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Model Mayhem V


Typhoon Tip

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  On 3/4/2017 at 3:18 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Fwiw -

Here are Hanscom Field (KBED) April 1997 temperatures for the first five days of that month.

42/36

46/40

55/44

55/50

59/47

edit, the number to the immediate right is actually the daily average - sorry.  heh.  The number on the left was the high.

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I was biking around snowbanks to middle school by the next week. 75 on the 7th took care of the last of the snow. Departures for that month at KBOS were:

-8, -4, 1, 5, 0 3, 16, -4, -15, -10

Hard to call it a torch in April when it's in the 70s and the record (at the time) was 86 (now 90).

(And if that 16, -4, -15 departures looks crazy, so far this month we're looking at 22, 10, -7, -20, and yes, we should set a high max and low max in the course of four days.)

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  On 3/4/2017 at 7:03 PM, Ginx snewx said:

euro crushes you Ray but of course the fantasy stuff is just that. I thought of this this morning when I saw last night Euro, that would be fun

http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.394.8539&rep=rep1&type=pdf

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Some of the best snow I've seen in March of '56.   Of course being the height level of a 9 year old magnifies the effect of the depth.

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  On 3/4/2017 at 8:28 PM, CoastalWx said:

Jesus if we can get a little help from the NAO and even just a slight nudge + in the PNA domain...that's a sweet run we would be on.

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Wow what a weenie run verbatim...but yeahs it would feel better with a little more wiggle room on latitude. But we're on the right side of things this run. 

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  On 3/4/2017 at 7:14 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Lol....there was only one way to go from the White Juan run

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True, but I was not expecting 3 weeks with zero measurable snow - currently at 16 days.

 

And for 'Fella - March 19, 1956 was the 1st really large snowstorm in my memory.  (Only 21 mo. old for the 12/47 dump.)  Two feet looked awfully tall to a 10-year old.

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  On 3/4/2017 at 8:48 PM, tamarack said:

True, but I was not expecting 3 weeks with zero measurable snow - currently at 16 days.

 

And for 'Fella - March 19, 1956 was the 1st really large snowstorm in my memory.  (Only 21 mo. old for the 12/47 dump.)  Two feet looked awfully tall to a 10-year old.

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I meant the trend on the Euro from last run.

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  On 3/5/2017 at 12:00 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Still a lot of uncertainty about that post-D7 period but Friday seems to be gaining some legs on most guidance. 

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Yeah that Friday snower seems legit.. it's the 2 after it that keep fluctuating north and south.  With that bitter cold in Canada pressing south that boundary should end up somewhere in the D.C. to Philly area 

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  On 3/5/2017 at 12:04 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah that Friday snower seems legit.. it's the 2 after it that keep fluctuating north and south.  With that bitter cold in Canada pressing south that boundary should end up somewhere in the D.C. to Philly area 

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Yeah if it presses south...that's the question though. It might not press south before the next storm after that. 

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