TowsonWeather Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 50 here on the south side of Towson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, gymengineer said: It wasn't discussed much in here but every single 18Z model dropped off in QPF compared to 12Z. That's the start of the slide towards a nonevent. Yea, that trend has been bothersome. I was hoping to break 1" here in Damascus, but not feeling too optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Amped said: 1" to meet expectations 6" to feel not feel pissed off Pretty much. Heck, even with 3" I wouldn't be pissed off unless I think about 40N. But things don't always work out the way I want. A lot of the guidance is showing that tight gradient I mentioned earlier today. With the HRRR it seems to be right at the M/D line, while other models have it north of me but south of mapgirl and psuhoffman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 0z 12k NAM looks a bit drier than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, losetoa6 said: Damascus has good elevation. Isn't your area 700'+ . That should help with temps even though you're south Yea, the elevation is 780' IMBY and 820' just across the street from me. I was hoping that would be the case. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, jnis said: Yea, the elevation is 780' IMBY and 820' just across the street from me. I was hoping that would be the case. We will see. I don't know if your elevation will help you much. In other marginal storms that have snow but BL issues, you'd be in a really good spot, but this time it seems to be all about latitude and hoping for a changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Not a real significant difference on NAM TT snowfall map between 00z and 18z...close to the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Fozz said: I don't know if your elevation will help you much. In other marginal storms that have snow but BL issues, you'd be in a really good spot, but this time it seems to be all about latitude and hoping for a changeover. Yea, I'm thinking you're correct. I'm currently at 50/42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Stef shifted way south fwiw. 3" down to DC. 5" up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, psuhoffman said: Stef shifted way south fwiw. 3" down to DC. 5" up here. All jokes aside do you remember the last time the Sref's were right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, psuhoffman said: Stef shifted way south fwiw. 3" down to DC. 5" up here. Is SREF even reliable for snowfall? I feel that way too many times over the years it's been overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Stef shifted way south fwiw. 3" down to DC. 5" up here. The NAM went the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 55.9 / 39 in Severna Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 NAM continues to look worse with each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Stef shifted way south fwiw. 3" down to DC. 5" up here. Lol we wish and pray that for once they are right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Nam4k looks way dry! Especially after any possible flip to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 58.1/42....only dropped 5 degrees since 5 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 58/40..dropped two degrees in two hours. Only 26 degrees to go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 45/34 Happy with the way the DP has fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 39 minutes ago, jnis said: Yea, that trend has been bothersome. I was hoping to break 1" here in Damascus, but not feeling too optimistic. With elevation on your side, I think you'll see at least an inch. Maybe 2". The further north on 27 you go, the better accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 55/41. Losing two degrees an hour isn't gonna do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 49/41 Even at 800' here I'm thinking even a little white rain is optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Storm mode?? Hahahaha Enjoyed some beautiful oysters on the outside patio at Hanks this evening.. didn't even need the heat lamp! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 01z HRRR cut back slightly but pretty darn close to last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Snow line is clear as day on the Pitt. radar (CC). Still a long, long way away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: 55/42 56/42. Nice outside night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 51/39 Sparrows Point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: With elevation on your side, I think you'll see at least an inch. Maybe 2". The further north on 27 you go, the better accumulation. I hope so - Damascus has not had more than .5" yet this year. Everything has either been to the south or north. Seeing snow maps that basically show a west to east gradient like the 0z Nam, but don't show Parrs Ridge like earlier runs has me less optimistic. But I will listen to you more than my own faulty analysis lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The storm will make its own cold air. We'll get good enough ratios to make up for wasted qpf. There will be thundersnow. Rates will overcome the 42F temps at 12z. South trend. I think I covered all the bases there. My dew point has held steady for a while now. You sound like that Roger dude from British Columbia...Btw, why the hell does he give this sub forum forecasts? Sorry if Im getting off topic.....I think Ill head to bed so I can get up at 5AM and watch my heavy rain turn to white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Wow quite a heavy downpour here. Just need some thunder. Very Spring like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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