psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 The big problem was the system developed slower. Less amped means more progressive and precip was weaker and moved out faster. Less moisturetransport into cold side. It busted up in pa top. My in laws were expecting 6-12 and got 3.5". Lots of 3-4" totals in places expecting 8-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Will those streamers up near the WV/MD/VA border make it all the way to DC and the burbs, or is it a mountain special? I'd like to at least see a snow shower or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, NovaTarHeel said: Will those streamers up near the WV/MD/VA border make it all the way to DC and the burbs, or is it a mountain special? I'd like to at least see a snow shower or two. Your not missing much. It isnt even a squall. Just a little light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, NovaTarHeel said: Will those streamers up near the WV/MD/VA border make it all the way to DC and the burbs, or is it a mountain special? I'd like to at least see a snow shower or two. Atmosphere is pretty unstable in the wake of the low. There should be scattered snow showers around most of the region through the afternoon. Someone might get lucky with a streamer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The big problem was the system developed slower. Less amped means more progressive and precip was weaker and moved out faster. Less moisturetransport into cold side. It busted up in pa top. My in laws were expecting 6-12 and got 3.5". Lots of 3-4" totals in places expecting 8-10" Yup, the 18Z runs cutting back on QPF--- way back in the case of the GFS-- was what made me think it was going to be a minimal event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 I got about 0.2". I don't usually keep track of my seasonal total, but it's hard not to this year. 1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 40 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Elevation meant nothing. Latitude did. I am over 1000 feet and got bupkis. Although it is snowing lightly now. I wouldn't say it meant nothing considering Frederick and Mt. Airy are basically at the same latitude, but there's about a 500ft elevation difference. Frederick was bare in the CHART cams and Mt. Airy had a coating that covered the top of the grass. I should have said in the Balt-DC metro area, elevation made a difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Pretty potent squall currently. 31.1 with gusts to 30...at least it looks like winter out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Looking back over the model runs, I think the 3km NAM was one of the best with this one. HRRR was also good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Steady light snow falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 This storm is hauling azz. Goodbye......I barely knew ya. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Some observations on the road this morning. Driving south on Rt. 27 from Westminster I found the snow/no snow line to be on the south side of Damascus. I also think Damascus may be the southern extent of Parr's Ridge. A few miles later, approaching I-270 interchange not a crusty patch to be found. But for decent blowing and drifting you have to be north of Mt. Airy today basically. It was fun seeing the curtains of snow sweep across the road today. I am currently holding steady at home at 27 which is rather impressive too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 flurrying on and off for the past hour in Silver Spring. Just pretty to watch, that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Whomever said something about they knew it was going to snow because it was 70 degrees... Well NY was 60 yesterday and how did that work out for them today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Did the Nam perform the best? It seems to never bite at accumulations as far south as the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 25 minutes ago, Sparky said: Some observations on the road this morning. Driving south on Rt. 27 from Westminster I found the snow/no snow line to be on the south side of Damascus. I also think Damascus may be the southern extent of Parr's Ridge. A few miles later, approaching I-270 interchange not a crusty patch to be found. But for decent blowing and drifting you have to be north of Mt. Airy today basically. It was fun seeing the curtains of snow sweep across the road today. I am currently holding steady at home at 27 which is rather impressive too. Clarksburg is effectively the SW extent of Parr's Ridge. If you turn right at 27 & 355 heading NW, you go up 200' (to 710') over the next few miles as you make your way into Clarksburg. Had a coating of snow at the house this morning and, as I went south, the ground was bare (in north Germantown) in the first 5 minutes driving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2017 Author Share Posted February 9, 2017 We really do need a post storm analysis to figure out not only which model performed the best, but also sniffed out trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Hey a wind advisory. yipee. Has to be the most despised advisory in this area. I hate this weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Yeah. At least we got wind and cold with no snow. Yay us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Less than 3.5 = close to 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Less than 3.5 = close to 4 Does that mean New England is busting too? Turn off storm mode! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Absolute blizzard going on at Canaan right now. I had hoped for a snow day today. Was planning on being over there on the slopes, but, alas, it was not to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 52 minutes ago, stormtracker said: We really do need a post storm analysis to figure out not only which model performed the best, but also sniffed out trends. From the midrange in, the GFS did the best imo. It was consistently warmer and on the NW side of guidance. It was also the driest until it caved late IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: From the midrange in, the GFS did the best imo. It was consistently warmer and on the NW side of guidance. It was also the driest until it caved late IIRC. 100% agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2017 Author Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: From the midrange in, the GFS did the best imo. It was consistently warmer and on the NW side of guidance. It was also the driest until it caved late IIRC. I think I can agree with this. Honestly, this was why I was never 100% into this one, even tho the Euro was looking good for us for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I think I can agree with this. Honestly, this was why I was never 100% into this one, even tho the Euro was looking good for us for a while. Hindsight makes things easy but I felt this way 2 days in front of the storm. 2 important factors with this storm are almost a guaranteed problem every single time. Needing the cold to bleed in right at game time versus being in place is a standard red flag. The other one was that we were right at ground zero for rapid development. The vast majority of times it develops too late. So with those 2 things in mind, the storm played out exactly as it should have regardless of what models were giving false hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theproftw Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 So far HRRR has been the best once we get within 5-10 hours. Euro and RGEM have been an absolute joke this winter. At this point I'm not sure if I should even take the euro seriously.Edit: I mean the euro has been awful in the mid-range, and RGEM has been awful in mid-short and short range. The HRRR has been great in the very short range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Now it looks like a blizzard here. Too bad it won't last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 28 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Absolute blizzard going on at Canaan right now. I had hoped for a snow day today. Was planning on being over there on the slopes, but, alas, it was not to be. I've been watching the webcams as well. Really wish I could have made the trip today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Ha. this is the heaviest snow I have seen this year going on right now. I have picked up .3 in 30 minutes....Go figure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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