything to both of these(GEFS and GFS) going wild???? Or just a Flash in the Pan and it doesn't mean much. Is that block for real?? You got DIT passing on it lol. When modeling doesn't show much he's all gong-ho. When it actually shows something of substance(big Blocking signal and potential), he's passing. Gone wild. Perhaps the idea is there, but spatial and temporal end result would be much different than the GFS op. EC laughs at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gone wild. Perhaps the idea is there, but spatial and temporal end result would be much different than the GFS op. EC laughs at that. Not that I think that that will happen, but the EURO "laughing" at something in the long range doesn't have the same connotation that it has in the past. It hasn't been horrible, but neither has it distinguished itself from the pantheon of guidance this year- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not that I think that will happen, but the EURO laughing at something in the long range doesn't have the same connotation that it has in the past. It hasn't been horrible, but neither has it distinguished itself from the pantheon of guidance this year- This!! Exactly This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Just when I was all burnt out about to nap until Novie, the gfs op rolls a fattie of white widow and DIT jumps out of back seat of his waxed truck with the lighter. What to do now.....? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Just when I was all burnt out about to nap until Novie, the gfs op rolls a fattie of white widow and DIT jumps out of back seat of his waxed truck with the lighter. What to do now.....? Doesn't meant that it has to produce, but my analog set flagged March for NAO....let's see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Now that is a block. None of this short 48 hr ridge into Greenland. That is a block. That shows you how to keep winter threats going indefinitely....that's a pretty awesome look. Too bad it's clown range and only the GFS/GEFS want to go witht he idea...but who knows, maybe they will be right. Remember when they were right about the mid to late Feb /early March 2013 pattern? Every now and then.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 39 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That shows you how to keep winter threats going indefinitely....that's a pretty awesome look. Too bad it's clown range and only the GFS/GEFS want to go witht he idea...but who knows, maybe they will be right. Remember when they were right about the mid to late Feb /early March 2013 pattern? Every now and then.... But the Euro/EPS hasn't been very good either in the long range...so I guess the bottom line is, it's clown range and probably the GEFS/GFS is hitting the pipe hard. Just my opinion, but to be quite honest, if the Euro/EPS showed the same thing, I don't think I'd trust it anymore than the GFS/GEFS at this stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.