MainePhotog Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: I like them mature. This is going to be interesting. I'm thinking this could blow the white off of the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: One almost wantst to root against the ball busters. The whiners to a foot are the worst. I genuinely wish that all could have even a fraction of your pure enthusiasm for the game itself, even when your own yard isn't in the crosshairs. Happy birthday, by the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Hmm looks like a 992 LP south of New England bombing out in the GOMAINE to me. Where's this SWFE? I don't see any primary to your west. You get .4 qpf in initial WSA then .8 from bombing low at the canal How hard is it possible I dunno, the primary is over PIT at like 12z Sunday and tries to go toward ELM or thereabouts as the new center forms off NJ. It does transition pretty quickly though...so it's not a pure SWFE on Sunday...starts off like that though. I think it's really a semantics thing. This system is augmenting very quickly...so there's a lot of gray area as to when you "classify" it as a coastal or SWFE. I think generic Miller B is pretty accurate too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, MainePhotog said: This is going to be interesting. I'm thinking this could blow the white off of the snow. Not a fan of Blizzards, I like a lot of snow, But i don't care to have it all blown into the woods like Feb 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I dunno, the primary is over PIT at like 12z Sunday and tries to go toward ELM or thereabouts as the new center forms off NJ. It does transition pretty quickly though...so it's not a pure SWFE on Sunday...starts off like that though. I think it's really a semantics thing. This system is augmenting very quickly...so there's a lot of gray area as to when you "classify" it as a coastal or SWFE. I think generic Miller B is pretty accurate too. Hybrid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 5 minutes ago, db306 said: Just to clarify... looking at these 925 temps and the P type output they seem not to jive exactly or do they? Yeah that's fairly accurate...they won't match perfectly because on the very southern periphery of the 925 below freezing area, it's probably going to be slightly too warm on the model at 950 or 975mb to maintain snow. That said, the level of detail parsing at that point doesn't really matter. We're now talking within the ptype algorithm margin of error by itself. They will also tend to overstate the size of the "mix zone". Like for E MA there, I'd prob bring the snow almost to where the pink ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Prelim plan is 1-3 south of Hartford... 3-6 north or HFD with 6+ NE and NW Hills. A bit of a kink north in the isopleths in the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 I appreciate the explanation. Thanks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave5 Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Going to be in Boston this weekend. Anyone have an idea of what time I should hit the road on Sunday to get back to Hartford? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 time for someone to make an accumulation map. This day is almost over, and it's going to snow Sunday, so we really only have 1 day until the event starts...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not a fan of Blizzards, I like a lot of snow, But i don't care to have it all blown into the woods like Feb 2013 what happens when it blows into the woods? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that's fairly accurate...they won't match perfectly because on the very southern periphery of the 925 below freezing area, it's probably going to be slightly too warm on the model at 950 or 975mb to maintain snow. That said, the level of detail parsing at that point doesn't really matter. We're now talking within the ptype algorithm margin of error by itself. They will also tend to overstate the size of the "mix zone". Like for E MA there, I'd prob bring the snow almost to where the pink ends. Aside from the immediate coast it seems to be pretty much a matter of latitude, like a number of storms we've seen in recent years. Is this the hallmark of an SWFE? Is it a question of "tilt"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Just now, Bostonseminole said: what happens when it blows into the woods? Its no longer on the trails and the hills and fields are bare, I look at this from a snowmobilers standpoint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Just now, Dave5 said: Going to be in Boston this weekend. Anyone have an idea of what time I should hit the road on Sunday to get back to Hartford? sounds like before noon.. or earlier since you are headed towards the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Ok so what is interior/central CT looking at for Sunday. That Euro qpf output has my area at 1inch of liquid from til Tuesday. Is that mostly all snow, or not based on current modeling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 7 minutes ago, Zeus said: I genuinely wish that all could have even a fraction of your pure enthusiasm for the game itself, even when your own yard isn't in the crosshairs. Happy birthday, by the way. Lol thanks I just didn't see any trend for the worst here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Just now, dryslot said: Its no longer on the trails oh OK, I understand. crappy snowmobiling.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Is one of those storms for the first time in awhile where the South Shore area in the Hingham area goes unscathed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Just now, Bostonseminole said: oh OK, I understand. crappy snowmobiling.. You got it! This may start even here on the paste side of things, The first part anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Any chance that James gets 18-24 with this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiktock Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Hoping this one really performs for me. I'm in SE NH just north of Haverhill about 20 mi from the coast. I think I was the lowest snowfall amount I saw in the region yesterday so this is my wishful redeemer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 8 minutes ago, Whineminster said: time for someone to make an accumulation map. This day is almost over, and it's going to snow Sunday, so we really only have 1 day until the event starts...... Sadly, Sam has gone to chase tornadoes in Oklahoma... he always made the best maps. For you and I, I figure 2-4 Saturday, 7-10" Sunday/Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Winter Storm Watches are out for the entire BTV warning area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 BTV with the early Winter Storm Watches up: http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VTZ012&warncounty=VTC027&firewxzone=VTZ012&local_place1=West Norwich VT&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch&lat=43.7499&lon=-72.3782#.WJ4ZBVUrJQI Quote ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in Burlington has issued a Winter Storm Watch for snow...which is in effect from Sunday morning through Monday evening. * Locations...Northern New York and Vermont...including the Saint Lawrence and Champlain Valleys...Adirondacks...Green Mountains...Northeast Kingdom and western Connecticut Valley of Vermont. * Hazard Types...Snow...heavy at times. * Accumulations...6 to 10 inches of snow. * Maximum Snowfall Rate...up to 1 inch per hour...mainly Sunday evening into early Monday morning. * Timing...Snow will spread Northeast into Northern New York by late Sunday morning...continuing into Vermont during midday Sunday. * Impacts...Snow covered roads and low visibilities will create hazardous travel conditions. * Winds...Southeast 5 to 15 mph on Sunday...shifting Northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph on Monday. * Temperatures...Highs on Sunday and Monday in the 20s to low 30s. Lows in the teens to low 20s Sunday night. * Visibilities...Less than one mile at times in heavy snow and blowing snow. WCAX with an early map: https://twitter.com/WCAX_Dan/status/830138094540226560/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc^tfw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Sadly, Sam has gone to chase tornadoes in Oklahoma... he always made the best maps. For you and I, I figure 2-4 Saturday, 7-10" Sunday/Monday They always had some girth to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2017 Author Share Posted February 10, 2017 42 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The consolation for those right ont he coast is that there could be a decent period of snow Monday morning there. Hopefully it doesn't miss east...but there could be a nice period of steady snow with falling temps. Yeah hopefully. Maybe we can get a little paste before a flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 I can't speak for anyone else but I have not scrutinized multiple variables across numerous models runs in a very longtime. I get nothing but the weenie freak on, and will always show up for the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 28 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Sadly, Sam has gone to chase tornadoes in Oklahoma... he always made the best maps. For you and I, I figure 2-4 Saturday, 7-10" Sunday/Monday Aww, oh well. OK, those sound like good numbers to me. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 57 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Unless somehow the winds stayed more north at Boston thanks to that meso low cold tuck. The problem I see is that once winds go northeast, the area of mid 30s temps comes in. There isn't a real supply of cold air. This could be something where just inland is near 32 and gets pasted while the beaches rain. By inland...maybe several miles. Kind of has that look. I'm bullish. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Interesting storm, really think it will be close for me since i'm on the outskirts of West Roxbury. Maybe a few inches of wet paste here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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