ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:15 PM, ROOSTA said: SREF plumes (slightly out-of-range) are markedly much less than the previous event. Yellow caution Flag maybe. Just throwing out an idea of: Models will start toning back now till game-time Expand SREFs are typically very low on snowfall if the sfc temps are marginal. For some reason their snowfall algorithm is very sensitive to that. I'd prob focus more on the qpf plumes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Good trends for my hood on the all the guidance so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 3:17 PM, dendrite said: Ironically his map was a rip and read of the RPM. Expand Is the RPM available to the general public? Not that I want to put any stock in it Man the GFS is still a toaster bath. It's either going to be very right or horribly wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 I would expect the GFS to handle low level temps terribly. That is tossed, especially inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 What's wrong with the GFS? I think it looks pretty good. I guess it's still warm in the lowest 50mb or so but that is pretty typical for the GFS on coastals. Just adjust for the bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Insane run of the ggem. Gives me 30-60cms with the first storm then another 15-25+cms on a follow up storm. Mind blown if right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:29 PM, Hazey said: Insane run of the ggem. Gives me 30-60cms with the first storm then another 15-25+cms on a follow up storm. Mind blown if right. Expand This is an American board. Convert to inches please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:27 PM, ORH_wxman said: What's wrong with the GFS? I think it looks pretty good. I guess it's still warm in the lowest 50mb or so but that is pretty typical for the GFS on coastals. Just adjust for the bias. Expand Yeah, it's warm below 900mb or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 I like my location for Sunday night/Monday. Seems like 18" is doable if we can stay mostly snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Just saw the GFS...if you toss thermals, it was actually a slightly better run for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:30 PM, JC-CT said: This is an American board. Convert to inches please. Expand Just multiply by .394 to get inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:30 PM, JC-CT said: This is an American board. Convert to inches please. Expand Lol, 2-3 feet+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:30 PM, JC-CT said: This is an American board. Convert to inches please.Lol. 1'-2' then 6"-10". Better?Someday you'll catch up with the rest of the planet. Take your time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:33 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just saw the GFS...if you toss thermals, it was actually a slightly better run for Monday. Expand Right, but I think some inland are nervous. Toss the thermals there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:33 PM, Hazey said: Lol. 1'-2' then 6"-10". Better? Someday you'll catch up with the rest of the planet. Take your time. Expand Screw you. We're too busy making America great again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:36 PM, JC-CT said: Screw you. We're too busy making America great again. Expand Metric is an alternative measurement anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:36 PM, CoastalWx said: Right, but I think some inland are nervous. Toss the thermals there. Expand Yeah anyone more than a few miles off the coast should be fine...and maybe NW of I 95. I think even interior SE MA will prob be fine too...at least areas like Walpole Sharon and Franklin. Might get dicey for a period down by Taunton and Norton where the latitude starts becoming an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:37 PM, Sugarloaf1989 said: Metric is an alternative measurement anyway. Expand Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:38 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah anyone more than a few miles off the coast should be fine...and maybe NW of I 95. I think even interior SE MA will prob be fine too...at least areas like Walpole Sharon and Franklin. Might get dicey for a period down by Taunton and Norton where the latitude starts becoming an issue. Expand You talking ma or all of sne? Down here we have latitude to deal with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:36 PM, CoastalWx said: Right, but I think some inland are nervous. Toss the thermals there. Expand That is an unequivocally better run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:38 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah anyone more than a few miles off the coast should be fine...and maybe NW of I 95. I think even interior SE MA will prob be fine too...at least areas like Walpole Sharon and Franklin. Might get dicey for a period down by Taunton and Norton where the latitude starts becoming an issue. Expand That's how I feel. This may be one of those deals where Logan is a mix, and Hyde Park/West Roxbury is a 32F paste job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:39 PM, JC-CT said: You talking ma or all of sne? Down here we have latitude to deal with. Expand Yeah your area should be mostly ok. It could mix for a time Sunday evening but I'd prob hedge mostly snow. Latitude will be an issue I think south of HFD-PVD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:40 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is an unequivocally better run. Expand You look good man. I think you'll do very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:39 PM, JC-CT said: You talking ma or all of sne? Down here we have latitude to deal with. Expand You're getting minimum 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 From 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:41 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah your area should be mostly ok. It could mix for a time Sunday evening but I'd prob hedge mostly snow. Latitude will be an issue I think south of HFD-PVD. Expand Lol I am slightly south of HFD-PVD. But I get what you're saying, and terrain-wise I am more N CT than S CT. Roads obviously don't dictate climate. I had a weenie moment... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Think 5mi inland from BOS downtown is probably fine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:54 PM, ajisai said: Think 5mi inland from BOS downtown is probably fine? Expand Close. You may just get a good wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 4:57 PM, CoastalWx said: Close. You may just get a good wet snow.Thanks. I hope things tick a tad colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Ukie is another massive hit. Not much stopping this train now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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