HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 Wake me up when we are within 4 days of anything meaningful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He's right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: He's right On rains to Maine.. yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: He's right NYC south is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 We cut. We melt. We look to D7+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NYC south is done. I'm bumping this when it snows again. Blocking is showing up on the gefs. Winter isn't even close to be done yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I'm bumping this when it snows again. Blocking is showing up on the gefs. Winter isn't even close to be done yet. Isotherm has stopped posting. I think that is most telling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I'm bumping this when it snows again. Blocking is showing up on the gefs. Winter isn't even close to be done yet. blocking is like bigfoot. Everyone says they have seen it but nobody can prove it. you will get a rogue snowfall but multiple chances in a prolonged winter pattern is done from nyc south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 1 hour ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Trending south and very close to a nor'easter here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 28 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: blocking is like bigfoot. Everyone says they have seen it but nobody can prove it. you will get a rogue snowfall but multiple chances in a prolonged winter pattern is done from nyc south. I think he was meaning just that..that it will snow again in his area. And if it does snow and accumulate a few inches or more, then he was correct in saying what he did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 47 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I'm bumping this when it snows again. Blocking is showing up on the gefs. Winter isn't even close to be done yet. Check out the bias models have had with that. Enjoy the tulips and hope for a rogue snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Check out the bias models have had with that. Enjoy the tulips and hope for a rogue snow event. I think you'd enjoy a nice rogue snow event if it were to happen too Scott. Wouldn't you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 Just now, WinterWolf said: I think you'd enjoy a nice rogue snow event if it were to happen too Scott. Wouldn't you? ?? Why wouldn't I? It's the same pattern with the -EPO as we had earlier in winter. Just have to hope we can time an event or two out. Latitude will win again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: ?? Why wouldn't I? It's the same pattern with the -EPO as we had earlier in winter. Just have to hope we can time an event or two out. Latitude will win again. But my point was that you told him he was DONE! Done means zero snow. So if he gets a storm, then he's not done. And I think that was his point..which was he thinks he still has a shot at some type of winter system. I think he realizes that SNE on north has a better shot than him, but he still feels like he can score gong into March. We all know that the blocking will show up in April when it's not needed..but that seems to be the trend the last 4-6 years or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 It looks to me like the snow window is about Morch 5-11.. timing out the -EPO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: But my point was that you told him he was DONE! Done means zero snow. So if he gets a storm, then he's not done. And I think that was his point..which was he thinks he still has a shot at some type of winter system. I think he realizes that SNE on north has a better shot than him, but he still feels like he can score gong into March. We all know that the blocking will show up in April when it's not needed..but that seems to be the trend the last 4-6 years or so. Maybe a few gloppy inches? I certainly wouldn't like to be at that latitude in these patterns. Maybe another run for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 Ok fair enough. I just felt like he got attacked for saying what the ensemble showed. This winter has been so back and forth..who knows what's ahead...anything past 5-6 days has been tough to see this year it seems. Many conflicting signals it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: NYC south is done. DC south, it never showed up. I think I'm still under 1" for the season. Makes 2011-2012 seem epic. (I know, I know, you're glad you don't live here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 10 hours ago, weathafella said: Tell that to 1977-78. Was just thinking about the LA rule, 94 classic case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 33 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ok fair enough. I just felt like he got attacked for saying what the ensemble showed. This winter has been so back and forth..who knows what's ahead...anything past 5-6 days has been tough to see this year it seems. Many conflicting signals it seems. Nobody knows what will transpire. Guesses gut feelings and suppositions. Meh, could go right in 2012 or 2013. All we know is warmth wins out for the near future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 I always chuckle when people start posting that winter is done or it won't snow again for ever or that it will be 80s every day for the rest of our lives. Who knows exactly what will transpire - no one and there has been plenty of examples of years where powerful storms come rolling in well after we've thought that we're done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 26 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: DC south, it never showed up. I think I'm still under 1" for the season. Makes 2011-2012 seem epic. (I know, I know, you're glad you don't live here) I disagree. I delivered 180 gallons of syrup to Charlotte in January and had to drive from there up through the DC area and had to deal with hundreds of miles of snow covered roads through areas that had more snow than I had had up until that point. I would NOT say that it never showed up. That was a big storm for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 Jesus H....I knew it was bad down there, but I just noticed 0.7" so far at BWI. Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Ok fair enough. I just felt like he got attacked for saying what the ensemble showed. This winter has been so back and forth..who knows what's ahead...anything past 5-6 days has been tough to see this year it seems. Many conflicting signals it seems. Well he's the king weenie, so as little ball bustin' is in order for Snow88. Regardless, this looks similar to the recent -EPO looks. My guess is another run for NNE...and hopefully a couple of storms for our hood before it tries to warm up later in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 Looking at the broader long wave shape across the CONUS the first week of March looks promising to this rank amateur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 12Z GFS says open the blinds a few inches next week and see what's happening. Much colder run. Expecting large run to run variability making weenies crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 GFS loses the 2/28 storm for the most part with it scooting out as a strung out weak system and cold high pressure nosing into New England. Don't pin your hopes do day 8 other than a general signal being there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 15 minutes ago, dendrite said: Jesus H....I knew it was bad down there, but I just noticed 0.7" so far at BWI. Ouch. http:// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, eyewall said: GFS loses the 2/28 storm for the most part with it scooting out as a strung out weak system and cold high pressure nosing into New England. Don't pin your hopes do day 8 other than a general signal being there. Looks we need a compromise medium strength system with a decent high to the north for the 2/28 system to work. The overall higher heights out west and lower heights in the east trend is nice to see, but definitely keeping expectations low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: http:// I can't even fathom that for winter. I had more than that in a lousy sleet storm. 0.7" is a boring squall or a front ending as a bit of snow or a failed SWFE that drops a little glop and then an inch of rain. Zero point freakin seven inches. Gah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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