psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 15 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: 01z HRRR cut back slightly but pretty darn close to last run. Cut back from what? Lol. Sorry to be pessimistic but it's been slowly bleeding away our snow totals all evening run by run. this feels like early feb 2014 only that storm Baltimore area was on the edge expecting 3-6" the day before and it was up here that ended up the southern edge. This time it's shifting from up here into pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Cut back from what? Lol. Sorry to be pessimistic but it's been slowly bleeding away our snow totals all evening run by run. this feels like early feb 2014 only that storm Baltimore area was on the edge expecting 3-6" the day before and it was up here that ended up the southern edge. This time it's shifting from up here into pa. Lol...Just meant for DC specifically, the half inch line went north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Haha, maybe he lived here at one point, idk. My bar initially was 2". I think it's unlikely I get that but if we can get a few hours of SN+ similar to that miracle we pulled off after an awful bust for the last event, I'll have enough strength to carry on. I'm feeling like we get a decent backend surprise, maybe even twice. Unlike your Fraud Five, there are two things we do well here. 1. Backbuilding 2. Deform bands I think we have a chance for both, and that along with snow showers/squalls means an 1" or so might be possible, just not with the main shebang. NOTE: : i have a bad headache and barely know what I'm talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Dry as a bone out here. Not even a drop so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 8 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Lol...Just meant for DC specifically, the half inch line went north It's doing it up here too. Slowly creeping north run after run. Bleeding a half inch here or there. If it doesn't stop we're gonna end up with the 1-2" on the back edge you were rooting for down there. My hope is extreme rates overcome. Given the look of radar I have a hard time buying the dryer runs for some reason. Certainly looks juiced to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 46/39 ENE 6.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 44/34. It is dropping steadily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 49 / 40. Looks like rain is on our door step. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Latest hrrr has a lot of rain in Philly. Even cuts NYC down a bit with a few hours of rain. Trend continues. I hate going into the final stretch with no wiggle room to the south. That's usually bad. Ask Raleigh about a month ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Had a few drops of rain. 49.8 degrees still! Being specific because I can! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 52/41 here in Fairfax. Don't even know why I'm still following this think. Praying for a miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 RGEM throws us semi-northerners a lifeline. Taken literally, 3" in 3 hours. I'd be thrilled to see that happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 54/40. Hopefully last post of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 2z HRRR even worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 A couple of days ago when this looked like a light rain to heavy wet snow situation I was on board. Then it really shifted into a heavy rain to backend snow situation and I think it was pretty clear to most of us that those situations never really produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 46/37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 52/42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 I think because it's been a slow bleed over several runs the fairly dramatic north shift has been less noticed. But comparing 3 runs ago to now makes it pop out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I think because it's been a slow bleed over several runs the fairly dramatic north shift has been less noticed. But comparing 3 runs ago to now makes it pop out. Look at the trajectory of the rain-snow line, current slp, and 3-hour pressure tendencies map linked below. If the pressure falls map is to be believed, it looks like it comes right over us. http://weather.unisys.com/radar/hires_rad.php?image=rad&inv=0&t=l3®ion=us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 The GFS is a kick in the face for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 GFS says even the MD/PA border needs to start sweating. From 3-6" to 1-3" verbatim. Yeesh, this has been a rough one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, NovaTarHeel said: GFS says even the MD/PA border needs to start sweating. From 3-6" to 1-3" verbatim. Yeesh, this has been a rough one. Yeah, but predictable. This isnt a set up that works well....now we just see what happens for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Last 5 runs of the GFS jogged the snow accums South only to run it back up North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 And 0z took away our snow squalls too :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Yeah, but predictable. This isnt a set up that works well....now we just see what happens for sure. Yeah was pretty sure of this yesterday but I wasn't going to troll people near the MD line and say it. I'm glad most board mets and LWX never bit and threw in a WSW. They'd be going nuts now. How about them squalls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 51/39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 RIP snow storm. You can stick a fork in it. Snow depth for Philly appears to be almost 0. Amazing how we've had such a poor winter, as well as Philly, yet NYC and NE have really had a fine winter. Let's get the next one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 To me, the GFS depicts the system as delayed and split into two pieces. It seems that AM accumulating snow may be from 11Z to 15Z and then with squalls from 21Z to 23Z. So yeah, it doesn't look to be a positive bust but most of us should see something snowy. Interestingly, both rush hours could be affected but with the mid-day relatively quiet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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