Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 Euro is cold and stormy again days 9-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro is cold and stormy again days 9-10 That was a pleasant surprise-let's hope it's right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: That was a pleasant surprise-let's hope it's right! Keep an eye on the 24th -27th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Keep an eye on the 24th -27th Hoping you sniff out this one too. Last Thursday was a great call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 10 minutes ago, Hoth said: Hoping you sniff out this one too. Last Thursday was a great call. Its a teeter totter situation, could cut, hoping that HP builds in E canada and the MJO helps us out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 That was a barrage of storms on op gfs post d10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Thankfully and as discussed we backdoor hard next week hoping salvaging a few inches of snow, though some places will lose it all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Euro ensembles look mild this weekend and into next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Wintery appeal on the 6z gfs in the long range. Let's hope it's on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Thankfully and as discussed we backdoor hard next week hoping salvaging a few inches of snow, though some places will lose it all It's a pretty deep fairly high water pack....gonna take a lot to obliterate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: It's a pretty deep fairly high water pack....gonna take a lot to obliterate it. We nervous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Teleconnection s do not look too hot in next 15 days (epo+, pna-, AO+ and NAO+). Hopefully it gets better after this time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Time to stop paying attention for a couple weeks. Maybe we'll get lucky in the 10-12 day period which seems to offer the next chance at something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 After the warmup, end of feb into early mar has plenty of chances. if some nao ridging can developbefore spring, we can fight off a marginal pna. My weenie goggles see a late start to spring is in the cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 6 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: Teleconnection s do not look too hot in next 15 days (epo+, pna-, AO+ and NAO+). Hopefully it gets better after this time frame. The fairly consistent and strong MJO prog from multiple sources suggest we rock to start March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 I'm still optimistic for NNE over the next week or so. Look at the huge difference in sensible weather from the 12z GFS and GGEM runs for NNE. There's a good chance that one of these systems doesn't cut as shown and deepens enough for decent snowfall for at least the ski areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Big changes today on Euro for the torch . Basically says what torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Big changes today on Euro for the torch . Basically says what torch Euro op has become bad post D5. Don't know what they did or what happenned to that program. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro op has become bad post D5. Don't know what they did or what happenned to that program. I'll give you a hint: It was never good past D5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'll give you a hint: It was never good past D5. Are the scores the same then? Seems like they are lower than several years ago or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Are the scores the same then? Seems like they are lower than several years ago or so. It actually continues to improve....but it's never been close to something like a 3-4 day forecast. Expectations are just different than they were 5+ years ago. We used to weenie tag people posting 144 hour storms on here...now people start threads for D6 threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 So when do we snow again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Well that proves it's a case of weenies expecting more from living in the hi tech era. It does better yet the non statistical viewpoint is that it does not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 EPS also says what big torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Well that proves it's a case of weenies expecting more from living in the hi tech era. It does better yet the non statistical viewpoint is that it does not. I think an easy way to describe it is...think of the confidence in a 3 day forecast from 1987....that is about how you should feel on a 5 day forecast now. I don't think many felt all that confident in 3 day forecasts in 1987, so you shouldn't feel any different on a 5 day forecast in 2017. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 The mildest day looks to be Sunday , then all next week looks like 38-45 depending on location. Then we watch around the 26th for next snow threat . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Monday could actually be kind of a sneaky chilly day with the BDF. But I'd watch Wednesday as a torch day too...we'll see. It's 6 days out, so it could change, but we may have a low to our north in Quebec trying to give us westerly flow with warm thicknesses. I think the period Feb 24-26 should be watched...could be a overrunning/SWFE type system if it goes right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 I'm ready to restack the deck and make one last go of it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Looks mild overall next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 Long range is sort of interesting. Next weekend may be a cutter, but sort of a -EPO look. That also comes with a ridge off the coast....so we know what that means. Might have to gamble....but at least a cold source will be there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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