Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 anybody know how to do the wunderground sticker thing, so our current data always shows on our sig? mine keeps showing static image data of my location...from days ago. (personal weather station) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, Bluescat1 said: I checked it out it was only in the 50's but a much greater drop in temperature as it was Mid March and got down to 6 degrees. That's pretty extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 RAP is pretty good. Says 8 inches in SEPA by 10 am tomorrow with more to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 So some guidance shows Philly in the 4-6 range, but other guidance shows Philly in the 9-12 range - any everyone is going with that. Aside from weenieism, any reason why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 18z NAM a bit NW hugging the coast this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 RAP is pretty good. Says 8 inches in SEPA by 10 am tomorrow with more to come.You're in this forum too? Come on man. you wanna hug the RAP ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 47 minutes ago, hurricane1091 said: So some guidance shows Philly in the 4-6 range, but other guidance shows Philly in the 9-12 range - any everyone is going with that. Aside from weenieism, any reason why? because the 9-12 range models are the NAM, RGEM, GFS, EURO, and UK. in fact I don't know what model you're referring to that shows 4-6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Not digging how north this NAM run is. Chester/Philly/Lower bucks really get a late change over. Might not crack 3" if this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: It was. 54° two days before the blizzard and 46° the day before the blizzard. Thanks Don I knew it was warm, I believe it dropped to 6 degrees in NYC, that is some contrast especially for mid March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 13 minutes ago, shemATC said: Not digging how north this NAM run is. Chester/Philly/Lower bucks really get a late change over. Might not crack 3" if this verifies. I wouldn't worry too much. If you get heavy banding, things should cool quickly. Plus the NAM did not look that different to me except maybe right at onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, mattinpa said: I wouldn't worry too much. If you get heavy banding, things should cool quickly. Plus the NAM did not look that different to me except maybe right at onset. The last three runs for panels at 08z, the 850 r/s line has moved from south of the river to almost Quakertown. That's enough to worry me once we're inside 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 worrying over the 18z nam.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 There is that possibility for the southern half of this region getting low balled if the NAM is right, UK was dicey with temps due to the proximity to the coast. Wouldn't worry too much with the GFS and ECM as cold as they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, shemATC said: The last three runs for panels at 08z, the 850 r/s line has moved from south of the river to almost Quakertown. That's enough to worry me once we're inside 24 hours. The best stuff isn't even here yet then. Something to watch however on the short term models, which are coming in range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Comparison of the 12 km and 4 km versions of the NAM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said: Comparison of the 12 km and 4 km versions of the NAM: Is one of these NAM types usually more accurate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Comparison of the 12 km and 4 km versions of the NAM: If the 4k verifies i'd be able to drive 20 minutes and go from 0 inches to 6+ lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Comparison of the 12 km and 4 km versions of the NAM: Very nice, should extreme SEPA especially Lower Bucks County be concerned losing qpf to warm temps. I believe a poster above was checking the past 3 panels(850r/s line) and gave me concern too. Thanks so much Don. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Comparison of the 12 km and 4 km versions of the NAM: Don, Thanks for posting in our subforum. We're very mellow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Glenn ain't really holding back.(wow..2-3" per hour) Accumulations nice as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4k in my opinion really overdoes convection usually. That means the snow map for that needs all the banding to verify to get those amounts. The 12k tends to be smoothed out more leading to a more consistent and likely outcome. True that by 8z the best stuff isn't here yet, but if the 850 line pushes south and takes 2 hrs to change over instead of 1 or 0, that's alot of qpf in the heart of the storm that might not be frozen. True it might be freaking out about 1 run of the NAM, but 30-40 miles for some could change things from 2 inches of slurpee ice to 8" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 ^Thundersnow potential as well!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 48 minutes ago, Bluescat1 said: Thanks Don I knew it was warm, I believe it dropped to 6 degrees in NYC, that is some contrast especially for mid March. Central Park's high for 3/13/1888 was 12, almost certainly at 11:59 PM as the low for the 14th was also 12. I think that's the lowest max for any March day in their records. The old NYC location at Battery Place on the south tip of Manhattan managed to get down to 4.8 on 3/13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Here we go...Accu Weather Ch6 at 4:20: Not bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 RGEM trend. Going to be a nerve racking next 6 hours waiting for all the guidance runs. Not a good trend for us in the S/E section of the forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
svh19044 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 This is just a loose observation going aback to the last couple (5ish) years of models for storms similar to this one; it seems like the models 36-48 hours always verify closely, while the 24-12 hour models come in way amped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Short of the blizzard that wasn't.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: because the 9-12 range models are the NAM, RGEM, GFS, EURO, and UK. in fact I don't know what model you're referring to that shows 4-6 inches. Yeah, nothing shows 4-6, I meant 4-8. More like 6-9" - but certainly not 9-12". No local met is calling for that either. Good to hope though. When I say Philly, I am always referring to Philly S&E as well (not the shore), but I know that's just something I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 17 minutes ago, shemATC said: RGEM trend. Going to be a nerve racking next 6 hours waiting for all the guidance runs. Not a good trend for us in the S/E section of the forum. I'm right in the Langhorne border, pretty much in the same boat as you and this will turn out well for us. We seem to be able to "glom" onto what KTTN and north get. It's unusual for our area to miss out while central/north jersey does really well and we don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS only slightly north compared to 12z, though totals are down from area wide 11" to a more reasonable 6-9. One more set of runs and I'll breath easier. That is until I wake up tomorrow morning and see it still raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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