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Feb 9th Coastal Obs


TalcottWx

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  On 2/9/2017 at 10:01 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

BID and HYA too

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Makes sense, cheers.

Was hoping we'd just about make it but just shy of the necessary winds.  Still a really fun storm,and I'd take the wind over more snow, but between never getting under the heaviest banding, and losing 3 hours of snow to rain this morning (which was NOT as predicted) Newport found a way to a relative min, as it usually does, one way or the other.  Snow was quite wet though.

This storm made a lot of people very happy, awesome stuff, can't wait to take a walk in it in the morning.

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  On 2/9/2017 at 10:10 PM, CoastalWx said:

I guess all I am saying, Ray...is the NE MA lull was more synoptic in nature. You could see it on the models. It even extended down into this area.

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Yes, true....mechanisms were different, but if you looked at an accumulation map, it still had that appeal.

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  On 2/9/2017 at 10:13 PM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah...it just sounded like you attributed it to a CJ. 

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No, I said the oes component was insignificant.

I do think that low level convergence may have been augmented by cf at one point...though this was more synoptic, yes....just so happened to match said scenario qualitatively speaking...

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From 6am today

"I like a general 10-15" MAX for this event.

Someone could lolli more but i think with the way this is so consolidated we are asking for a bust forecasting any more than that.

I think there will be some areas that take a bit longer to get steady rates going while others rip for hrs prior (and i don't mean western areas first)

I like a general  forecast of  8-14" forecast for this event with the higher end more likely down by SE CT, RI, SE MA"

not a bad call

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