Ericjcrash Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: If the 18z and 0z runs flip to look like the Euro, a WWA will go up for NYC Highly unlikely, but something to peak our interest. Euro for thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: 2+ feet stretching all the way down into MA now into Maine This will be a monster for those guys, for sure. A better analog might be the Feb 1969 eastern NE storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: If the 18z and 0z runs flip to look like the Euro, a WWA will go up for NYC Warning will be extended down into rockland/Orange, westchester, putnum... I have no doubt... meso models like RGEM have led the way on the This one, and CAD is still most likely underdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 The AO is - 2 right now. It was forecast to be rising already. Now, it is expected to be around - 1.5 to - 1 by Monday, however, ensembles keep delaying the rise in AO before a quick plummet as well . They're also showing less of a rise than previously expected. This is where the models are seeing the shifts. That and the NAO is currently falling. I expect this to dig more and close off sooner. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West of Town Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Is this worth keeping an eye on for MMU? I'm just checking in for the weekend. Thanks in advance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: +1 lmao ****. Just saw Euro. Has me getting 4"...might be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: ****. Just saw Euro. Has me getting 4"...might be close *Firefighters Burn Foundation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Maine and Mass are clobbered...again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, North and West of Town said: Is this worth keeping an eye on for MMU? I'm just checking in for the weekend. Thanks in advance! 3-5" on the euro... close though.. sharp cutoff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 *Firefighters Burn Foundation I say Easton donates to Nine Line Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Just now, mimillman said: Maine and Mass are clobbered...again. Subsidence somewhere though, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 7 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: 2+ feet stretching all the way down into MA now into Maine Why did I have to move from Worcester, MA?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West of Town Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: 3-5" on the euro... close though.. sharp cutoff Thank you! I'll check in tonight after the next models run to see what you guys think then. My point-and-click forecasts are just rain, but I assume they're lagging with old information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 Jesus.. off topic.. but our Thursday storm smashes right into MA.. AGAIN... MA and Maine get another 2 feet.... a**holes lmao parts of northern MA, and southern Maine have 48" by next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 11 minutes ago, jm1220 said: This will be a monster for those guys, for sure. A better analog might be the Feb 1969 eastern NE storm. the 100 hr storm not the Lindsey storm right ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Jesus.. off topic.. but our Thursday storm smashes right into MA.. AGAIN... MA and Maine get another 2 feet.... a**holes lmao parts of northern MA, and southern Maine have 48" by next week It kind of makes sense with coastals though. Especially late bloomers. Thursday's event could be our biggest of the season too if everything lines up right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 How far south does the accumulating snow get on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Paragon said: the 100 hr storm not the Lindsey storm right ;-) Yes the 100hr storm. The Lindsay storm was actually warm in E MA-it was like a 12/30/00 that cut too far west for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 8 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Jesus.. off topic.. but our Thursday storm smashes right into MA.. AGAIN... MA and Maine get another 2 feet.... a**holes lmao parts of northern MA, and southern Maine have 48" by next week I doubt that particular solution will stick this far out though I don't doubt they will get hit hard. Hoping we can cash in too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 27 minutes ago, jm1220 said: We need the 500mb and 700mb lows to optimally close off near us for snow to wrap around west of the low. If that happens too late there won't be anything left here when the low goes by. We really need this to dig as much as possible. I hate the name "Nemo" lol. I'm all for naming winter storms if the WSW has enough coverage (mainly because things get confusing when we have like three or four storms in the same month) but some of these names are ridiculous, even if they are named for Jules Verne characters and not cartoon fish. The other thing is, people should be more clear when referring to Long Island about what part they are talking about. We live on the opposite side of Long Island- the eastern half is much better with Miller B's than we are. We could easily get 2" or nothing at all while the eastern half gets over a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Yes the 100hr storm. The Lindsay storm was actually warm in E MA-it was like a 12/30/00 that cut too far west for Boston. So basically February 1969 was like the entire 00-01 winter squeezed into one month! We got both the Millenium storm and the March 2001 bust, all squeezed into one month! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: This has snowstorm written all over... I like this event to overperform for most Wait I'm confused, this says valid for Feb 9, 2017? That's two days ago...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 If there is a surprise for NYC I'm more inclined to think its a major sleet or freezing rain event than snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 Gefs have followed suite, huge shift south for snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Someone has to get 1" on the southern edge, hopefully I can b that guy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, Paragon said: Wait I'm confused, this says valid for Feb 9, 2017? That's two days ago...... Your right lol.. I'll post the right one.. same point applies lol... euro only goes in 24 hr incriminates on tidbits... but you get the point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Your right lol.. I'll post the right one Haha I thought you were doing an early April Fool's joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 17 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Subsidence somewhere though, right? Probably, but not invested enough in this to find out where. Btw, how much snow did you get in this past event? Maybe instead of slamming someone for bringing up a legitimate forecasting concern, learn a bit. thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Gefs have followed suite, huge shift south for snow totals Getting good consensus now....8-12 Dutchess on North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: Getting good consensus now....8-12 Dutchess on North Congrats guys. Quite the snowpack you guys will have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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