ravensrule Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 50/39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theproftw Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 56/43 May the cold air come quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 55/40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 54/43 Looking forward to the morning heavy rain and possible thunder with 37 degree temps. Maybe some sleet will mix in. I am stoked about the possible late afternoon/evening heavy snow squalls. Probably the best chance for some accumulation here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 8 minutes ago, mappy said: 49/39 Same here per wxbug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: 54/43 Looking forward to the morning heavy rain and possible thunder with 37 degree temps. Maybe some sleet will mix in. I am stoked about the possible late afternoon/evening heavy snow squalls. Probably the best chance for some accumulation here. Yea - hope that pans out so we get something tangible out of this. NWS seems pretty keen on the squall potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 New HRRR is slightly better but not by a lot. 1" line a little further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 My benchmark is 1", with a nice period of +SN. That's the most I can realistically hope for. Anything more is a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 For those who hate the 40N crowd, the 0z HRRR kinda screws Philly, so I guess that's something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Fozz said: For those who hate the 40N crowd, the 0z HRRR kinda screws Philly, so I guess that's something. looks like 4 in philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: looks like 4 in philly Yeah, with quite a bit more not too far away. Several previous model runs gave them a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, Fozz said: For those who hate the 40N crowd, the 0z HRRR kinda screws Philly, so I guess that's something. Let us know as soon as it really screws them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, Fozz said: My benchmark is 1", with a nice period of +SN. That's really the most I can realistically hope for. Jeez am shooting for 1. Raise your bar man. I think 3 is realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Jeez am shooting for 1. Raise your bar man. I think 3 is realistic. 3" might be realistic for mappy and psuhoffman, but I'm slightly too far south and I know how these setups turn out in my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Hrrrr is weak sauce because it keeps cutting back on qpf. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrrr®ion=neus&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2017020900&fh=16&xpos=0&ypos=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 For DC Proper - Low-Medium Confidence. 10 pm - 4 am: Occasional rain, becoming moderate after midnight. Temps falling from mid 50s to mid 40s. 4 am - 8 am: Moderate to Heavy rain changing to snow between 5 am and 6 am. Temps falling from mid 40s to low to mid 30s. 8am - 7pm - Blustery, occasional snow showers or flurries possible. Temps in low to mid 30s falling into upper 20s. Total accumulation - 1", mostly on grass, car tops, decks, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 We have our first school closing, Cecil County Schools in NE MD closed tomorrow. Talk about an anticipation decision. A lot of schools in northern MD might say screw it, have not used a snow day so why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 60/41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 7 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: looks like 4 in philly It's 55 at PHL last hour so they aren't sitting pretty either. Sure they will get snow but they gotta be sweating it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Hrrr continues to change us over around 3am up here and 5am towards Baltimore. Problem is it's so dry. Not only is it dry overall but the precip is front loaded so it's very dry compared to all other guidance from 4am to 7am. If it's right on temps but wrong on precip we could do ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 9 minutes ago, Fozz said: For those who hate the 40N crowd, the 0z HRRR kinda screws Philly, so I guess that's something. I hope it smashes Philly and screws New York. How that would happen, I have no idea...but that's what I want. 56/42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theproftw Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: We have our first school closing, Cecil County Schools in NE MD closed tomorrow. Talk about an anticipation decision. A lot of schools in northern MD might say screw it, have not used a snow day so why not I honestly wouldn't be surprised if some of the counties closer to DC announce a 2 hour delay soon, especially the 2nd tier ones (Loudon, Frederick, Howard, etc) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 51/40 in Towson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 46/36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 46/35. Drop drop drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Hrrr continues to change us over around 3am up here and 5am towards Baltimore. Problem is it's so dry. Not only is it dry overall but the precip is front loaded so it's very dry compared to all other guidance from 4am to 7am. If it's right on temps but wrong on precip we could do ok. It wasn't discussed much in here but every single 18Z model dropped off in QPF compared to 12Z. That's the start of the slide towards a nonevent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: 46/35. Drop drop drop This has 4-6" written all over it for you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dukeblue219 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 56.7 degrees in our back yard in Silver Spring. Creeping down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 20 minutes ago, Fozz said: My benchmark is 1", with a nice period of +SN. That's the most I can realistically hope for. Anything more is a bonus. 1" to meet expectations 6" to feel not feel pissed off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 My nearest station (Sparrows Point) is 53/40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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