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Feb 12-13 Storm Threat


UlsterCountySnowZ

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Watching this forecast like a hawk here at work in Fishkill (Dutchess County) as I get to repeat tomorrow...  Albany has us under a WSW for 7" or greater.  I commute from central Rockland to Dutchess.  It may be an early departure from work tomorrow if this holds up..................  keep the data coming. :)

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3 hours ago, psv88 said:

Rgem still has nyc and li getting a few inches of slop tomorrow. Not sure what to expect up here. Rgem has been incredible lately around here, nam not so much. 

I could see extreme north shore with a slushy inch and south shore just some catpaws. That's my gut with this one.

Probably a good gut, although based on the 12z NAM, a period of sleet would be more likely than that slushy inch of snow.  On top of a fairly cold profile are some torchy mids.  

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SPC doesn't have anybody in Slight Risk for today...

But i'm zoning in on Memphis, TN radar.    Something about SW winds, temps in the mid 70's...and a developing Low might cause something to pop.

Plus, we need to see exactly where this Low is starting to form.

winds just switched to the East on eastern long island btw.  (KFOK) ...here comes the backdoor.

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4 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Click on the link Animal posted.....

Seems overdone to me south of 84

 

2 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

Thanks... wow just took a look at it that's a pretty impressive bump south. Now is that all snow or Sleet factored in as well? 

It's got some sleet in there, I think 2-4 seems reasonable for you ATM

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3 minutes ago, danstorm said:

Seems overdone to me south of 84

 

It's got some sleet in there, I think 2-4 seems reasonable for you ATM

Yea I don't doubt that 2-4 seems more reasonable but I guess the chances are slowly increasing for something slightly bigger maybe a warning criteria event.... agree or no?

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Plus the snowcover on the ground, this is the first time all season we've had a snowfall on top of pre-existing snow.


Bingo. This will shift the airmass, CO sequence the temperature gradient / baroclynic zone further south.

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk

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