wxsniss Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Comparing 18z RGEM / 18z NAM / 12z Euro... 850T's are very similar at 3z-6z Monday and plenty cold... the odd man out is the 18z RGEM with > 0C 925T just kissing Boston between 3z-6z Monday. One reason, ironically, might be the sooner (ie. slightly further west as it passes south of CT/RI) and deeper development of the surface low and associated WAA mechanisms on the RGEM compared to the NAM / Euro at 3z. But RGEM is odd man out and 0z suite will be hugely telling... we are very close to all snow in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 I kind of agree that this is either going to overperform, or just whiff with the CCB....concerned about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 49 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: They will. Kind of a no brainer not to think Blizzard threshold will not be achieved. Like the past storm numerous locations surpassed and never in watch or warning for blizzard. WSW or Blizzard, either way it's going to rip! They state in the evening's AFD that its such a close call with the CCB Monday Am, that they will wait to decide. Should guidance move slightly west with Monday's action that will hoist em, otherwise they will probably stand pat thru tommorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
walthsnow Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Does anyone know how this compares to the 2/15/15 snowstorm, the one with the thunder snow in Plymouth and insane rates occurring early in the morning? I thought that band of intense snow backed in from the east. Out in the gulf of Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I kind of agree that this is either going to overperform, or just whiff with the CCB....concerned about that. unless there is a major model fail or last moment trend to torch the BL we are getting warning snows Tommorrow regardless. SO looks like 6-10 or so from that. It looks like it may have some weight to it in our locale's. I know you know its snowing tomorrow just mentioning it. Then ya....who knows what we grab from the Bombing Coastal seems like 2-12" is on the table. My guess would be 6 to 8 inches from that from say 1am to Noon Monday but confidence is almost medium in that for me. I would go 10-16" to start off here... and adjust (obviously) based on 0z model runs. I honestly think the ceiling on this thing for NE mass is 2' or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 32 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: reading between the lines in box discussion the 6 plus is nowhere near set in stone for more southern interior areas, tremendous concern and they do not seem to enthusiastic about a heavy waa thump unless I am missing something I would think you are good for 6-8", BOX discussion is obviously more confident N of Pike as there is still some uncertainty because temperatures are so borderline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Can someone please link me to where i can find 250 hPa U-wind Anomalies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Interesting. Storm looks to wind down Monday mid/ late morning. Gonna have to rip overnight to get those totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Can someone please link me to where i can find 250 hPa U-wind Anomalies Once again, there is this new thing called bookmarks http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/rich/gefs/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Ryan bringing them up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Local Providence station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 16 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Can someone please link me to where i can find 250 hPa U-wind Anomalies http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/rich/gefs/ Think this should do it. Edit: Ginx beat me to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 thank you folks 850 anomalies are jacked up in SE NH to Maine 250 anomalies non existent. But the duration is looking near 24 hours anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Reason 6383 I hate TWC: telling friends with travel plans about this storm, getting inevitable response of "weather.com says only an inch or two with mostly rain" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 I'm liking the way this is trending. Would feel a bit more comfortable if the RGEM wasn't as borderline for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Need AWIPS graphics (shhh secret weapon) on or about time in question to sooth questioning of BL issues along the climo 128-495 battlefield, the DMZ of CF. Also sounding will become critical as time shortens. The saying is every picture tells a story of a thousand words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdazed Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Yeah, looks like 5-8 inches here. Spread out over a day or so, so I'm not sure if I should stay home Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Let's call this the southern Ray storm and the northern Jeff storm. Listening to to local radio saying rainy tomorrow-snowstorm Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 I'm thinking a solid foot here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Box is quite bullish here.... 8" TAN... 12" Foxboro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1985 Polar Bear Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Getting close to rivaling the Feb 2013 Blizzard What did you get February 2013 vs. January 2015 blizzards? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'm thinking a solid foot here I'll take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Just now, dendrite said: I'll take the under. Yeah.... going to be tough to do there without getting in on the coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'm thinking a solid foot here Doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Doubt it 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Doubt it Why? The trend south is real. Don't worry it doesn't hurt you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 What did you get February 2013 vs. January 2015 blizzards?Just looked, 1" difference, 28.5" to 27.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Just looked, 1" difference, 28.5" to 27.4" I need to move to LEW. Big storm after big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 I need to move to LEW. Big storm after big storm.Lol, And I want to move to the foothills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiktock Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 I'm a few miles over the NH border in SE NH, under 20mi from the beach. I'm getting excited but still having reservations on what is realistic as some big numbers out there. I'm feeling a solid foot even though many maps are bullish in the 16" area for me. After the last storm underperformed a bit in my town, I'm hoping for over 10" and I'll be happy with anything above that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Gerry would appreciate these MEX snow cats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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