dryslot Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 This one has looked a primary to me handing off to a secondary around LI that goes nuts in the GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 9 minutes ago, toller65 said: Storm total QPF in the 1-1.5 inch range for PWM? Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Yes, See map above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 it's true ... tomorrow's nuisance but all welcomed preview snows ... sort of got meshed into the later Sunday deal as this fast flow is really firing the Sunday night short wave out of a canon out west and it catches up and blends into the same stew there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Interesting look on the 4km NAM where the tail end of the Saturday clipper starts to interact with the Sunday system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Its funny because if you took this whole set up and moved it 200 miles south you would be talking a Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 From a distance it looks like the same energy. Love the poo-pooing on a 6" event with high winds. Adding the possible 1-3" pre-explosion morphing into coastal. Very impactful. I'd give my left n*t to get that here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2017 Author Share Posted February 10, 2017 Sunday is going to have some weird meso things happen. Check out the meso low in the GOM with a tongue of warmer air. That sort of stays there and plays with cstl Maine and MA. Might have some weenie CJ snow prior to the WAA stuff Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Sunday is going to have some weird meso things happen. Check out the meso low in the GOM with a tongue of warmer air. That sort of stays there and plays with cstl Maine and MA. Might have some weenie CJ snow prior to the WAA stuff Sunday. You also have LL convergence from that...like NE winds there while they are more northerly over interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Just wait for the Euro. Wheelhouse. I will buy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Just wait for the Euro. Wheelhouse. I will buy. The Euro had me borrowing my neighbors bucket loader. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Just wait for the Euro. Wheelhouse. I will buy. On Monday...I'll sell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: The Euro had me borrowing my neighbors bucket loader. Not fully buying in quite yet - VD2015 trauma makes me overly cautious. Still, I'm glad the Governor sent us home early yesterday, as I was able to fix my snowblower and that might not have happened in the dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: The Euro had me borrowing my neighbors bucket loader. Bruce Willis will not be in Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Bruce Willis will not be in Maine No but moneypitmike should be............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2017 Author Share Posted February 10, 2017 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You also have LL convergence from that...like NE winds there while they are more northerly over interior. Yeah that's what I mean, NE over the water and then N over the coastline and inland. I think the models are way too warm again inland on Sunday. Maybe Ray can get some twister time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 The CMC almost looks like it wants to do a mini-loop in the GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah that's what I mean, NE over the water and then N over the coastline and inland. I think the models are way too warm again inland on Sunday. Maybe Ray can get some twister time. Just doesn't happen here anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 One "event" with (apparently) two areas of focus (trying not to misuse any meteorological terms here). So, for those of us whose worlds begin and end with SNE, what are we looking at in our collective back yard (CT, MA, RI)? Then there is the very interesting hit that Maine may take on Monday. I want to hear about both, but its getting so muddled in here that I'm having trouble following what's what. Maybe we really another thread for SNE Sunday portion of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Kaboom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: The CMC almost looks like it wants to do a mini-loop in the GOM I think that's what happened Dec. 30-31, 1962, when BGR got 29.5" with gusts to 60 and Orono-Old Town measured 40". (And NNJ had gusts go 70 that uprooted bare-limbed oaks from frozen soil.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Yeah that Ukie run is wild...I'm not really buying it yet though. I still think something a little later is going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 I'll take one JMA please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that Ukie run is wild...I'm not really buying it yet though. I still think something a little later is going to happen. Not to toot horns ... really, but... this thing is it's own destiny here. If it comes in and is more natively powerful to its self, it will countermand the ridging in the south and carve out a destiny further and further SW as we were discussing earlier. I don't have a problem with this either - as I said earlier, it comes down to what this thing can do without the assistance of more S stream to give it a southern(er) route. It's just that we haven't seen that specific aspect of more power modeled - perhaps this is the first? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 What does the frame before that one look like on Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: What does the frame before that one look like on Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: What does the frame before that one look like on Ukie? Looks really good. Cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: Kaboom I'll need to find a sled dog team to get to Lubec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not to toot horns ... really, but... this thing is it's own destiny here. If it comes in and is more natively powerful to its self, it will countermand the ridging in the south and carve out a destiny further and further SW as we were discussing earlier. I don't have a problem with this either - as I said earlier, it comes down to what this thing can do without the assistance of more S stream to give it a southern(er) route. It's just that we haven't seen that specific aspect of more power modeled - perhaps this is the first? Well we did see it on yesterday's 12z Euro and also on today's 12z JMA....admittedly the JMA isn't our first model of choice. Perhaps the Euro will trend back a bit deeper like yesterday...it backed off just a bit on 00z. When it's a really close call, I tend to favor the more "climo preferred" option...which would be Gulf of Maine centric and that means we're probably too far SW for the real goods. We could certainly get the scraps from the backlash in that scenario, so I wouldn't be talking about a sunny day on Monday either. Anyways, yeah...it will be interesting. The dynamics are so potent that it's always something that can surprise even the most experienced/seasoned forecasters...we've all seen extreme deepening upper levels do some strange things. Like they have a mind of their own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Kaboom Is this pulling more SE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like a condo collapser over interior SNE up into your hood....though it would go powdery pretty fast I think when it bombs. These models also may be overdoing the sfc warmth....31-33F could easily be 27F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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